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Perth vs South East Melbourne Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 76-77
22-17 18-9 20-31 16-20
Position#5
Record10-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#2
Record11-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game96.9
Allowed / game89.2
AustraliaNBLRound 13· RAC Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Perth v South East Melbourne
02 Oct 2026
PERT92
SOUT88
19 Sep 2026
PERT79
SOUT100
28 Jan 2026
PERT101
SOUT93
18 Dec 2025
PERT76
SOUT77
11 Feb 2025
PERT122
SOUT105
31 Jan 2025
PERT100
SOUT99
15 Nov 2024
PERT97
SOUT84
20 Sep 2024
PERT106
SOUT98
13 Jan 2024
PERT100
SOUT79
17 Nov 2022
PERT103
SOUT96
28 Oct 2022
PERT90
SOUT91
24 Apr 2022
PERT100
SOUT102
03 Mar 2021
PERT93
SOUT92
29 Jan 2021
PERT89
SOUT90
24 Jan 2021
PERT88
SOUT76
17 Jan 2020
PERT97
SOUT71
25 Oct 2019
PERT110
SOUT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South East Melbourne winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
95-84
95
84
+11
88avg 88
A29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
87avg 88
A02/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
94-87
94
87
+7
91avg 88
A09/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
79avg 88
H15/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
101-95
101
95
+6
100avg 88
H21/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
87-98
87
98
-11
79avg 88
A23/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
90avg 88
H04/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
94-95
94
95
-1
86avg 88
H07/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
79-108
79
108
-29
59avg 88
H12/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
86-62
86
62
+24
74avg 88
A14/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
21-13
35-27
23-16
24-21
22-25
26-29
17-19
17-18
27-27
28-31
22-11
22-14
21-24
21-22
24-15
32-28
25-24
24-19
20-24
22-24
25-27
26-23
14-24
33-20
23-22
20-15
20-27
25-22
25-18
28-20
16-35
25-26
17-18
21-32
16-32
22-13
27-21
16-15
21-13
179.1Avg total
90.9Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.986.8175.8+2.156%
Season at home (9)88.890.1178.9-1.344%
Season away (9)89.183.6172.7+5.667%
Last 10 (10)90.988.2179.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)88.489.4177.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.5101.0176.5-25.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)98.397.1195.4+1.250%
vs Weaker (16)96.687.1183.6+9.575%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
W
94-89
94
89
+5
85avg 87
H02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
103-102
103
102
+1
92avg 87
A06/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
81-92
81
92
-11
73avg 87
H08/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
101-90
101
90
+11
91avg 87
A14/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
103-76
103
76
+27
92avg 87
A20/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
81-94
81
94
-13
71avg 87
H22/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
109-113 OT
109
113
-4
86avg 87
A04/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
111-86
111
86
+25
105avg 87
H07/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
68avg 87
H10/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
92-80
92
80
+12
85avg 87
H13/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
25-22
29-26
19-17
32-29
28-32
18-20
25-21
28-27
17-20
12-21
24-24
28-24
36-15
20-23
17-28
27-19
29-21
18-21
29-15
23-19
20-18
21-30
17-27
13-31
26-23
22-20
32-19
32-22
28-23
23-21
28-20
36-27
12-25
18-18
15-19
26-20
18-21
27-21
21-18
186.7Avg total
95.6Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)96.989.2186.2+7.765%
Season at home (9)98.086.4184.4+11.667%
Season away (8)95.892.4188.1+3.462%
Last 10 (10)95.691.1186.7+4.560%
Last 5 (5)94.892.4187.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)100.8104.0204.8-3.250%
vs Similar ◀ (8)94.899.8194.5-5.025%
vs Weaker (18)99.687.9187.6+11.778%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
PerthSouth East Melbourne
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H15/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H21/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A23/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H04/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H07/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H12/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A14/12
NBL
90.4Avg total
47.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.746.495.1+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.047.494.4-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)50.745.295.9+5.557%-
Last 10 (10)47.143.390.4+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)48.842.291.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.547.090.5-3.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)50.549.7100.2+0.842%-
vs Weaker (16)48.143.991.9+4.262%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A06/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H08/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
64-39
64
39
+25
A14/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A20/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H22/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A04/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H07/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H10/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/12
NBL
96.7Avg total
50.5Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.548.497.9+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.845.794.5+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)50.451.5101.9-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)50.546.296.7+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.845.892.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)50.254.8105.0-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)51.551.1102.6+0.438%-
vs Weaker (18)48.545.894.3+2.756%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.721.2
49.6%
54.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.8
36.0%
33.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.818.3
73.8%
74.8%18.3
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.4
49.5%
54.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.313.2
35.4%
33.3%39.6
🏀 Free throws19.614.4
73.5%
74.8%14.4
They take 78.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WLLWLWWWLW
South East Melbourne
WLWLLWWLWW
#5
League position
#2
+3.7
Net rating
+5.9
114.7
Offensive rating
113.7
111.0
Defensive rating
107.8
51.4%
Effective FG%
51.2%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.7%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.0%
3-point %
35.4%
55.8%
Assist %
66.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 113.7Defence111.0 · 107.8Shooting51.4% · 51.2%3-point %36.0% · 35.4%Ball care15.2% · 13.7%Off. rebounds35.1% · 31.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Perth   ■ South East Melbourne
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Perth wins
3
South East Melbourne wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25ABrisbane Bullets86-62
12/12/25HSydney79-108
07/12/25HAdelaide94-95
04/12/25HMelbourne United96-84
23/11/25AMelbourne United87-98
21/11/25HTasmania JackJumpers101-95
15/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers88-75
09/11/25AAdelaide94-87
02/11/25ASouth East Melbourne89-94
29/10/25ATasmania JackJumpers95-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HNew Zealand Breakers92-80
10/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers81-89
07/12/25HMelbourne United111-86
04/12/25AIllawarra Hawks109-113 OT
22/11/25HAdelaide81-94
20/11/25ABrisbane Bullets103-76
14/11/25ACairns Taipans101-90
08/11/25HMelbourne United81-92
06/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers103-102
02/11/25HPerth94-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW56%
HomeWWWLL44%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%44%67%
Points / game88.988.889.1
Allowed / game86.890.183.6
Point differential+2.1-1.3+5.6
Avg total175.8178.9172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%22%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South East Melbourne
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW65%
HomeLLWLW67%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%67%62%
Points / game96.998.095.8
Allowed / game89.286.492.4
Point differential+7.7+11.6+3.4
Avg total186.2184.4188.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide1814478%93.286.9+6.3
2 Melbourne United2014670%95.988.8+7.1
3 South East Melbourne1711665%96.989.2+7.7
4 Sydney1710759%92.486.4+6.0
5 Perth1810856%88.986.8+2.1
6 Tasmania JackJumpers1881044%85.686.1-0.5
7 New Zealand Breakers1871139%88.888.3+0.4
8 Illawarra Hawks1761135%89.496.9-7.6
9 Brisbane Bullets1851328%85.795.4-9.7
10 Cairns Taipans1741324%81.394.4-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth2218201676
South East Melbourne179312077
← all games of the day
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