PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pato vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 91-94
15-18 26-23 19-27 31-26
Position#14
Record9-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#4
Record11-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game79.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pato v Bauru
09 Nov 2026
PATO v BAUR
upcoming
15 Dec 2025
PATO61
BAUR69
05 Feb 2025
PATO91
BAUR94
21 Apr 2024
PATO74
BAUR93
14 Nov 2023
PATO73
BAUR70
19 Dec 2022
PATO85
BAUR96
19 Apr 2022
PATO72
BAUR63
18 Dec 2021
PATO87
BAUR53
10 Dec 2020
PATO80
BAUR79
17 Dec 2019
PATO76
BAUR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
85avg 72
A13/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 72
A16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
85-81
85
81
+4
75avg 72
H19/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
90-106
90
106
-16
85avg 72
H21/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 72
H27/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
76-85
76
85
-9
68avg 72
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-80
67
80
-13
52avg 72
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 72
A13/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
78-65
78
65
+13
70avg 72
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
70avg 72
H22/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
29-26
20-26
24-29
22-21
24-19
26-27
22-31
22-18
16-23
22-19
25-21
28-30
20-26
20-21
22-29
22-16
19-18
21-25
28-27
19-22
22-18
25-23
10-22
15-16
19-13
13-22
20-29
31-17
19-29
16-23
10-11
16-20
21-15
16-17
25-13
24-19
17-22
19-15
21-18
168.0Avg total
82.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.483.5164.9-2.139%
Season at home (13)84.581.5165.9+3.062%
Season away (10)77.486.1163.5-8.710%
Last 10 (10)82.885.2168.0-2.440%
Last 5 (5)75.676.8152.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.192.1173.3-11.014%
vs Similar (17)79.279.5158.7-0.447%
vs Weaker (6)84.778.8163.5+5.867%
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
71-66
71
66
+5
61avg 73
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 73
A05/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
97-91
97
91
+6
89avg 73
H13/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
78avg 73
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
72avg 73
A20/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 73
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
58avg 73
A27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
63avg 73
A29/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 73
H11/01
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
73-85
73
85
-12
59avg 73
H20/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
21-14
21-15
16-13
21-19
17-16
17-29
22-19
16-18
26-29
26-20
29-24
18-14
19-24
15-22
27-19
20-16
15-39
27-21
17-18
9-13
16-22
20-29
18-17
27-28
16-22
10-18
20-15
18-26
18-18
20-18
11-15
18-21
23-12
18-20
16-20
18-21
12-29
26-22
17-13
159.3Avg total
76.7Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.879.7157.5-2.052%
Season at home (10)78.675.7154.3+2.980%
Season away (11)77.083.4160.4-6.427%
Last 10 (10)76.782.6159.3-5.930%
Last 5 (5)70.279.8150.0-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.488.4160.9-16.014%
vs Similar (16)77.077.9154.9-0.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)78.776.9155.6+1.971%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
PatoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H21/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H27/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A13/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/01
NBB
82.7Avg total
42.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.781.4+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.139.381.4+2.865%-
Last 30 away (13)41.240.381.5+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.482.7+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.278.8+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.745.487.1-3.743%-
vs Similar (17)40.938.078.9+2.965%-
vs Weaker (6)43.838.081.8+5.883%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H13/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A20/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/01
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H20/01
NBB
78.6Avg total
36.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.777.3-2.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.538.776.2-1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)37.740.778.4-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)36.142.578.6-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)35.042.477.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.647.683.1-12.014%-
vs Similar (16)37.937.275.1+0.869%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.737.776.4+1.043%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.8
52.8%
50.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.2
32.7%
33.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
72.7%13.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.3
48.6%
50.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.1
30.2%
33.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.113.4
63.5%
72.7%13.4
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WWLLLWLWLL
Bauru
LWLLLLLWLW
#14
League position
#4
-3.0
Net rating
-8.7
110.1
Offensive rating
97.3
113.1
Defensive rating
105.9
51.0%
Effective FG%
47.1%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.9%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.7%
3-point %
30.2%
57.9%
Assist %
58.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 97.3Defence113.1 · 105.9Shooting51.0% · 47.1%3-point %32.7% · 30.2%Ball care16.3% · 18.9%Off. rebounds32.5% · 29.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Pato   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pato wins
8
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
13/12/24Bauru v Pato97-91
27/04/24Bauru v Pato71-62
21/04/24Pato v Bauru74-93
15/02/24Bauru v Pato89-79
14/11/23Pato v Bauru73-70
11/03/23Bauru v Pato74-55
19/12/22Pato v Bauru85-96
24/04/22Bauru v Pato88-79
23/04/22Bauru v Pato82-71
20/04/22Pato v Bauru72-63
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25HUniao Corinthians81-74
20/01/25HCaxias do Sul78-65
13/01/25ACearense76-80
10/01/25AUnifacisa67-80
29/12/24HCorinthians Paulista76-85
27/12/24HPinheiros90-86
21/12/24HMogi90-106
19/12/24HSao Jose85-81
16/12/24ABrasilia94-98
13/12/24ABauru91-97
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25HPaulistano73-85
11/01/25HSao Paulo75-73
29/12/24ABrasilia67-77
27/12/24AMinas73-83
23/12/24AVasco63-81
20/12/24AFlamengo79-94
18/12/24ABotafogo92-93 OT
13/12/24HPato97-91
05/12/24AUniao Corinthians77-83
03/12/24ACaxias do Sul71-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW39%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %39%62%10%
Points / game81.484.577.4
Allowed / game83.581.586.1
Point differential-2.1+3.0-8.7
Avg total164.9165.9163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL52%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%80%27%
Points / game77.878.677.0
Allowed / game79.775.783.4
Point differential-2.0+2.9-6.4
Avg total157.5154.3160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %10%10%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2118386%83.371.2+12.1
2 Flamengo2116576%84.172.8+11.4
3 Brasilia2214864%82.681.4+1.2
4 Franca2112957%80.978.0+2.9
5 Pinheiros2112957%76.275.0+1.2
6 Uniao Corinthians2112957%78.178.6-0.5
7 Paulistano21111052%78.575.3+3.1
8 Bauru21111052%77.879.7-2.0
9 Sao Jose23121152%78.877.0+1.7
10 Vasco23121152%74.774.9-0.2
11 Unifacisa22111150%75.775.5+0.2
12 Corinthians Paulista23111248%81.480.2+1.2
13 Sao Paulo23101343%77.079.1-2.2
14 Pato2391439%81.483.5-2.1
15 Mogi2491538%73.879.2-5.4
16 Caxias do Sul2261627%72.879.1-6.4
17 Cearense2261627%70.577.0-6.5
18 Botafogo2261627%72.881.0-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1526193191
Bauru1823272694
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.