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Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 89-76
22-21 23-17 22-22 22-16
Position#3
Record5-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Position#2
Record5-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game81.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 10· Roig Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid
01 Apr 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
22 May 2026
VAL90
MAD105
25 Apr 2026
VAL82
MAD96
11 Nov 2025
VAL89
MAD76
25 Jun 2025
VAL70
MAD81
22 Dec 2024
VAL85
MAD84
10 May 2024
VAL99
MAD93
14 Nov 2023
VAL73
MAD76
12 May 2023
VAL68
MAD79
22 Nov 2022
VAL73
MAD80
10 Oct 2021
VAL79
MAD93
08 Jun 2021
VAL85
MAD67
19 Feb 2021
VAL89
MAD78
01 Nov 2020
VAL78
MAD86
05 Oct 2018
VAL70
MAD88
20 Mar 2018
VAL96
MAD88
15 Oct 2017
VAL82
MAD86
16 Jun 2017
VAL87
MAD76
14 Jun 2017
VAL81
MAD64
06 Oct 2016
VAL75
MAD94
09 Jun 2016
VAL80
MAD82
07 Jun 2016
VAL87
MAD86
28 Feb 2016
VAL94
MAD95
11 Jun 2015
VAL84
MAD90
09 Jun 2015
VAL100
MAD103
15 Feb 2015
VAL87
MAD99
22 Dec 2013
VAL75
MAD82
07 Apr 2013
VAL88
MAD79
11 Mar 2012
VAL83
MAD66
31 Mar 2011
VAL81
MAD72
29 Mar 2011
VAL66
MAD75
19 Feb 2011
VAL59
MAD52
13 Mar 2010
VAL67
MAD78
19 Nov 2008
VAL82
MAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
84avg 91
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 91
A17/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
99-78
99
78
+21
94avg 91
A19/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
103-100
103
100
+3
98avg 91
A23/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
102-90
102
90
+12
105avg 91
H26/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
W
94-79
94
79
+15
80avg 91
H28/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 91
H30/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
100-82
100
82
+18
99avg 91
H02/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
64avg 91
A07/11
Euroleague
Granada
#18
L
79-85
79
85
-6
60avg 91
A09/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
29-22
23-31
23-20
22-27
15-30
25-14
22-19
24-25
25-16
24-16
26-21
24-18
30-30
31-26
18-26
27-24
17-20
28-16
30-30
27-13
24-22
25-21
18-23
23-20
15-21
22-23
20-14
32-21
23-14
16-22
29-25
17-18
18-20
23-23
19-25
17-28
19-15
17-21
26-21
177.9Avg total
91.1Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.790.2180.9+0.456%
Season at home (4)92.587.8180.2+4.875%
Season away (5)89.292.2181.4-3.040%
Last 10 (10)91.186.8177.9+4.360%
Last 5 (5)86.082.0168.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.090.9176.9-4.920%
vs Weaker (19)96.883.6180.4+13.295%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Partizan
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
94avg 81
H15/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
75-90
75
90
-15
60avg 81
A17/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
84avg 81
H19/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
91-92
91
92
-1
88avg 81
A22/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 81
H26/10
ACB
Bayern
#14
L
84-90
84
90
-6
73avg 81
A28/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
84-58
84
58
+26
85avg 81
H30/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
95-83
95
83
+12
96avg 81
A02/11
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
101-92
101
92
+9
101avg 81
A07/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 81
A09/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
28-21
23-23
18-30
25-20
14-23
14-24
22-23
25-20
16-26
27-22
22-12
27-17
21-40
26-19
17-16
21-17
21-18
23-20
22-20
25-27
32-17
10-25
17-21
25-16
24-6
15-13
20-23
27-20
21-25
25-23
22-15
34-24
24-24
27-21
16-23
16-17
21-18
26-20
17-20
170.1Avg total
88.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.681.2166.8+4.356%
Season at home (4)87.873.2161.0+14.5100%
Season away (5)83.887.6171.4-3.820%
Last 10 (10)88.082.1170.1+5.970%
Last 5 (5)88.879.6168.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)90.880.2171.0+10.783%
vs Weaker (22)86.980.5167.4+6.577%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
ValenciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A17/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A19/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A23/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H26/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H28/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H02/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/11
Euroleague
Granada
#18
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A09/11
ACB
87.7Avg total
44.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.187.0+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.239.585.7+6.669%-
