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Olimpia Milano vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-77
19-20 23-21 25-18 24-18
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#13
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game89.2
ItalyLega A - Super CupRound 5
Other2020
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Varese
03 Jan 2027
MIL v VAR
upcoming
26 Jan 2026
MIL74
VAR84
02 Feb 2025
MIL119
VAR92
03 Mar 2024
MIL94
VAR63
26 Dec 2022
MIL96
VAR84
26 Mar 2022
MIL95
VAR77
05 Apr 2021
MIL81
VAR83
10 Sep 2020
MIL91
VAR77
03 Nov 2019
MIL93
VAR69
23 Dec 2018
MIL72
VAR67
08 Oct 2017
MIL74
VAR73
16 Oct 2016
MIL79
VAR71
11 Oct 2015
MIL90
VAR62
15 Mar 2015
MIL79
VAR69
20 Oct 2013
MIL84
VAR72
23 Dec 2012
MIL77
VAR83
09 Oct 2011
MIL89
VAR75
29 Dec 2010
MIL84
VAR80
31 Jan 2010
MIL74
VAR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
91-67
91
67
+24
100avg 75
H12/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
58avg 75
A19/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
85-67
85
67
+18
84avg 75
A26/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
A01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H09/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
101-71
101
71
+30
no box
H27/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
110-77
110
77
+33
no box
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
102-62
102
62
+40
no box
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
22-19
20-15
30-11
15-9
19-20
17-27
21-22
23-15
18-19
25-12
19-21
14-16
18-18
24-15
21-25
23-16
19-23
17-22
18-13
26-18
28-20
24-16
23-17
32-16
27-25
33-19
18-17
24-18
30-13
27-15
21-16
24-12
20-23
22-18
15-14
24-23
26-16
15-20
26-20
160.3Avg total
88.7Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)97.071.2168.2+25.8100%
Season at home (2)91.069.0160.0+22.0100%
Season away (3)101.072.7173.7+28.3100%
Last 10 (10)88.771.6160.3+17.190%
Last 5 (5)97.071.2168.2+25.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.083.0153.0-13.00%
vs Similar (8)81.277.8159.0+3.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.572.1156.6+12.481%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
91-60
91
60
+31
94avg 75
H26/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
69avg 75
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
84avg 75
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
81avg 75
A12/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
85avg 75
H19/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 75
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-110
77
110
-33
no box
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
L
88-89
88
89
-1
no box
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
L
72-81
72
81
-9
no box
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
18-19
24-15
23-12
16-20
20-26
17-19
28-21
23-17
14-27
22-11
25-24
25-28
18-22
27-25
17-18
20-20
22-18
33-21
16-26
20-24
28-20
13-20
15-15
16-32
25-27
19-33
17-18
31-22
20-25
22-19
15-23
24-22
14-16
24-20
22-19
18-22
17-19
19-21
18-19
167.0Avg total
83.1Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.289.2169.5-9.025%
Season at home (2)80.593.5174.0-13.050%
Season away (2)80.085.0165.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)83.183.9167.0-0.840%
Last 5 (5)79.487.2166.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.390.7167.0-14.30%
vs Similar (9)80.888.2169.0-7.422%
vs Weaker (15)84.575.1159.6+9.567%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
Olimpia MilanoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A19/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A26/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H27/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
81.2Avg total
45.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.078.4+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.737.179.8+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)39.936.976.7+3.057%-
Last 10 (10)45.136.181.2+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)52.236.889.0+15.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.046.086.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (8)40.637.077.6+3.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.736.678.3+5.171%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H26/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A12/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H19/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
85.5Avg total
41.5Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.681.8+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.338.881.1+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.042.582.5-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)41.544.085.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.888.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.046.584.5-8.517%-
vs Similar (9)39.641.781.2-2.144%-
vs Weaker (15)43.437.781.1+5.767%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 24% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.0
46.6%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.7
37.2%
-26.1
🏀 Free throws24.718.5
74.9%
-18.5
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.116.0
56.9%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.4
38.2%
-37.2
🏀 Free throws18.314.9
81.4%
-14.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWWWWLW
Varese
LWLLLWLWLW
#1
League position
#13
+5.4
Net rating
+6.7
109.1
Offensive rating
122.5
103.7
Defensive rating
115.8
50.3%
Effective FG%
57.1%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
19.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.2%
3-point %
38.2%
55.9%
Assist %
59.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Olimpia Milano wins
1
Varese wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/09/20ABrescia91-79
04/09/20HBrescia81-67
01/09/20ACantu102-62
29/08/20AVarese110-77
27/08/20HCantu101-71
09/02/20HCremona77-74
01/02/20ABrindisi77-74
26/01/20ATrieste85-67
19/01/20ABrescia72-78
12/01/20HTreviso91-67
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/09/20ACantu72-81
04/09/20HCantu84-77
01/09/20ABrescia88-89
29/08/20HOlimpia Milano77-110
26/01/20AFortitudo Bologna76-79
19/01/20HTrieste91-85
12/01/20ASassari87-93
05/01/20ATreviso84-79
29/12/19HTrento81-86
26/12/19HPistoia91-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A - Super Cup 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.091.0101.0
Allowed / game71.269.072.7
Point differential+25.8+22.0+28.3
Avg total168.2160.0173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A - Super Cup 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game80.280.580.0
Allowed / game89.293.585.0
Point differential-9.0-13.0-5.0
Avg total169.5174.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano550100%97.071.2+25.8
2 Virtus Bologna54180%83.271.2+12.0
3 Sassari43175%96.581.8+14.8
4 Venezia43175%78.571.5+7.0
5 Trieste43175%76.277.0-0.8
6 Pesaro32167%86.072.3+13.7
7 Brindisi42250%86.584.5+2.0
8 Fortitudo Bologna42250%85.084.5+0.5
9 Reggiana42250%78.077.5+0.5
10 Brescia42250%77.883.8-6.0
11 Treviso41325%80.581.8-1.2
12 Trento41325%78.283.2-5.0
13 Varese41325%80.289.2-9.0
14 Cremona51420%69.081.8-12.8
15 Cantu51420%73.287.0-13.8
16 Virtus Roma3030%66.7102.7-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1923252491
Varese2021181877
← all games of the day
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