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Perth vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 92-87
18-13 26-24 21-21 27-29
Position#5
Record14-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game86.8
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#8
Record8-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game97.1
AustraliaNBLRound 17
Other2025-26
Meetings · Perth v Illawarra Hawks
14 Nov 2026
PERT v ILLA
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
PERT98
ILLA105
16 Jan 2026
PERT92
ILLA87
25 Oct 2025
PERT84
ILLA85
02 Oct 2025
PERT92
ILLA84
06 Dec 2024
PERT111
ILLA121
01 Nov 2024
PERT113
ILLA105
25 Jan 2024
PERT77
ILLA95
27 Jan 2023
PERT106
ILLA86
08 Oct 2022
PERT77
ILLA71
22 Apr 2022
PERT77
ILLA82
14 Jun 2021
PERT79
ILLA71
10 Jun 2021
PERT72
ILLA74
16 Apr 2021
PERT83
ILLA69
26 Mar 2021
PERT81
ILLA70
11 Oct 2019
PERT103
ILLA76
01 Feb 2019
PERT104
ILLA90
14 Oct 2018
PERT101
ILLA61
26 Oct 2017
PERT105
ILLA74
13 Oct 2017
PERT74
ILLA64
05 Mar 2017
PERT95
ILLA86
26 Feb 2017
PERT89
ILLA77
27 Nov 2016
PERT85
ILLA89
21 Oct 2016
PERT80
ILLA73
26 Feb 2016
PERT89
ILLA74
19 Feb 2016
PERT80
ILLA68
21 Jan 2016
PERT95
ILLA72
31 Oct 2015
PERT91
ILLA62
05 Dec 2014
PERT79
ILLA55
17 Oct 2014
PERT69
ILLA59
28 Mar 2014
PERT91
ILLA79
23 Mar 2014
PERT86
ILLA65
01 Nov 2013
PERT87
ILLA47
28 Mar 2013
PERT93
ILLA65
03 Feb 2013
PERT80
ILLA52
07 Dec 2012
PERT80
ILLA68
05 Nov 2011
PERT87
ILLA71
14 Jan 2011
PERT92
ILLA58
29 Oct 2010
PERT87
ILLA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
90avg 86
H04/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
94-95
94
95
-1
86avg 86
H07/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
79-108
79
108
-29
59avg 86
H12/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
86-62
86
62
+24
74avg 86
A14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
66avg 86
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
94-85
94
85
+9
82avg 86
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
71avg 86
A28/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
95-75
95
75
+20
85avg 86
A01/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 86
A04/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
107-97
107
97
+10
104avg 86
A10/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-20
23-22
20-15
20-27
25-22
25-18
28-20
16-35
25-26
17-18
21-32
16-32
22-13
27-21
16-15
21-13
22-17
18-9
20-31
16-20
19-18
25-24
27-22
23-21
29-20
20-26
9-29
26-20
25-16
15-28
31-11
24-20
28-23
20-22
32-29
19-17
32-26
26-24
21-25
28-22
177.9Avg total
91.0Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)89.886.8176.6+3.058%
Season at home (10)87.588.8176.3-1.340%
Season away (14)91.585.4176.9+6.171%
Last 10 (10)91.086.9177.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)95.888.6184.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.5101.0176.5-25.50%
vs Similar (13)96.595.1191.5+1.446%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)92.783.9176.5+8.880%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
W
113-109 OT
113
109
+4
118avg 87
H04/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 87
H06/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
100-85
100
85
+15
99avg 87
H11/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
75-97
75
97
-22
62avg 87
A18/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
66avg 87
H20/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
84-108
84
108
-24
72avg 87
A25/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
92-90
92
90
+2
89avg 87
H31/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
96-78
96
78
+18
90avg 87
H03/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
113-124 OT
113
124
-11
108avg 87
A08/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
96-101
96
101
-5
91avg 87
H11/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-13
23-26
20-22
19-32
20-20
14-29
24-24
18-20
23-33
26-17
22-18
29-17
20-24
21-23
26-27
8-23
21-21
18-20
20-19
19-24
19-34
22-28
17-21
26-25
23-18
27-21
23-26
19-25
22-18
23-31
27-15
24-14
25-23
25-32
29-24
27-27
25-28
18-21
23-22
30-30
189.2Avg total
92.3Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)90.397.1187.4-6.735%
Season at home (13)91.893.7185.5-1.946%
Season away (10)88.5101.5190.0-13.020%
Last 10 (10)92.396.9189.2-4.640%
Last 5 (5)96.2100.2196.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)89.399.8189.1-10.523%
vs Similar (5)84.4100.2184.6-15.820%
vs Weaker (12)94.887.2181.9+7.667%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
PerthIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H04/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H07/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H12/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A28/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A01/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A04/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A10/01