Last 30 away (17)44.044.188.1-0.141%-
Last 10 (10)44.643.187.7+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.481.4+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.843.685.4-1.830%-
vs Weaker (19)46.741.287.9+5.568%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#15
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H15/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H19/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A22/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/10
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A28/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H30/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A02/11
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A07/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A09/11
ACB
87.9Avg total
47.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.384.7+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.737.981.6+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)45.342.687.9+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)47.140.887.9+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)49.838.888.6+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.051.095.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)46.040.286.2+5.867%-
vs Weaker (22)44.539.684.1+4.964%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.2
54.5%
60.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.6
35.8%
35.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.816.5
75.7%
78.2%16.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.7
56.4%
60.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.6
32.7%
35.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.319.8
81.5%
78.2%19.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLWWWWWWLL
Real Madrid
WWWWLWLWLW
#3
League position
#2
+6.0
Net rating
+7.3
116.7
Offensive rating
114.9
110.7
Defensive rating
107.6
54.1%
Effective FG%
53.3%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
19.5%
37.8%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.8%
3-point %
32.7%
62.0%
Assist %
57.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 114.9Defence110.7 · 107.6Shooting54.1% · 53.3%3-point %35.8% · 32.7%Ball care17.6% · 19.5%Off. rebounds37.8% · 36.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
7
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
28/09/25Real Madrid v Valencia94-98
25/06/25Valencia v Real Madrid70-81
22/06/25Real Madrid v Valencia102-96 OT
20/06/25Real Madrid v Valencia89-75
04/05/25Real Madrid v Valencia96-89
22/12/24Valencia v Real Madrid85-84
10/05/24Valencia v Real Madrid99-93
17/02/24Real Madrid v Valencia95-76
11/01/24Real Madrid v Valencia96-86 OT
31/12/23Real Madrid v Valencia83-74
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25AGranada79-85
07/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas77-86
02/11/25HSan Pablo Burgos100-82
30/10/25HDubai80-78
28/10/25HFenerbahce94-79
26/10/25HJoventut Badalona102-90
23/10/25AOlimpia Milano103-100
19/10/25AForca Lleida99-78
17/10/25AMonaco84-90
15/10/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25AJoventut Badalona80-75
07/11/25ABarcelona101-92
02/11/25ABasket Zaragoza95-83
30/10/25HFenerbahce84-58
28/10/25ABayern84-90
26/10/25HManresa87-75
22/10/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv91-92
19/10/25HSan Pablo Burgos90-80
17/10/25ACrvena zvezda75-90
15/10/25HPartizan93-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game90.792.589.2
Allowed / game90.287.892.2
Point differential+0.4+4.8-3.0
Avg total180.9180.2181.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW56%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%100%20%
Points / game85.687.883.8
Allowed / game81.273.287.6
Point differential+4.3+14.5-3.8
Avg total166.8161.0171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv108280%93.286.1+7.1
2 Zalgiris Kaunas97278%87.176.2+10.9
3 Crvena zvezda107370%87.482.3+5.1
4 Olympiacos96367%84.880.0+4.8
5 Monaco96367%89.485.9+3.6
6 Real Madrid95456%85.681.2+4.3
7 Valencia95456%90.790.2+0.4
8 Panathinaikos95456%86.887.4-0.7
9 Barcelona95456%87.288.0-0.8
10 Bayern95456%79.682.9-3.3
11 Fenerbahce105550%79.680.2-0.6
12 Olimpia Milano94544%82.981.4+1.4
13 Paris94544%89.087.8+1.2
14 Virtus Bologna94544%79.783.4-3.8
15 Dubai104640%85.486.4-1.0
16 Anadolu Efes93633%82.685.9-3.3
17 Partizan93633%82.286.9-4.7
18 Baskonia103730%86.792.6-5.9
19 Lyon-Villeurbanne92722%77.286.2-9.0
20 Maccabi Tel Aviv102820%89.194.8-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2223222289
Real Madrid2117221676
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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