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Pato vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 58-67
13-16 13-14 20-20 12-17
Position#17
Record7-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game80.2
Pato
Brazil
vs
Brasilia 🏆
Brazil
Position#5
Record25-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game72.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pato v Brasilia
02 Apr 2026
PATO58
BRAS67
14 Mar 2025
PATO98
BRAS80
03 Nov 2023
PATO78
BRAS80
07 Apr 2023
PATO91
BRAS64
17 Feb 2022
PATO77
BRAS75
26 Jan 2021
PATO98
BRAS76
28 Oct 2019
PATO73
BRAS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A21/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H02/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
84-53
84
53
+31
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A18/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A21/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H07/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H13/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H18/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-94
70
94
-24
A24/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
18-23
4-17
18-18
24-19
21-13
20-23
10-29
17-22
25-14
25-7
17-10
27-19
22-13
18-20
26-15
16-21
24-14
8-10
11-19
14-21
18-21
23-24
12-16
19-21
18-17
19-26
23-25
13-26
22-19
17-19
20-16
15-13
19-17
24-28
14-23
16-20
18-21
21-29
15-24
150.7Avg total
73.8Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)73.380.2153.6-6.922%
Season at home (17)74.677.1151.6-2.529%
Season away (15)71.983.9155.7-12.013%
Last 10 (10)73.876.9150.7-3.120%
Last 5 (5)72.085.2157.2-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)70.081.8151.8-11.810%
vs Similar (10)79.576.9156.4+2.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H03/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H07/02
NBB
Minas
#3
L
91-92
91
92
-1
A17/02
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
93-87
93
87
+6
A19/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H06/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
81-49
81
49
+32
A11/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A14/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H20/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
72-69 OT
72
69
+3
H23/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H25/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
23-22
15-10
28-13
25-12
16-20
20-16
23-13
20-31
28-26
16-26
27-9
24-26
20-23
24-22
25-16
16-10
20-23
23-18
20-22
24-14
15-4
21-23
21-8
19-16
12-18
20-13
8-17
19-22
21-20
26-15
23-17
17-11
12-20
13-18
20-13
23-23
28-21
13-19
25-24
154.6Avg total
82.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)81.572.1153.6+9.474%
Season at home (16)83.470.6154.1+12.894%
Season away (18)79.873.4153.2+6.456%
Last 10 (10)82.672.0154.6+10.680%
Last 5 (5)78.068.6146.6+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.092.0176.0-8.00%
vs Similar (10)78.577.2155.7+1.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)83.170.2153.3+12.984%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +6.8+6.8
PatoBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A21/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H02/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A18/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H07/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H13/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H18/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A24/03
NBB
76.4Avg total
39.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.640.076.6-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.137.975.9+0.253%-
Last 30 away (13)34.742.777.4-8.023%-
Last 10 (10)39.337.176.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.273.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.040.275.2-5.330%-
vs Similar (10)39.939.479.3+0.560%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H03/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H07/02
NBB
Minas
#3
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A17/02
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A19/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H06/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
39-18
39
18
+21
A11/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A14/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H20/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H23/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H25/03
NBB
78.6Avg total
40.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.476.6+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.936.577.4+4.475%-
Last 30 away (18)38.137.976.1+0.239%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.178.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.033.871.8+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (10)36.540.877.3-4.320%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.835.376.1+5.674%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.9
49.1%
52.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.99.6
29.2%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.411.2
64.4%
72.8%11.2
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.2
53.5%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.5
35.1%
32.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.1
72.3%
72.8%14.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LLLLLLWWLL
Brasilia
WWWLWWWLWW
#17
League position
#5
-3.5
Net rating
+11.1
82.7
Offensive rating
94.4
86.1
Defensive rating
83.4
46.5%
Effective FG%
53.1%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.2%
3-point %
35.1%
54.7%
Assist %
63.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence82.7 · 94.4Defence86.1 · 83.4Shooting46.5% · 53.1%3-point %29.2% · 35.1%Ball care17.5% · 16.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Pato   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Pato wins
4
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
23/12/25Brasilia v Pato84-69
14/03/25Pato v Brasilia98-80
16/12/24Brasilia v Pato98-94
06/01/24Brasilia v Pato65-77
03/11/23Pato v Brasilia78-80
07/04/23Pato v Brasilia91-64
03/01/23Brasilia v Pato79-66
17/02/22Pato v Brasilia77-75
21/11/21Brasilia v Pato53-70
26/01/21Pato v Brasilia98-76
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/26ABauru70-94
18/03/26HSao Jose72-81
13/03/26HMogi72-80
07/03/26HCorinthians Paulista79-89
21/02/26AUnifacisa67-82
18/02/26ACearense59-64
12/02/26HBotafogo93-67
05/02/26HFlamengo84-53
02/02/26HVasco75-84
21/01/26AMinas67-75
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/26HFlamengo89-87
23/03/26HMogi72-69 OT
20/03/26HCorinthians Paulista89-74
14/03/26AUnifacisa59-64
11/03/26ACearense81-49
06/03/26HBotafogo79-73
19/02/26ACruzeiro93-87
17/02/26AMinas91-92
07/02/26HVasco84-61
03/02/26HUniao Corinthians89-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWWLLL29%
AwayLLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %22%29%13%
Points / game73.374.671.9
Allowed / game80.277.183.9
Point differential-6.9-2.5-12.0
Avg total153.6151.6155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%6%7%
Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %74%94%56%
Points / game81.583.479.8
Allowed / game72.170.673.4
Point differential+9.4+12.8+6.4
Avg total153.6154.1153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)83% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %9%6%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros3529683%85.974.6+11.4
2 Franca3327682%91.176.8+14.2
3 Minas3325876%87.082.0+5.1
4 Brasilia3425974%81.572.1+9.4
5 Flamengo3425974%86.878.3+8.5
6 Corinthians Paulista32221069%84.679.0+5.6
7 Paulistano34211362%83.378.3+5.0
8 Bauru35211460%81.878.7+3.1
9 Sao Jose34201459%82.680.4+2.2
10 Mogi34191556%76.170.6+5.5
11 Uniao Corinthians33181555%79.481.0-1.6
12 Unifacisa33161748%80.981.1-0.2
13 Caxias do Sul34151944%72.976.6-3.6
14 Cruzeiro33112233%79.785.6-6.0
15 Rio Claro34102429%78.286.4-8.1
16 Botafogo3392427%72.682.3-9.7
17 Pato3272522%73.380.2-6.9
18 Cearense3462818%76.088.4-12.4
19 Vasco3452915%70.079.9-9.9
20 Osasco3452915%75.887.8-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1313201258
Brasilia1614201767
← all games of the day
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