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Panathinaikos vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 87-79
23-22 24-19 21-20 19-18
Position#7
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Panathinaikos 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#14
Record-
FormLLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroleagueRound 1· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2025
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Bayern
14 Jan 2027
PAO v BAY
upcoming
30 Sep 2025
PAO87
BAY79
10 Oct 2024
PAO94
BAY79
12 Oct 2023
PAO78
BAY71
28 Mar 2023
PAO86
BAY76
22 Mar 2022
PAO80
BAY67
27 Nov 2020
PAO83
BAY76
09 Jan 2019
PAO77
BAY67
28 Nov 2014
PAO87
BAY72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 87
A02/05
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
75-67
75
67
+8
73avg 87
H06/05
Euroleague
Promitheas
#5
W
101-69
101
69
+32
107avg 87
H12/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
97-59
97
59
+38
101avg 87
A14/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 87
A23/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
94avg 87
A25/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
80-68
80
68
+12
75avg 87
H30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
80avg 87
A01/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
88-99
88
99
-11
79avg 87
H06/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 87
A08/06
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
15-17
26-22
23-25
18-10
23-20
12-16
22-21
29-19
29-26
19-13
24-11
24-18
18-20
31-13
24-8
14-22
19-16
15-17
28-27
20-33
26-24
18-18
29-22
20-19
22-15
16-16
22-18
18-23
13-18
24-25
28-25
28-30
17-14
22-34
21-21
15-19
23-23
14-22
19-21
164.8Avg total
84.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.680.2164.8+4.440%
Last 5 (5)83.088.0171.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)84.283.8168.0+0.544%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.876.6170.4+17.2100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#4
L
90-95
90
95
-5
84avg 81
H01/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
90-61
90
61
+29
87avg 81
A04/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
98-68
98
68
+30
99avg 81
H07/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
94-82 OT
94
82
+12
88avg 81
A10/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 81
H15/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
53avg 81
A18/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
75avg 81
H21/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
67-53
67
53
+14
62avg 81
A24/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
79avg 81
H26/06
BBL
Jena
#16
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 81
H26/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
25-22
17-19
25-31
17-16
20-17
28-12
25-16
24-15
21-25
24-16
29-12
14-28
22-13
22-21
21-17
19-19
18-17
17-16
28-14
22-21
15-14
7-21
20-23
20-17
22-20
20-22
17-22
19-13
13-19
17-12
18-9
28-21
20-20
17-20
16-16
21-23
27-24
22-15
23-15
157.7Avg total
83.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.873.9157.7+9.970%
Last 5 (5)76.873.4150.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)77.089.0166.0-12.00%
vs Similar (12)83.885.9169.7-2.250%
vs Weaker (17)87.175.2162.3+11.888%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +4.7+4.7
PanathinaikosBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A02/05
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H06/05
Euroleague
Promitheas
#5
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H12/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A14/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A23/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A25/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A08/06
Basket League
81.6Avg total
40.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.682.9+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.938.183.0+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)41.641.282.8+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.781.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.684.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)40.441.581.9-1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.438.484.8+8.085%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H01/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A04/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H07/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A10/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H15/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A18/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H21/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A24/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H26/06
BBL
Jena
#16
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H26/09
BBL
79.7Avg total
41.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.283.9+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.940.883.6+2.169%-
Last 30 away (14)42.541.684.1+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.779.7+2.380%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.479.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)31.046.077.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (12)42.444.486.8-2.042%-
vs Weaker (17)43.638.682.2+5.076%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.2
56.5%
60.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.1
39.1%
35.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.614.7
79.0%
78.2%14.7
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.715.6
56.3%
60.4%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.411.8
34.3%
35.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.416.4
80.4%
78.2%16.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LLLWLLWWWL
Bayern
WWWLLWWWWL
#7
League position
#14
+5.7
Net rating
+14.0
117.8
Offensive rating
112.8
112.2
Defensive rating
98.8
57.4%
Effective FG%
53.6%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.8%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.1%
3-point %
34.3%
66.9%
Assist %
65.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 112.8Defence112.2 · 98.8Shooting57.4% · 53.6%3-point %39.1% · 34.3%Ball care17.7% · 18.8%Off. rebounds31.6% · 32.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Panathinaikos wins
3
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
27/12/24Bayern v Panathinaikos69-80
10/10/24Panathinaikos v Bayern94-79
05/04/24Bayern v Panathinaikos75-82
12/10/23Panathinaikos v Bayern78-71
28/03/23Panathinaikos v Bayern86-76
05/01/23Bayern v Panathinaikos84-68
22/03/22Panathinaikos v Bayern80-67
18/11/21Bayern v Panathinaikos81-78
04/03/21Bayern v Panathinaikos76-71
27/11/20Panathinaikos v Bayern83-76
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/06/25AOlympiacos71-85
06/06/25HOlympiacos88-99
01/06/25AOlympiacos83-91
30/05/25HOlympiacos80-68
25/05/25AOlympiacos93-97
23/05/25AFenerbahce76-82
14/05/25APromitheas97-59
12/05/25HPromitheas101-69
06/05/25HAnadolu Efes75-67
02/05/25AAnadolu Efes82-85
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/25HJena93-77
26/06/25HUlm81-77
24/06/25AUlm67-53
21/06/25HUlm79-81
18/06/25AUlm64-79
15/06/25HUlm82-66
10/06/25AHeidelberg94-82 OT
07/06/25HHeidelberg98-68
04/06/25AHeidelberg90-61
01/06/25HHeidelberg90-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv110100%103.087.0+16.0
2 Dubai110100%89.076.0+13.0
3 Olimpia Milano110100%92.082.0+10.0
4 Anadolu Efes110100%85.078.0+7.0
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv1010%78.085.0-7.0
6 Crvena zvezda1010%82.092.0-10.0
7 Partizan1010%76.089.0-13.0
8 Barcelona1010%87.0103.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2324211987
Bayern2219201879
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