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Adelaide vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 93-73
23-21 27-21 23-19 20-12
Position#3
Record15-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game86.4
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans
Australia
Position#9
Record5-14
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game95.7
AustraliaNBLRound 14· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Adelaide v Cairns Taipans
27 Sep 2026
ADEL83
CAIR69
24 Dec 2025
ADEL93
CAIR73
16 Nov 2025
ADEL105
CAIR101
25 Oct 2024
ADEL99
CAIR93
27 Jan 2024
ADEL88
CAIR71
09 Dec 2023
ADEL101
CAIR116
02 Dec 2022
ADEL78
CAIR75
18 Mar 2022
ADEL83
CAIR57
20 Feb 2022
ADEL82
CAIR71
11 Feb 2017
ADEL89
CAIR98
21 Oct 2016
ADEL83
CAIR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 88
H09/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
97-86
97
86
+11
91avg 88
A13/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
93avg 88
H16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
97-85
97
85
+12
87avg 88
H19/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
94-81
94
81
+13
92avg 88
A22/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
90-65
90
65
+25
92avg 88
H05/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
95-94
95
94
+1
94avg 88
A07/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
114-105 OT
114
105
+9
110avg 88
H12/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
86avg 88
A17/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
81avg 88
A20/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
27-27
31-28
11-22
26-15
26-23
28-17
17-31
26-27
25-23
27-18
13-23
21-22
23-27
27-15
26-21
19-23
18-20
30-21
27-17
23-20
27-13
27-12
13-20
22-25
18-25
20-28
35-16
27-22
32-26
22-19
14-28
29-23
27-20
9-23
20-19
21-21
20-18
19-20
24-19
184.2Avg total
95.6Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)92.786.4179.2+6.379%
Season at home (10)93.588.1181.6+5.480%
Season away (9)91.984.6176.4+7.378%
Last 10 (10)95.688.6184.2+7.080%
Last 5 (5)95.287.8183.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)93.394.2187.5-0.945%
vs Similar (10)94.090.2184.2+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)94.881.9176.7+12.9100%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
85-113
85
113
-28
80avg 78
A30/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
75-69
75
69
+6
63avg 78
A01/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
90-107
90
107
-17
82avg 78
H07/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
92avg 78
H14/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
95avg 78
A16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
96-102
96
102
-6
88avg 78
H22/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
84avg 78
A06/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
68-81
68
81
-13
62avg 78
H13/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
99-95
99
95
+4
102avg 78
H19/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
77-119
77
119
-42
69avg 78
A21/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
20-32
20-22
18-34
18-15
22-16
14-18
21-20
22-25
26-27
20-29
22-26
24-28
15-36
23-20
28-17
27-26
23-25
18-27
23-13
17-25
27-22
22-30
30-25
20-20
29-14
24-24
20-18
21-13
18-24
15-23
14-21
19-23
29-20
21-29
30-23
23-28
18-29
19-34
17-28
184.2Avg total
87.4Scored
96.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.095.7177.7-13.726%
Season at home (11)83.095.7178.7-12.718%
Season away (8)80.695.6176.2-15.038%
Last 10 (10)87.496.8184.2-9.430%
Last 5 (5)86.694.6181.2-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)86.497.4183.8-11.030%
vs Similar (7)88.992.0180.9-3.143%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
AdelaideCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A13/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H19/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A22/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H05/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A07/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H12/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A17/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A20/12
NBL
91.2Avg total
47.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.543.091.5+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.642.792.3+6.977%-
Last 30 away (17)47.643.390.9+4.359%-
Last 10 (10)47.543.791.2+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)49.242.691.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)48.644.993.5+3.755%-
vs Similar (10)48.242.790.9+5.570%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)48.641.189.7+7.478%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A30/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A01/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H07/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
39-64
39
64
-25
H14/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H22/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A06/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H13/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H19/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A21/12
NBL
91.8Avg total
44.5Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.648.692.2-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.249.192.2-5.938%-
Last 30 away (14)44.148.092.1-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)44.547.391.8-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.687.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)42.648.591.1-5.935%-
vs Similar (7)47.048.795.7-1.729%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.224.2
50.2%
54.6%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.3
35.8%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.218.8
77.7%
74.8%18.8
They take 74.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.8
53.2%
54.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.9
37.3%
33.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.514.1
76.2%
74.8%14.1
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
WLWWWWWWWL
Cairns Taipans
LWLWLLLLWL
#3
League position
#9
+9.4
Net rating
-12.2
118.9
Offensive rating
111.8
109.5
Defensive rating
124.0
51.4%
Effective FG%
54.4%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
10.5%
Turnover %
15.1%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.8%
3-point %
37.3%
63.9%
Assist %
69.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 111.8Defence109.5 · 124.0Shooting51.4% · 54.4%3-point %35.8% · 37.3%Ball care10.5% · 15.1%Off. rebounds31.3% · 24.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Adelaide   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Adelaide wins
3
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
16/11/25Adelaide v Cairns Taipans105-101 OT
18/10/25Cairns Taipans v Adelaide86-91
02/10/25Cairns Taipans v Adelaide79-110
19/01/25Cairns Taipans v Adelaide75-99
25/10/24Adelaide v Cairns Taipans99-93 OT
28/09/24Cairns Taipans v Adelaide101-97
27/01/24Adelaide v Cairns Taipans88-71
13/01/24Cairns Taipans v Adelaide111-101 OT
09/12/23Adelaide v Cairns Taipans101-116
30/01/23Cairns Taipans v Adelaide96-99
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AIllawarra Hawks84-78
17/12/25ASydney93-97 OT
12/12/25HMelbourne United114-105 OT
07/12/25APerth95-94
05/12/25HBrisbane Bullets90-65
22/11/25ASouth East Melbourne94-81
19/11/25HIllawarra Hawks97-85
16/11/25HCairns Taipans105-101 OT
13/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers97-86
09/11/25HPerth87-94
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25ASydney77-119
19/12/25HNew Zealand Breakers99-95
13/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers68-81
06/12/25AIllawarra Hawks93-76
22/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers96-102
16/11/25AAdelaide101-105 OT
14/11/25HSouth East Melbourne90-101
07/11/25HIllawarra Hawks90-107
01/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers75-69
30/10/25ABrisbane Bullets85-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %79%80%78%
Points / game92.793.591.9
Allowed / game86.488.184.6
Point differential+6.3+5.4+7.3
Avg total179.2181.6176.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%30%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %16%20%11%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL26%
HomeLLLLW18%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %26%18%38%
Points / game82.083.080.6
Allowed / game95.795.795.6
Point differential-13.7-12.7-15.0
Avg total177.7178.7176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide1915479%92.786.4+6.3
2 South East Melbourne1913668%96.487.9+8.5
3 Melbourne United2114767%94.889.0+5.9
4 Sydney1811761%93.985.9+8.0
5 Perth2011955%88.586.2+2.3
6 Tasmania JackJumpers2091145%85.985.8+0.1
7 New Zealand Breakers2071335%88.989.4-0.5
8 Illawarra Hawks1861233%88.796.2-7.5
9 Brisbane Bullets2061430%86.095.5-9.5
10 Cairns Taipans1951426%82.095.7-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide2327232093
Cairns Taipans2121191273
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