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Panathinaikos vs Bayern Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#18
Record3-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game95.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23· Telekom Center Athens
European cup2026
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Bayern
14 Jan 2027
PAO v BAY
upcoming
30 Sep 2025
PAO87
BAY79
10 Oct 2024
PAO94
BAY79
12 Oct 2023
PAO78
BAY71
28 Mar 2023
PAO86
BAY76
22 Mar 2022
PAO80
BAY67
27 Nov 2020
PAO83
BAY76
09 Jan 2019
PAO77
BAY67
28 Nov 2014
PAO87
BAY72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
95-75
95
75
+20
97avg 83
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
W
78-64
78
64
+14
71avg 83
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
68-83
68
83
-15
59avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#2
L
91-101
91
101
-10
84avg 83
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
no box
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
A08/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
no box
H13/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H15/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
26-16
23-17
20-29
20-21
23-19
20-14
22-25
19-15
12-24
19-17
28-8
18-19
22-18
20-24
20-14
18-21
19-24
14-16
17-22
15-18
29-28
24-33
23-22
24-18
27-30
23-25
27-28
14-19
23-21
21-15
25-19
17-17
16-15
24-11
17-33
26-15
19-20
21-13
12-25
165.9Avg total
84.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.478.5164.8+7.973%
Season at home (8)86.976.6163.5+10.275%
Season away (3)85.083.3168.3+1.767%
Last 10 (10)84.781.2165.9+3.570%
Last 5 (5)88.287.2175.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
vs Similar (6)89.291.3180.5-2.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.875.9163.8+11.984%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Dubai
#9
L
91-107
91
107
-16
86avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
96-77
96
77
+19
102avg 83
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
73-103
73
103
-30
65avg 83
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#3
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 83
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
A08/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
87-102
87
102
-15
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#5
W
91-61
91
61
+30
no box
H15/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
15-24
25-14
13-12
14-19
22-18
35-20
28-17
23-11
20-21
25-24
28-21
26-29
26-21
23-18
33-7
12-27
19-29
22-23
24-21
22-29
25-15
17-16
24-16
25-14
173.1Avg total
89.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.895.2182.0-8.427%
Season at home (4)86.593.8180.2-7.20%
Season away (7)87.096.0183.0-9.043%
Last 10 (10)89.084.1173.1+4.950%
Last 5 (5)95.879.4175.2+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)85.495.3180.8-9.922%
vs Similar (2)93.094.5187.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (19)90.372.2162.4+18.179%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
PanathinaikosBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A08/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H13/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H15/11
Basket League
80.4Avg total
41.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.680.1+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.237.180.3+6.167%-
Last 30 away (12)39.040.879.8-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.180.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.282.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%-
vs Similar (6)40.044.384.3-4.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.536.479.9+7.168%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#9
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A08/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A12/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#5
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H15/11
BBL
86.1Avg total
42.5Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.484.9+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.238.284.4+8.081%-
Last 30 away (14)42.642.985.5-0.257%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.686.1-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.841.087.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.148.788.8-8.644%-
vs Similar (2)44.048.592.5-4.50%-
vs Weaker (19)46.735.682.3+11.189%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.6
56.6%
55.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
77.1%17.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.3
56.5%
55.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.015.2
80.0%
77.1%15.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLWWLLWWWW
Bayern
WLWWWLLLWL
#1
League position
#18
+8.3
Net rating
+2.0
97.5
Offensive rating
101.7
89.3
Defensive rating
99.7
54.5%
Effective FG%
55.8%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.4%
3-point %
36.5%
65.1%
Assist %
66.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 101.7Defence89.3 · 99.7Shooting54.5% · 55.8%3-point %34.4% · 36.5%Ball care16.5% · 15.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Panathinaikos wins
3
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HKolossos Rhodes78-73
13/11/26HBarcelona74-76
08/11/26AAEK Athens83-74
04/11/26AReal Madrid115-112 OT
01/11/26AAris91-101
30/10/26AAnadolu Efes68-83
27/10/26HOlimpia Milano80-75
24/10/26HAS Karditsas78-64
22/10/26HBaskonia85-79
18/10/26HPeristeri95-75
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HSyntainics MBC91-61
12/11/26AValencia87-102
08/11/26AWurzburg94-73
05/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne99-95
03/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig108-66
01/11/26ARostock67-69
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL73%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %73%75%67%
Points / game86.486.985.0
Allowed / game78.576.683.3
Point differential+7.9+10.2+1.7
Avg total164.8163.5168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%33%
Bayern
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %27%0%43%
Points / game86.886.587.0
Allowed / game95.293.896.0
Point differential-8.4-7.2-9.0
Avg total182.0180.2183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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