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Pato vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 89-88
22-26 16-22 27-13 24-27
Position#15
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game80.0
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#14
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game81.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pato v Botafogo
24 Oct 2026
PATO89
BOTA88
12 Feb 2026
PATO93
BOTA67
28 Nov 2024
PATO98
BOTA78
24 Jan 2024
PATO97
BOTA86
12 Feb 2020
PATO69
BOTA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 62
H13/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
64avg 62
H18/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-94
70
94
-24
57avg 62
A24/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
58-67
58
67
-9
52avg 62
H02/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
70-78
70
78
-8
62avg 62
H06/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
64-100
64
100
-36
58avg 62
A09/04
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
68-77
68
77
-9
69avg 62
A11/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
55-88
55
88
-33
50avg 62
A16/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
71-92
71
92
-21
58avg 62
A18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
74-80
74
80
-6
58avg 62
H21/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
22-19
17-19
20-16
15-13
19-17
24-28
14-23
16-20
18-21
21-29
15-24
13-16
13-14
20-20
12-17
17-13
21-16
20-20
12-29
16-30
12-23
11-23
25-24
19-14
20-21
14-23
15-19
12-25
16-19
16-27
11-17
15-24
18-27
18-28
20-13
10-13
18-20
13-30
33-17
151.1Avg total
67.4Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.080.0154.0-6.00%
Season at home (1)74.080.0154.0-6.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.483.7151.1-16.30%
Last 5 (5)66.487.4153.8-21.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)69.282.3151.5-13.19%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.678.4158.0+1.238%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
79avg 63
A24/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 63
H03/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
80-70
80
70
+10
66avg 63
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-106
71
106
-35
56avg 63
H09/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
89-102
89
102
-13
83avg 63
H11/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
86-104
86
104
-18
80avg 63
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
59avg 63
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
70avg 63
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
71avg 63
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 63
A20/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
24-6
20-21
15-25
22-18
11-27
17-18
22-23
25-15
22-15
13-26
20-14
28-28
15-32
14-23
14-23
22-22
18-25
21-29
28-26
25-24
28-22
13-29
20-29
17-37
16-21
20-17
15-19
35-23
18-26
15-21
11-19
23-11
21-29
14-22
20-20
14-22
22-27
21-20
14-12
165.7Avg total
77.2Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.081.0152.0-10.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)71.081.0152.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)77.288.5165.7-11.320%
Last 5 (5)76.490.0166.4-13.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)73.585.0158.5-11.520%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.688.8169.4-8.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -3.1-3.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -3.1-3.1
PatoBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H13/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H18/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A24/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H02/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A09/04
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A16/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H21/10
NBB
71.4Avg total
32.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.739.775.4-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.636.673.2-0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)34.743.277.9-8.529%-
Last 10 (10)32.339.171.4-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)31.243.274.4-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)33.640.974.5-7.318%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.536.477.9+5.188%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A24/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H03/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
43-60
43
60
-17
H09/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H11/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A20/10
NBB
87.4Avg total
42.5Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.982.3-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.982.4-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.082.1-5.920%-
Last 10 (10)42.544.987.4-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.848.492.2-4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)38.842.381.1-3.432%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.846.288.0-4.420%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.216.4
49.4%
49.8%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.48.3
25.6%
31.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws13.59.0
66.7%
71.3%9.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.7
51.5%
49.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.2
31.4%
31.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
65.9%
71.3%11.2
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LLLLLLLLLL
Botafogo
LLLLLLLWLW
#15
League position
#14
-18.7
Net rating
-12.8
75.1
Offensive rating
87.7
93.7
Defensive rating
100.5
44.0%
Effective FG%
49.8%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
19.9%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
25.6%
3-point %
31.4%
65.6%
Assist %
66.1%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence75.1 · 87.7Defence93.7 · 100.5Shooting44.0% · 49.8%3-point %25.6% · 31.4%Ball care19.9% · 15.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)0% · 20%
■ Pato   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pato wins
4
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
12/02/26Pato v Botafogo93-67
07/11/25Botafogo v Pato82-75
16/02/25Botafogo v Pato91-76
28/11/24Pato v Botafogo98-78
24/01/24Pato v Botafogo97-86
24/10/23Botafogo v Pato71-79
12/02/20Pato v Botafogo69-75
15/11/19Botafogo v Pato85-79
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26HPaulistano74-80
18/04/26APaulistano71-92
16/04/26APinheiros55-88
11/04/26AOsasco68-77
09/04/26AFranca64-100
06/04/26HRio Claro70-78
02/04/26HBrasilia58-67
24/03/26ABauru70-94
18/03/26HSao Jose72-81
13/03/26HMogi72-80
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/26AFlamengo71-81
28/04/26HFranca78-82
25/04/26HFranca79-89
22/04/26AFranca68-94
18/04/26AVasco86-104
11/04/26HFlamengo89-102
09/04/26HMinas71-106
06/04/26HCruzeiro80-70
03/04/26HPaulistano72-86
24/03/26AUniao Corinthians78-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game80.080.0-
Point differential-6.0-6.0-
Avg total154.0154.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Botafogo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game71.0-71.0
Allowed / game81.0-81.0
Point differential-10.0--10.0
Avg total152.0-152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca220100%90.066.5+23.5
2 Unifacisa220100%88.567.5+21.0
3 Brasilia220100%97.582.5+15.0
4 Minas220100%83.068.5+14.5
5 Mogi32167%79.074.7+4.3
6 Bauru32167%75.376.0-0.7
7 Pinheiros21150%81.572.0+9.5
8 Flamengo21150%81.076.5+4.5
9 Cruzeiro21150%73.072.0+1.0
10 Osasco21150%81.582.5-1.0
11 Uniao Corinthians21150%77.081.0-4.0
12 Paulistano21150%76.582.5-6.0
13 Pato1010%74.080.0-6.0
14 Botafogo1010%71.081.0-10.0
15 Caxias do Sul2020%63.575.0-11.5
16 Corinthians Paulista2020%82.594.0-11.5
17 Sao Jose2020%63.586.5-23.0
18 Cearense2020%66.095.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2216272489
Botafogo2622132788
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