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Perth vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 05:30
Final 123-112
42-24 27-24 24-37 30-27
Position#3
Record7-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game92.7
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#9
Record7-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game84.9
AustraliaNBLRound 10· RAC Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Perth v New Zealand Breakers
15 Jan 2027
PERT v NEW
upcoming
10 Oct 2026
PERT100
NEW 84
26 Sep 2026
PERT97
NEW 93
15 Nov 2025
PERT88
NEW 75
01 Dec 2024
PERT123
NEW 112
04 Feb 2024
PERT78
NEW 89
10 Nov 2023
PERT94
NEW 76
10 Jan 2023
PERT93
NEW 90
07 Apr 2022
PERT89
NEW 80
20 Mar 2022
PERT95
NEW 85
09 May 2021
PERT98
NEW 84
18 Apr 2021
PERT78
NEW 83
12 Mar 2021
PERT85
NEW 75
25 Jan 2020
PERT80
NEW 79
17 Nov 2019
PERT88
NEW 77
25 Nov 2018
PERT91
NEW 86
03 Nov 2018
PERT92
NEW 78
27 Jan 2018
PERT90
NEW 73
12 Nov 2017
PERT82
NEW 88
13 Nov 2016
PERT86
NEW 87
14 Oct 2016
PERT75
NEW 73
06 Mar 2016
PERT75
NEW 52
02 Mar 2016
PERT82
NEW 76
27 Nov 2015
PERT86
NEW 80
16 Oct 2015
PERT83
NEW 80
15 Feb 2015
PERT87
NEW 89
10 Oct 2014
PERT70
NEW 80
17 Jan 2014
PERT97
NEW 72
06 Dec 2013
PERT95
NEW 91
12 Apr 2013
PERT66
NEW 70
22 Mar 2013
PERT73
NEW 58
22 Nov 2012
PERT89
NEW 64
20 Apr 2012
PERT87
NEW 86
04 Mar 2012
PERT99
NEW 101
23 Dec 2011
PERT86
NEW 62
10 Apr 2011
PERT89
NEW 93
14 Nov 2010
PERT114
NEW 74
08 Jan 2010
PERT76
NEW 72
08 Nov 2009
PERT94
NEW 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
90-87
90
87
+3
74avg 84
A10/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 84
A19/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
76avg 84
H25/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
113-105
113
105
+8
112avg 84
H01/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
76-100
76
100
-24
61avg 84
A03/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
88-82
88
82
+6
80avg 84
H07/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
97-106
97
106
-9
92avg 84
A09/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
97-84
97
84
+13
92avg 84
H15/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
84-105
84
105
-21
64avg 84
A17/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
117-89
117
89
+28
118avg 84
H29/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
19-18
27-26
15-20
18-24
21-17
19-27
27-21
21-21
20-23
24-16
22-24
39-31
23-22
27-30
24-22
23-35
21-19
16-27
16-19
27-27
20-24
21-14
20-17
29-31
36-20
12-32
20-23
18-26
40-22
18-12
21-24
26-25
13-22
26-27
19-31
31-24
32-22
28-13
26-30
186.5Avg total
93.4Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.092.7183.7-1.750%
Season at home (8)95.490.9186.2+4.575%
Season away (6)85.295.2180.3-10.017%
Last 10 (10)93.493.1186.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)96.693.2189.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)113.0105.0218.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (17)89.495.7185.1-6.435%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)98.888.7187.5+10.275%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
69avg 79
H29/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
61avg 79
A17/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
83avg 79
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
62-88
62
88
-26
48avg 79
H24/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
93-89
93
89
+4
91avg 79
A27/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
109-82
109
82
+27
110avg 79
H02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
113-79
113
79
+34
121avg 79
A04/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
64-83
64
83
-19
54avg 79
A09/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
77-69
77
69
+8
63avg 79
A16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
71-109
71
109
-38
56avg 79
A28/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
22-15
27-23
21-20
13-17
20-22
17-19
23-26
24-18
17-21
27-19
21-27
17-27
18-20
16-18
11-23
18-25
31-20
23-24
21-20
33-19
19-20
34-19
23-24
25-13
30-18
29-21
29-27
27-20
14-25
3-19
20-19
28-23
24-19
11-17
14-10
12-32
17-20
27-20
15-37
167.9Avg total
83.2Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.984.9168.8-1.064%
Season at home (5)86.484.2170.6+2.280%
Season away (6)81.885.5167.3-3.750%
Last 10 (10)83.284.7167.9-1.560%
Last 5 (5)86.884.4171.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)85.789.4175.1-3.655%
vs Similar (16)89.185.9175.1+3.262%
vs Weaker (3)85.080.3165.3+4.733%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -3.5-3.5
PerthNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A10/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A19/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H25/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H01/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A03/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H07/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
65-51
65
51
+14
A09/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H15/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A17/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
63-46
63
46
+17
H29/11
NBL
98.2Avg total
50.6Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.047.796.7+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.248.297.4+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)48.947.296.1+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)50.647.698.2+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)54.448.6103.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.053.0115.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (17)47.150.197.1-3.041%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)50.843.994.7+6.867%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H29/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A17/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H24/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A04/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A09/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A28/11
NBL
83.5Avg total
42.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.442.687.0+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.542.188.5+4.462%-
Last 30 away (17)42.843.085.8-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.583.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.887.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.342.984.2-1.645%-
vs Similar (16)46.643.289.8+3.456%-
vs Weaker (3)44.038.382.3+5.767%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.5
49.2%
52.3%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.3
36.3%
35.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.816.9
77.5%
74.7%16.9
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.8
51.5%
52.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.5
34.3%
35.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.512.1
73.3%
74.7%12.1
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WLWLWLWWLW
New Zealand Breakers
LWLWWWLWLW
#3
League position
#9
+0.9
Net rating
-2.5
114.9
Offensive rating
108.9
114.1
Defensive rating
111.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.5%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
14.0%
Turnover %
16.2%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.3%
3-point %
34.3%
54.3%
Assist %
56.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 108.9Defence114.1 · 111.4Shooting51.2% · 51.5%3-point %36.3% · 34.3%Ball care14.0% · 16.2%Off. rebounds33.9% · 31.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Perth   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Perth wins
3
New Zealand Breakers wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24HBrisbane Bullets117-89
17/11/24ABrisbane Bullets84-105
15/11/24HSouth East Melbourne97-84
09/11/24AMelbourne United97-106
07/11/24HTasmania JackJumpers88-82
03/11/24ASouth East Melbourne76-100
01/11/24HIllawarra Hawks113-105
25/10/24HSydney87-84
19/10/24ANew Zealand Breakers85-89
10/10/24ACairns Taipans90-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24AIllawarra Hawks71-109
16/11/24ACairns Taipans77-69
09/11/24ATasmania JackJumpers64-83
04/11/24AMelbourne United113-79
02/11/24HAdelaide109-82
27/10/24ASydney93-89
24/10/24HSouth East Melbourne62-88
19/10/24HPerth89-85
17/10/24ABrisbane Bullets73-84
29/09/24HSouth East Melbourne81-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%75%17%
Points / game91.095.485.2
Allowed / game92.790.995.2
Point differential-1.7+4.5-10.0
Avg total183.7186.2180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%17%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL64%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game83.986.481.8
Allowed / game84.984.285.5
Point differential-1.0+2.2-3.7
Avg total168.8170.6167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1511473%95.788.1+7.5
2 New Zealand Breakers117464%83.984.9-1.0
3 Illawarra Hawks138562%97.088.5+8.5
4 Sydney158753%86.983.3+3.6
5 Perth147750%91.092.7-1.7
6 Adelaide126650%89.292.9-3.7
7 South East Melbourne146843%87.485.4+2.1
8 Tasmania JackJumpers146843%78.882.7-3.9
9 Brisbane Bullets114736%91.094.9-3.9
10 Cairns Taipans1331023%81.891.8-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth42272430123
New Zealand Breakers24243727112
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