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Olympiacos vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 92-99
27-25 20-24 29-18 16-32
Position#1
Record8-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#3
Record10-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game85.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16· Peace and Friendship Stadium
European cup2025
Meetings · Olympiacos v Valencia
16 Dec 2025
OLY92
VAL99
15 Dec 2023
OLY56
VAL63
04 Nov 2022
OLY82
VAL83
16 Dec 2020
OLY85
VAL96
22 Feb 2018
OLY80
VAL70
20 Nov 2014
OLY77
VAL76
02 Feb 2011
OLY77
VAL62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#11
W
102-82
102
82
+20
104avg 86
H09/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
95-78
95
78
+17
92avg 86
H12/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
87-88
87
88
-1
82avg 86
A14/11
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
88-64
88
64
+24
96avg 86
A16/11
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
98-86
98
86
+12
91avg 86
H21/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
92-81
92
81
+11
92avg 86
A23/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
76avg 86
A26/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 86
H07/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#8
L
85-98
85
98
-13
83avg 86
A12/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
105-62
105
62
+43
117avg 86
A14/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
31-18
23-25
24-18
28-14
22-22
24-17
21-25
21-27
22-20
13-20
31-21
19-12
26-11
23-23
20-18
21-29
37-20
17-20
23-17
23-17
25-24
25-15
19-25
15-21
23-16
27-22
15-32
18-24
33-12
24-24
25-33
22-21
17-21
17-30
29-26
22-23
28-12
32-9
23-18
175.5Avg total
93.2Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.382.9169.2+3.457%
Season at home (7)83.776.3160.0+7.471%
Season away (7)88.989.6178.4-0.743%
Last 10 (10)93.282.3175.5+10.970%
Last 5 (5)92.485.0177.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)84.082.2166.2+1.860%
vs Weaker (24)90.680.1170.7+10.579%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Granada
#18
L
79-85
79
85
-6
60avg 90
A09/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
89-76
89
76
+13
80avg 90
H11/11
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 90
A13/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
96-79
96
79
+17
95avg 90
H16/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
76-73
76
73
+3
68avg 90
H21/11
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
98-72
98
72
+26
96avg 90
H23/11
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
90-64
90
64
+26
83avg 90
H25/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
85avg 90
A05/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 90
A07/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
94-82
94
82
+12
92avg 90
H11/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
19-15
17-21
26-21
22-21
23-17
22-22
22-16
14-15
35-22
22-30
15-23
25-28
17-15
24-15
30-21
26-26
23-13
11-21
16-13
26-16
21-15
28-21
23-20
19-21
22-16
27-12
22-15
19-22
19-22
27-17
24-18
20-17
19-27
23-16
29-29
22-20
23-19
26-20
23-23
167.7Avg total
88.8Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.385.1174.4+4.367%
Season at home (8)89.980.8170.6+9.188%
Season away (7)88.790.0178.7-1.343%
Last 10 (10)88.878.9167.7+9.980%
Last 5 (5)92.477.2169.6+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.486.8172.2-1.342%
vs Weaker (17)95.284.4179.6+10.988%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +8.8+8.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +8.8+8.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
OlympiacosValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#11
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H09/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H12/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/11
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
45-23
45
23
+22
A16/11
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H21/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A23/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A26/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H07/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A14/12
Basket League
86.2Avg total
47.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.038.883.8+6.273%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.738.183.8+7.681%-
Last 30 away (14)44.139.683.8+4.564%-
Last 10 (10)47.738.586.2+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)45.238.283.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.840.683.4+2.260%-
vs Weaker (24)45.339.084.3+6.375%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#18
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A09/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/11
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A13/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H16/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H21/11
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H23/11
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H25/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A05/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A07/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H11/12
Euroleague
82.6Avg total
43.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.141.685.7+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.639.284.9+6.471%-
Last 30 away (16)42.843.686.4-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.582.6+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.081.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.242.684.8-0.442%-
vs Weaker (17)45.540.786.2+4.865%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.5
58.6%
60.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.6
39.0%
35.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.717.6
81.1%
78.2%17.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.8
52.4%
60.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.912.5
36.9%
35.9%37.5
🏀 Free throws22.515.1
67.1%
78.2%15.1
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WLWLWWWLWW
Valencia
WWWWWWWLWL
#1
League position
#3
+14.8
Net rating
+13.5
125.3
Offensive rating
113.5
110.5
Defensive rating
100.0
58.5%
Effective FG%
53.8%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.1%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.0%
3-point %
36.9%
73.2%
Assist %
66.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence125.3 · 113.5Defence110.5 · 100.0Shooting58.5% · 53.8%3-point %39.0% · 36.9%Ball care16.5% · 16.1%Off. rebounds35.5% · 30.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Olympiacos wins
3
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
08/02/24Valencia v Olympiacos65-78
15/12/23Olympiacos v Valencia56-63
24/02/23Valencia v Olympiacos85-92
04/11/22Olympiacos v Valencia82-83
31/03/21Valencia v Olympiacos79-88
16/12/20Olympiacos v Valencia85-96
22/02/18Olympiacos v Valencia80-70
30/11/17Valencia v Olympiacos64-72
20/11/14Olympiacos v Valencia77-76
16/10/14Valencia v Olympiacos68-71
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25APeristeri105-62
12/12/25ABarcelona85-98
07/12/25HAEK Athens100-93
26/11/25ACrvena zvezda80-91
23/11/25APAOK92-81
21/11/25HParis98-86
16/11/25APromitheas88-64
14/11/25AOlimpia Milano87-88
12/11/25HZalgiris Kaunas95-78
09/11/25HAS Karditsas102-82
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25HAnadolu Efes94-82
07/12/25ABaskonia91-89
05/12/25APanathinaikos89-79
25/11/25HBayern90-64
23/11/25HBasquet Girona98-72
21/11/25HCrvena zvezda76-73
16/11/25HTenerife96-79
13/11/25AParis86-90
11/11/25HReal Madrid89-76
09/11/25AGranada79-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game86.383.788.9
Allowed / game82.976.389.6
Point differential+3.4+7.4-0.7
Avg total169.2160.0178.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%88%43%
Points / game89.389.988.7
Allowed / game85.180.890.0
Point differential+4.3+9.1-1.3
Avg total174.4170.6178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1612475%89.382.8+6.5
2 Valencia1510567%89.385.1+4.3
3 Barcelona1510567%86.484.2+2.2
4 Panathinaikos1610662%88.285.8+2.5
5 Monaco159660%90.583.7+6.7
6 Zalgiris Kaunas159660%87.082.1+4.9
7 Real Madrid159660%84.982.8+2.1
8 Fenerbahce159660%80.379.2+1.1
9 Olympiacos148657%86.382.9+3.4
10 Crvena zvezda169756%85.181.9+3.2
11 Olimpia Milano158753%84.984.1+0.7
12 Virtus Bologna157847%80.982.7-1.8
13 Dubai167944%86.488.1-1.6
14 Partizan156940%82.186.5-4.3
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv1661038%89.392.2-2.9
16 Paris1551033%91.393.2-1.9
17 Baskonia1551033%85.889.5-3.7
18 Bayern1551033%78.184.1-5.9
19 Anadolu Efes1551033%80.286.3-6.1
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne1531220%76.686.3-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2720291692
Valencia2524183299
← all games of the day
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