NBL
88.9Avg total
47.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.445.693.0+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.245.691.8+0.654%-
Last 30 away (17)48.245.693.9+2.659%-
Last 10 (10)47.641.388.9+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)47.845.493.2+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.547.090.5-3.50%-
vs Similar (13)50.847.998.8+2.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.943.588.3+1.460%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H04/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H06/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H11/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A18/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H20/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A25/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H31/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H03/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A08/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H11/01
NBL
92.6Avg total
44.6Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.346.691.8-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.946.192.0-0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)44.547.191.6-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)44.648.092.6-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)45.850.896.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)44.648.292.8-3.631%-
vs Similar (5)44.249.894.0-5.620%-
vs Weaker (12)46.443.489.8+3.058%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.322.7
51.2%
54.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.7
35.3%
33.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.015.8
71.8%
74.8%15.8
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.027.3
55.7%
54.6%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.2
32.2%
33.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.612.5
71.0%
74.8%12.5
They take 74.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WWWLWLWLLW
Illawarra Hawks
LLWWLLLWLW
#5
League position
#8
+5.0
Net rating
-4.2
112.4
Offensive rating
106.9
107.4
Defensive rating
111.1
51.9%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.3%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.3%
3-point %
32.2%
54.3%
Assist %
56.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 106.9Defence107.4 · 111.1Shooting51.9% · 53.2%3-point %35.3% · 32.2%Ball care13.8% · 16.3%Off. rebounds33.2% · 31.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Perth   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Perth wins
6
Illawarra Hawks wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ASouth East Melbourne107-97
04/01/26ANew Zealand Breakers99-91
01/01/26ABrisbane Bullets95-75
28/12/25AAdelaide84-95
21/12/25ATasmania JackJumpers94-85
18/12/25HSouth East Melbourne76-77
14/12/25ABrisbane Bullets86-62
12/12/25HSydney79-108
07/12/25HAdelaide94-95
04/12/25HMelbourne United96-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HNew Zealand Breakers96-101
08/01/26ASouth East Melbourne113-124 OT
03/01/26HCairns Taipans96-78
31/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers92-90
25/12/25ASydney84-108
20/12/25HAdelaide78-84
18/12/25AMelbourne United75-97
11/12/25HBrisbane Bullets100-85
06/12/25HCairns Taipans76-93
04/12/25HSouth East Melbourne113-109 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW58%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %58%40%71%
Points / game89.887.591.5
Allowed / game86.888.885.4
Point differential+3.0-1.3+6.1
Avg total176.6176.3176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL35%
HomeWLWWL46%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %35%46%20%
Points / game90.391.888.5
Allowed / game97.193.7101.5
Point differential-6.7-1.9-13.0
Avg total187.4185.5190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%31%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %9%8%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide2419579%91.885.2+6.7
2 South East Melbourne2416867%98.891.3+7.5
3 Sydney2516964%95.485.8+9.6
4 Melbourne United25151060%93.889.2+4.6
5 Perth24141058%89.886.8+3.0
6 Tasmania JackJumpers25121348%85.684.8+0.7
7 New Zealand Breakers2491538%88.090.2-2.2
8 Illawarra Hawks2381535%90.397.1-6.7
9 Cairns Taipans2471729%82.895.5-12.8
10 Brisbane Bullets2662023%84.795.1-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth1826212792
Illawarra Hawks1324212987
← all games of the day
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