PythiaBasketballBETA
NBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Pato will host Corinthians Paulista on 19 November 2026 in the NBB, with the model designating Corinthians Paulista as the favourite because their 3-4 record and 80.0 points per game give them a higher win probability of 84% versus Pato's 16%. Pato has struggled all season, 2-6 overall with 72.6 points scored and 81.5 allowed, and 1-3 at home, scoring 76.8 and conceding 86.5; their last five games yielded only one win. Corinthians Paulista, meanwhile, has posted a 3-4 record, 80.0 points scored and 79.0 allowed, and 1-3 on the road with 79.8 points and 85.0 allowed, and won three of their last five. The teams have met ten times, with Corinthians winning seven, most recently 89-79 on 7 March 2026. Pythia projects a 74-85 scoreline, a total of 159.6 points, and a 3% chance of overtime. The home team line is 16% to cover. The game ends with Corinthians Paulista winning 85-74.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 72.6 | 81.5 | 154.1 | -8.9 | 25% |
| Season at home (4) | 76.8 | 86.5 | 163.2 | -9.8 | 25% |
| Season away (4) | 68.5 | 76.5 | 145.0 | -8.0 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 70.7 | 83.2 | 153.9 | -12.5 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 70.6 | 79.6 | 150.2 | -9.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (21) | 69.8 | 82.7 | 152.5 | -13.0 | 5% |
| vs Similar (8) | 77.1 | 76.8 | 153.9 | +0.4 | 38% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 79.0 | 77.0 | 156.0 | +2.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 80.0 | 79.0 | 159.0 | +1.0 | 43% |
| Season at home (3) | 80.3 | 71.0 | 151.3 | +9.3 | 67% |
| Season away (4) | 79.8 | 85.0 | 164.8 | -5.2 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.5 | 80.7 | 162.2 | +0.8 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.0 | 73.0 | 152.0 | +6.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 79.7 | 81.9 | 161.6 | -2.2 | 33% |
| vs Similar (14) | 88.0 | 85.9 | 173.9 | +2.1 | 57% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 89.1 | 79.3 | 168.4 | +9.9 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.3 | 40.6 | 76.9 | -4.3 | 30% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 37.4 | 38.6 | 76.1 | -1.2 | 38% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 34.9 | 42.9 | 77.8 | -7.9 | 21% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.1 | 43.6 | 77.7 | -9.5 | 0% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.4 | 42.4 | 78.8 | -6.0 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (21) | 34.5 | 41.9 | 76.4 | -7.3 | 14% | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 41.0 | 37.4 | 78.4 | +3.6 | 75% | - |
| vs Weaker (1) | 35.0 | 40.0 | 75.0 | -5.0 | 0% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.6 | 41.7 | 84.3 | +0.9 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 44.4 | 40.5 | 84.9 | +3.9 | 64% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 41.0 | 42.8 | 83.8 | -1.8 | 56% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.1 | 40.6 | 81.7 | +0.5 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.0 | 34.6 | 74.6 | +5.4 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 40.6 | 45.3 | 85.9 | -4.8 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (14) | 43.8 | 41.3 | 85.1 | +2.5 | 57% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 42.9 | 38.0 | 80.9 | +4.9 | 100% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.0 | 15.6 | 49.8% | 31.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.6 | 7.6 | 31.6% | 22.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 11.3 | 7.1 | 71.3% | 7.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.2 | 19.3 | 49.8% | 38.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.4 | 10.3 | 31.6% | 30.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.4 | 14.5 | 71.3% | 14.5 |
Pato
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | Pato v Corinthians Paulista | 79-89 |
| 19/11/25 | Corinthians Paulista v Pato | 87-68 |
| 29/12/24 | Pato v Corinthians Paulista | 76-85 |
| 14/10/24 | Corinthians Paulista v Pato | 86-89 |
| 28/03/24 | Pato v Corinthians Paulista | 100-87 |
| 16/12/23 | Corinthians Paulista v Pato | 85-81 |
| 15/02/23 | Corinthians Paulista v Pato | 102-78 |
| 18/11/22 | Pato v Corinthians Paulista | 68-96 |
| 28/01/22 | Corinthians Paulista v Pato | 58-60 |
| 28/10/21 | Pato v Corinthians Paulista | 73-80 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Uniao Corinthians | 62-67 |
| 12/11/26 | A | Caxias do Sul | 79-77 |
| 09/11/26 | H | Bauru | 78-98 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Flamengo | 66-80 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Cruzeiro | 68-76 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Minas | 65-86 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Botafogo | 89-88 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Paulistano | 74-80 |
| 18/04/26 | A | Paulistano | 71-92 |
| 16/04/26 | A | Pinheiros | 55-88 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWL | 25% |
| Home | LWLL | 25% |
| Away | LLWL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Points / game | 72.6 | 76.8 | 68.5 |
| Allowed / game | 81.5 | 86.5 | 76.5 |
| Point differential | -8.9 | -9.8 | -8.0 |
| Avg total | 154.1 | 163.2 | 145.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 100% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLW | 43% |
| Home | WLW | 67% |
| Away | LLLW | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Points / game | 80.0 | 80.3 | 79.8 |
| Allowed / game | 79.0 | 71.0 | 85.0 |
| Point differential | +1.0 | +9.3 | -5.2 |
| Avg total | 159.0 | 151.3 | 164.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 67% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minas | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 85.1 | 65.4 | +19.8 |
| 2 |  Mogi | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 83.1 | 73.9 | +9.3 |
| 3 |  Pinheiros | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 85.2 | 73.1 | +12.1 |
| 4 |  Flamengo | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 80.9 | 73.4 | +7.4 |
| 5 |  Unifacisa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 79.4 | 75.1 | +4.3 |
| 6 |  Franca | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 78.9 | 71.6 | +7.2 |
| 7 |  Uniao Corinthians | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 72.3 | 74.7 | -2.4 |
| 8 |  Brasilia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 80.6 | 79.8 | +0.9 |
| 9 |  Cruzeiro | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 76.2 | 78.8 | -2.7 |
| 10 | Corinthians Paulista | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.0 | 79.0 | +1.0 |
| 11 |  Bauru | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.7 | 77.7 | -1.0 |
| 12 |  Sao Jose | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.3 | 81.7 | -1.4 |
| 13 |  Paulistano | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 69.6 | 73.9 | -4.3 |
| 14 |  Botafogo | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 76.7 | 83.0 | -6.3 |
| 15 | Pato | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 72.6 | 81.5 | -8.9 |
| 16 |  Osasco | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 77.8 | 86.8 | -9.0 |
| 17 |  Cearense | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 65.6 | 83.7 | -18.1 |
| 18 |  Caxias do Sul | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 64.7 | 79.6 | -14.9 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.
