PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

South East Melbourne vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 97-107
26-32 24-26 25-21 22-28
Position#2
Record16-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game98.9
Allowed / game90.6
South East Melbourne
Australia
vs
Perth 🏆
Australia
Position#5
Record13-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game86.3
AustraliaNBLRound 16· John Cain Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · South East Melbourne v Perth
24 Jan 2027
SOUT v PERT
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
SOUT v PERT
upcoming
04 Mar 2026
SOUT111
PERT94
10 Jan 2026
SOUT97
PERT107
02 Nov 2025
SOUT94
PERT89
03 Nov 2024
SOUT100
PERT76
27 Jan 2024
SOUT91
PERT103
01 Oct 2023
SOUT110
PERT99
09 Feb 2023
SOUT99
PERT106
22 Jan 2023
SOUT112
PERT91
26 Feb 2022
SOUT86
PERT80
05 Feb 2022
SOUT79
PERT101
14 Feb 2021
SOUT96
PERT71
11 Feb 2021
SOUT75
PERT106
08 Dec 2019
SOUT98
PERT108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South East Melbourne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
109-113 OT
109
113
-4
86avg 87
A04/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
111-86
111
86
+25
105avg 87
H07/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
68avg 87
H10/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
92-80
92
80
+12
85avg 87
H13/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
77-76
77
76
+1
61avg 87
A18/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
107-78
107
78
+29
98avg 87
H20/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
84-87
84
87
-3
76avg 87
A29/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
111-96
111
96
+15
98avg 87
A31/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
124-117
124
117
+7
111avg 87
A05/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
124-113 OT
124
113
+11
108avg 87
H08/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-31
26-23
22-20
32-19
32-22
28-23
23-21
28-20
36-27
12-25
18-18
15-19
26-20
18-21
27-21
21-18
17-22
9-18
31-20
20-16
22-17
33-21
25-12
27-28
15-23
18-26
23-17
28-21
21-28
27-24
35-26
28-18
31-35
28-25
36-32
29-25
23-25
32-25
24-29
27-27
195.5Avg total
102.0Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)98.990.6189.5+8.370%
Season at home (11)101.288.1189.3+13.173%
Season away (12)96.892.9189.8+3.967%
Last 10 (10)102.093.5195.5+8.570%
Last 5 (5)110.098.2208.2+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)105.4106.6212.0-1.260%
vs Similar ◀ (7)92.095.9187.9-3.943%
vs Weaker (18)99.188.9187.9+10.272%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
87-98
87
98
-11
79avg 87
A23/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
90avg 87
H04/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
94-95
94
95
-1
86avg 87
H07/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
79-108
79
108
-29
59avg 87
H12/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
86-62
86
62
+24
74avg 87
A14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
66avg 87
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
94-85
94
85
+9
82avg 87
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
71avg 87
A28/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
95-75
95
75
+20
85avg 87
A01/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 87
A04/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
25-27
26-23
14-24
33-20
23-22
20-15
20-27
25-22
25-18
28-20
16-35
25-26
17-18
21-32
16-32
22-13
27-21
16-15
21-13
22-17
18-9
20-31
16-20
19-18
25-24
27-22
23-21
29-20
20-26
9-29
26-20
25-16
15-28
31-11
24-20
28-23
20-22
32-29
19-17
176.0Avg total
89.0Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)89.186.3175.4+2.757%
Season at home (10)87.588.8176.3-1.340%
Season away (13)90.384.5174.8+5.869%
Last 10 (10)89.087.0176.0+2.050%
Last 5 (5)89.684.6174.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.5101.0176.5-25.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)95.995.2191.2+0.746%
vs Weaker (15)92.783.9176.5+8.880%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
South East MelbournePerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A04/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H07/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H10/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A18/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H20/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A29/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A31/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A05/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H08/01
NBL
94.8Avg total
46.7Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.947.696.5+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.343.994.1+6.464%-
Last 30 away (16)47.850.998.6-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)46.748.194.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)50.049.899.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.055.8107.8-3.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)49.148.397.4+0.943%-
vs Weaker (18)48.045.193.1+2.956%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A23/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H04/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H07/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H12/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A28/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A01/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A04/01
NBL
87.9Avg total
46.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.145.692.7+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.445.992.3+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)47.645.493.0+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)46.541.487.9+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.684.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.547.090.5-3.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)50.247.898.0+2.354%-
vs Weaker (15)44.943.588.3+1.460%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 101.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.323.7
54.7%
54.6%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.112.0
31.5%
33.3%36.0
🏀 Free throws24.017.8
74.2%
74.8%17.8
They take 81.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.722.1
49.4%
54.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.1
34.0%
33.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.616.6
73.5%
74.8%16.6
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
South East Melbourne
WWWLWWWLWL
Perth
WWLWLWLLWL
#2
League position
#5
+9.8
Net rating
+2.2
117.0
Offensive rating
111.8
107.2
Defensive rating
109.6
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
10.7%
Turnover %
13.8%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.5%
3-point %
34.0%
58.5%
Assist %
55.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 111.8Defence107.2 · 109.6Shooting51.2% · 50.0%3-point %31.5% · 34.0%Ball care10.7% · 13.8%Off. rebounds34.6% · 32.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ South East Melbourne   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
South East Melbourne wins
6
Perth wins
DateGameScore
18/12/25Perth v South East Melbourne76-77
02/11/25South East Melbourne v Perth94-89
11/02/25Perth v South East Melbourne122-105
31/01/25Perth v South East Melbourne100-99
15/11/24Perth v South East Melbourne97-84
03/11/24South East Melbourne v Perth100-76
20/09/24Perth v South East Melbourne106-98
27/01/24South East Melbourne v Perth91-103
13/01/24Perth v South East Melbourne100-79
01/10/23South East Melbourne v Perth110-99
South East Melbournelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26HIllawarra Hawks124-113 OT
05/01/26ASydney124-117
31/12/25ACairns Taipans111-96
29/12/25ATasmania JackJumpers84-87
20/12/25HBrisbane Bullets107-78
18/12/25APerth77-76
13/12/25HNew Zealand Breakers92-80
10/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers81-89
07/12/25HMelbourne United111-86
04/12/25AIllawarra Hawks109-113 OT
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ANew Zealand Breakers99-91
01/01/26ABrisbane Bullets95-75
28/12/25AAdelaide84-95
21/12/25ATasmania JackJumpers94-85
18/12/25HSouth East Melbourne76-77
14/12/25ABrisbane Bullets86-62
12/12/25HSydney79-108
07/12/25HAdelaide94-95
04/12/25HMelbourne United96-84
23/11/25AMelbourne United87-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South East Melbourne
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %70%73%67%
Points / game98.9101.296.8
Allowed / game90.688.192.9
Point differential+8.3+13.1+3.9
Avg total189.5189.3189.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %57%40%69%
Points / game89.187.590.3
Allowed / game86.388.884.5
Point differential+2.7-1.3+5.8
Avg total175.4176.3174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide2419579%91.885.2+6.7
2 South East Melbourne2316770%98.990.6+8.3
3 Melbourne United2415962%93.888.8+4.9
4 Sydney2314961%95.385.7+9.6
5 Perth23131057%89.186.3+2.7
6 Tasmania JackJumpers25121348%85.684.8+0.7
7 Illawarra Hawks2281436%90.196.9-6.8
8 New Zealand Breakers2381535%87.590.0-2.5
9 Cairns Taipans2361726%82.596.1-13.6
10 Brisbane Bullets2461825%84.995.4-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
South East Melbourne2624252297
Perth32262128107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.