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Panathinaikos vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 86-76
21-27 27-16 23-11 15-22
Position#15
Record10-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#16
Record11-19
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 31
European cup2022
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Bayern
14 Jan 2027
PAO v BAY
upcoming
30 Sep 2025
PAO87
BAY79
10 Oct 2024
PAO94
BAY79
12 Oct 2023
PAO78
BAY71
28 Mar 2023
PAO86
BAY76
22 Mar 2022
PAO80
BAY67
27 Nov 2020
PAO83
BAY76
09 Jan 2019
PAO77
BAY67
28 Nov 2014
PAO87
BAY72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
76-78
76
78
-2
65avg 74
A23/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
82-87
82
87
-5
74avg 74
H02/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
87avg 74
H04/03
Basket League
Monaco
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
65avg 74
A08/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
75-66
75
66
+9
73avg 74
H10/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
L
73-81
73
81
-8
73avg 74
A13/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 74
A16/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
74-76
74
76
-2
no box
H19/03
Basket League
Barcelona
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
58avg 74
H23/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 74
A25/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
18-20
21-24
16-14
21-18
19-25
14-21
28-23
23-8
19-23
32-21
17-23
17-21
19-21
21-22
13-20
9-17
20-25
23-13
23-11
18-13
22-25
21-23
12-20
20-26
32-17
18-19
16-20
21-21
17-25
20-13
16-17
25-22
11-21
24-25
14-20
19-15
15-22
22-23
17-17
156.8Avg total
77.4Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.182.8161.9-3.833%
Season at home (15)83.281.4164.6+1.847%
Season away (15)74.984.3159.2-9.320%
Last 10 (10)77.479.4156.8-2.030%
Last 5 (5)76.080.8156.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.685.9161.5-10.38%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.276.5153.7+0.733%
vs Weaker (11)85.273.4158.5+11.882%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
70avg 72
A23/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 72
A04/03
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
76-72
76
72
+4
62avg 72
H07/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
74-102
74
102
-28
67avg 72
A09/03
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
W
80-79
80
79
+1
83avg 72
A12/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#17
L
75-76
75
76
-1
64avg 72
H17/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
87-66
87
66
+21
87avg 72
H19/03
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
74-99
74
99
-25
56avg 72
A24/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 72
A26/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
26-21
23-22
15-29
19-23
22-15
11-18
35-24
16-17
27-26
13-7
20-21
21-19
17-17
15-14
23-22
12-26
23-29
30-26
9-21
17-25
29-27
19-10
15-17
14-20
23-18
21-18
17-20
14-22
23-15
24-14
26-15
8-25
28-24
18-23
20-27
21-13
13-23
21-15
19-12
158.3Avg total
78.5Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.780.2156.9-3.537%
Season at home (15)80.279.4159.6+0.853%
Season away (15)73.281.1154.3-7.920%
Last 10 (10)78.579.8158.3-1.360%
Last 5 (5)78.076.6154.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.782.8160.4-5.122%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.479.1158.6+0.356%
vs Weaker (12)82.976.2159.2+6.783%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
PanathinaikosBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A23/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H04/03
Basket League
Monaco
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A08/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H10/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A13/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A16/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H19/03
Basket League
Barcelona
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H23/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A25/03
Basket League
79.1Avg total
38.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.078.1+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.538.079.5+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)36.939.976.8-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.579.1-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.481.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.243.379.5-7.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.742.075.7-8.317%-
vs Weaker (11)44.333.177.4+11.282%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A23/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A04/03
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A09/03
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A12/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#17
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H17/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H19/03
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A24/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A26/03
BBL
81.4Avg total
39.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.780.9-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.939.079.9+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.742.281.9-2.525%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.381.4-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.480.4-4.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.441.979.3-4.422%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.738.678.2+1.144%-
vs Weaker (12)42.841.484.2+1.350%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.316.1
54.9%
53.5%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.8
35.0%
36.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.414.8
76.3%
78.5%14.8
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.8
51.4%
53.5%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.1
35.6%
36.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.111.9
73.9%
78.5%11.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LLLWLWLWLL
Bayern
WLWLWLWWWL
#15
League position
#16
-3.0
Net rating
-1.9
109.5
Offensive rating
112.0
112.6
Defensive rating
113.9
53.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.8%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.0%
3-point %
35.6%
58.7%
Assist %
54.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 112.0Defence112.6 · 113.9Shooting53.8% · 52.3%3-point %35.0% · 35.6%Ball care16.6% · 17.8%Off. rebounds23.5% · 36.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Panathinaikos wins
5
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/23AAEK Athens73-77
23/03/23HBarcelona74-88
19/03/23HOlympiacos74-76
16/03/23ALyon-Villeurbanne86-82
13/03/23APAOK73-81
10/03/23HCrvena zvezda75-66
08/03/23AMonaco70-84
04/03/23HAS Karditsas91-75
02/03/23HAnadolu Efes82-87
23/02/23AOlimpia Milano76-78
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23ABasketball Braunschweig74-63
24/03/23AOlimpia Milano74-99
19/03/23HSyntainics MBC87-66
17/03/23HAlba Berlin75-76
12/03/23ABayreuth80-79
09/03/23AOlympiacos74-102
07/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne76-72
04/03/23AAlba Berlin76-71
02/03/23HCrvena zvezda87-80
23/02/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv82-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeWLLWL47%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %33%47%20%
Points / game79.183.274.9
Allowed / game82.881.484.3
Point differential-3.8+1.8-9.3
Avg total161.9164.6159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)29% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %13%20%7%
Bayern
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL37%
HomeWLWWL53%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %37%53%20%
Points / game76.780.273.2
Allowed / game80.279.481.1
Point differential-3.5+0.8-7.9
Avg total156.9159.6154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos3021970%84.376.2+8.2
2 Real Madrid3021970%85.278.5+6.7
3 Barcelona30201067%81.077.2+3.7
4 Monaco30201067%84.181.5+2.6
5 Fenerbahce30181260%84.280.6+3.6
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv31181358%83.581.4+2.1
7 Partizan30171357%84.782.2+2.5
8 Baskonia30151550%85.583.8+1.7
9 Zalgiris Kaunas30151550%75.577.8-2.3
10 Anadolu Efes30141647%82.581.8+0.7
11 Olimpia Milano30141647%74.776.7-2.0
12 Valencia30141647%82.885.7-2.8
13 Crvena zvezda30131743%76.078.2-2.2
14 Virtus Bologna31131842%78.482.7-4.4
15 Bayern30111937%76.780.2-3.5
16 Panathinaikos30102033%79.182.8-3.8
17 Alba Berlin3092130%80.184.9-4.8
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3082227%74.780.7-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2127231586
Bayern2716112276
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