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Bayern vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 69-80
16-13 20-19 17-23 16-25
Position#7
Record11-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Position#3
Record10-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game82.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18· SAP Garden
European cup2024
Meetings · Bayern v Panathinaikos
18 Dec 2026
BAY v PAO
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
BAY85
PAO78
27 Dec 2024
BAY69
PAO80
05 Apr 2024
BAY75
PAO82
05 Jan 2023
BAY84
PAO68
18 Nov 2021
BAY81
PAO78
04 Mar 2021
BAY76
PAO71
16 Oct 2018
BAY80
PAO79
23 Oct 2014
BAY81
PAO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
77-101
77
101
-24
68avg 80
A29/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 80
H01/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
90-101
90
101
-11
86avg 80
A03/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
94-80
94
80
+14
89avg 80
H05/12
Euroleague
Vechta
#11
W
103-67
103
67
+36
100avg 80
H09/12
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
98-93
98
93
+5
96avg 80
H12/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
W
80-70
80
70
+10
73avg 80
A15/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
74-93
74
93
-19
69avg 80
A17/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
72avg 80
A20/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
89-75
89
75
+14
88avg 80
H22/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
23-25
10-29
25-22
14-21
21-24
24-16
18-17
22-27
26-29
25-18
17-27
23-23
21-21
25-17
25-19
31-16
25-19
20-17
27-15
22-30
21-20
24-22
31-21
14-19
24-21
28-15
14-15
24-18
16-28
20-31
14-16
26-14
14-25
25-20
14-19
24-21
18-15
25-11
22-28
169.7Avg total
86.1Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.187.3175.4+0.865%
Season at home (8)96.886.1182.9+10.6100%
Season away (9)80.488.3168.8-7.933%
Last 10 (10)86.183.6169.7+2.560%
Last 5 (5)84.081.8165.8+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.691.0171.6-10.420%
vs Similar (11)89.185.5174.6+3.582%
vs Weaker (13)85.574.5160.0+10.977%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
88-91
88
91
-3
84avg 82
H29/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 82
H01/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
83avg 82
H03/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
73-91
73
91
-18
66avg 82
A05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
85-83
85
83
+2
85avg 82
A08/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
67-93
67
93
-26
50avg 82
A13/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
89avg 82
A15/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
103-74
103
74
+29
107avg 82
H17/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
104-69
104
69
+35
104avg 82
H19/12
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
126-74
126
74
+52
136avg 82
H22/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
22-22
19-15
21-26
23-14
20-16
29-19
28-25
25-19
20-26
18-24
27-20
20-20
17-24
12-20
24-27
17-23
27-19
18-21
23-20
15-20
19-25
12-23
21-25
20-20
25-17
18-15
22-16
38-15
24-25
17-20
24-14
33-12
20-23
23-20
28-14
33-24
24-15
36-18
33-17
172.7Avg total
92.1Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.382.4168.6+3.959%
Season at home (8)94.181.4175.5+12.875%
Season away (9)79.383.2162.6-3.944%
Last 10 (10)92.180.6172.7+11.570%
Last 5 (5)97.075.6172.6+21.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)81.685.6167.3-4.036%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)92.975.5168.4+17.595%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +4.7+4.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +4.7+4.7
BayernPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A29/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H01/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A03/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H05/12
Euroleague
Vechta
#11
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H09/12
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H12/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A15/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A17/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/12
BBL
86.9Avg total
42.8Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.282.7+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.084.1+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)38.842.481.2-3.627%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.186.9-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.282.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.845.482.2-8.60%-
vs Similar (11)43.342.085.3+1.364%-
vs Weaker (13)41.838.580.3+3.254%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H29/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H03/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A08/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A13/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A15/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
62-40
62
40
+22
H17/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H19/12
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H22/12
Basket League
87.5Avg total
46.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.483.2+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.737.282.9+8.567%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.583.5+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)46.840.787.5+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)50.239.289.4+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)40.443.483.7-3.018%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.837.182.8+8.784%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.5
57.5%
54.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.4
36.1%
36.2%34.2
🏀 Free throws15.611.9
76.3%
78.0%11.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.9
59.0%
54.5%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.0
37.9%
36.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.817.8
78.1%
78.0%17.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLWWWWLLL
Panathinaikos
WWWWLWLWWL
#7
League position
#3
+3.4
Net rating
+16.8
116.0
Offensive rating
126.4
112.6
Defensive rating
109.6
55.9%
Effective FG%
58.1%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.0%
Turnover %
15.0%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.1%
3-point %
37.9%
65.0%
Assist %
68.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 126.4Defence112.6 · 109.6Shooting55.9% · 58.1%3-point %36.1% · 37.9%Ball care18.0% · 15.0%Off. rebounds34.9% · 36.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
7
Panathinaikos wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HOldenburg89-75
20/12/24AOlimpia Milano79-78
17/12/24AMonaco74-93
15/12/24ARostock80-70
12/12/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-93
09/12/24HVechta103-67
05/12/24HBaskonia94-80
03/12/24AAnadolu Efes90-101
01/12/24HVechta77-78
29/11/24ACrvena zvezda77-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HAris126-74
19/12/24HBaskonia104-69
17/12/24HOlimpia Milano103-74
15/12/24ALavrio85-68
13/12/24AAnadolu Efes67-93
08/12/24APanionios85-83
05/12/24APartizan73-91
03/12/24HBarcelona90-89
01/12/24HMaroussi100-74
29/11/24HMonaco88-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW65%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%100%33%
Points / game88.196.880.4
Allowed / game87.386.188.3
Point differential+0.8+10.6-7.9
Avg total175.4182.9168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW59%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%75%44%
Points / game86.394.179.3
Allowed / game82.481.483.2
Point differential+3.9+12.8-3.9
Avg total168.6175.5162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1611569%86.883.6+3.2
2 Monaco1812667%86.780.9+5.8
3 Olympiacos1812667%85.281.3+3.9
4 Bayern1711665%88.187.3+0.8
5 Fenerbahce1610662%77.979.1-1.2
6 Panathinaikos1710759%86.382.4+3.9
7 Anadolu Efes1810856%84.482.3+2.1
8 Zalgiris Kaunas1810856%77.076.1+0.9
9 Crvena zvezda179853%83.481.9+1.5
10 Barcelona179853%86.084.9+1.1
11 Real Madrid189950%84.481.9+2.6
12 Olimpia Milano189950%86.786.9-0.3
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne178947%82.384.5-2.2
14 Partizan1771041%81.281.2-0.1
15 Baskonia1771041%78.281.5-3.3
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1851328%84.587.6-3.1
17 Virtus Bologna1741324%80.985.1-4.2
18 Alba Berlin1831517%79.390.8-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1620171669
Panathinaikos1319232580
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