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Pato vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 75-84
24-19 21-13 20-23 10-29
Position#17
Record5-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
Position#20
Record3-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game79.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pato v Vasco
02 Feb 2026
PATO75
VASC84
12 Nov 2024
PATO76
VASC84
15 Jan 2024
PATO67
VASC76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
109-101 OT
109
101
+8
103avg 67
A09/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
61-69
61
69
-8
59avg 67
H15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 67
H18/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
82-67
82
67
+15
77avg 67
H20/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-84
69
84
-15
61avg 67
A23/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-94
67
94
-27
64avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
78avg 67
H09/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 67
H12/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
81-89
81
89
-8
78avg 67
A19/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
67-75
67
75
-8
54avg 67
A21/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
23-18
25-15
14-26
13-15
15-16
15-17
18-21
19-26
18-24
11-16
23-27
21-20
19-15
22-15
20-17
18-20
18-20
8-19
25-25
18-27
15-25
16-21
18-21
15-26
24-17
15-14
16-13
19-22
17-19
19-22
17-17
20-27
19-26
25-17
17-19
27-17
18-23
4-17
18-18
160.7Avg total
76.4Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.881.5154.3-8.722%
Season at home (11)72.177.8149.9-5.727%
Season away (12)73.584.8158.3-11.317%
Last 10 (10)76.484.3160.7-7.920%
Last 5 (5)74.485.8160.2-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)70.783.4154.1-12.85%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.178.9161.0+3.262%
vs Weaker (1)76.090.0166.0-14.00%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
70avg 68
A13/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 68
H16/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
72avg 68
H18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
59-71
59
71
-12
54avg 68
A21/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
71avg 68
A23/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
80-102
80
102
-22
76avg 68
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
75-78
75
78
-3
59avg 68
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
78-73
78
73
+5
65avg 68
A13/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
H17/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
60-67
60
67
-7
49avg 68
H20/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
15-22
18-24
16-17
11-22
20-19
28-22
19-22
15-16
17-23
16-18
21-12
15-19
11-25
19-19
14-8
17-21
23-15
10-23
25-20
19-22
19-29
19-27
23-24
14-21
21-24
14-16
26-17
10-20
25-18
14-24
29-11
12-21
24-18
12-17
19-19
7-25
16-16
18-11
19-15
151.5Avg total
72.2Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)68.879.1148.0-10.313%
Season at home (10)72.881.5154.3-8.710%
Season away (13)65.877.3143.1-11.515%
Last 10 (10)72.279.3151.5-7.120%
Last 5 (5)72.079.0151.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)68.580.5149.0-12.010%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.879.1156.9-1.340%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +4.6+4.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +4.6+4.6
PatoVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A09/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H18/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H20/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A23/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H12/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A19/01
NBB
Minas
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A21/01
NBB
80.0Avg total
37.5Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.642.479.0-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.639.476.1-2.836%-
Last 30 away (16)36.644.981.5-8.419%-
Last 10 (10)37.542.580.0-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.445.884.2-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)36.041.777.7-5.724%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.442.681.0-4.238%-
vs Weaker (1)35.054.089.0-19.00%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A13/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H16/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A23/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H17/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H20/01
NBB
74.9Avg total
33.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.639.074.5-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.038.873.8-3.831%-
Last 30 away (17)36.039.175.1-3.135%-
Last 10 (10)33.241.774.9-8.510%-
Last 5 (5)33.442.876.2-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)33.539.973.3-6.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.737.276.9+2.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.5
51.3%
52.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.3
31.6%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.213.4
69.8%
72.8%13.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.416.9
47.7%
52.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.4
30.7%
32.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.312.6
62.1%
72.8%12.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LLLLLLWLLW
Vasco
LLWLLLLWLL
#17
League position
#20
-8.4
Net rating
-7.7
93.3
Offensive rating
90.5
101.7
Defensive rating
98.3
49.5%
Effective FG%
47.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
20.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.6%
3-point %
30.7%
61.2%
Assist %
76.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 90.5Defence101.7 · 98.3Shooting49.5% · 47.0%3-point %31.6% · 30.7%Ball care20.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.0% · 23.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Pato   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pato wins
4
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
04/11/25Vasco v Pato65-70
14/02/25Vasco v Pato98-86
12/11/24Pato v Vasco76-84
15/01/24Pato v Vasco67-76
27/10/23Vasco v Pato71-62
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AMinas67-75
19/01/26ACruzeiro81-89
12/01/26HUniao Corinthians72-80
09/01/26HCaxias do Sul85-91 OT
29/12/25HPinheiros67-94
23/12/25ABrasilia69-84
20/12/25HOsasco82-67
18/12/25HFranca71-93
15/12/25HBauru61-69
09/12/25ARio Claro109-101 OT
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26HMogi60-67
17/01/26HCorinthians Paulista67-75
13/01/26ACearense78-73
10/01/26AUnifacisa75-78
27/12/25HFlamengo80-102
23/12/25ACruzeiro75-79
21/12/25AMinas59-71
18/12/25HCaxias do Sul80-79 OT
16/12/25HUniao Corinthians78-85
13/12/25APinheiros70-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLWLLL27%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %22%27%17%
Points / game72.872.173.5
Allowed / game81.577.884.8
Point differential-8.7-5.7-11.3
Avg total154.3149.9158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL13%
HomeLWLLL10%
AwayLLLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %13%10%15%
Points / game68.872.865.8
Allowed / game79.181.577.3
Point differential-10.3-8.7-11.5
Avg total148.0154.3143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2320387%88.976.0+13.0
2 Franca2319483%88.774.3+14.4
3 Pinheiros2319483%87.375.2+12.0
4 Minas2319483%86.578.6+7.9
5 Brasilia2417771%81.172.1+9.0
6 Corinthians Paulista2416867%82.777.6+5.1
7 Sao Jose2314961%82.379.3+3.0
8 Paulistano2213959%80.676.6+4.0
9 Unifacisa23131057%81.279.8+1.3
10 Mogi22121055%76.369.4+6.9
11 Uniao Corinthians22121055%80.682.0-1.5
12 Bauru24121250%77.378.0-0.7
13 Caxias do Sul23101343%72.277.7-5.5
14 Cruzeiro2271532%79.285.6-6.4
15 Rio Claro2251723%75.587.7-12.2
16 Pato2351822%72.881.5-8.7
17 Cearense2351822%77.587.2-9.7
18 Botafogo2341917%72.382.9-10.7
19 Osasco2341917%75.187.2-12.1
20 Vasco2332013%68.879.1-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2421201075
Vasco1913232984
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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