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Melbourne United vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 92-93
22-29 23-14 30-33 17-17
Position#4
Record15-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#9
Record5-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game96.3
AustraliaNBLRound 16· John Cain Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans
13 Jan 2027
MELB v CAIR
upcoming
23 Dec 2026
MELB v CAIR
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
MELB95
CAIR107
07 Jan 2026
MELB92
CAIR93
12 Oct 2025
MELB95
CAIR60
27 Oct 2024
MELB106
CAIR63
06 Oct 2024
MELB88
CAIR101
03 Dec 2023
MELB103
CAIR115
23 Dec 2022
MELB84
CAIR81
20 Oct 2022
MELB77
CAIR81
18 Apr 2022
MELB92
CAIR80
14 Jan 2017
MELB92
CAIR85
18 Nov 2016
MELB84
CAIR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
105-102
105
102
+3
89avg 86
A21/11
NBL
Perth
#5
W
98-87
98
87
+11
84avg 86
H23/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
84-96
84
96
-12
70avg 86
A04/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
86-111
86
111
-25
75avg 86
A07/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
105-114 OT
105
114
-9
87avg 86
A12/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
83avg 86
H14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
97-75
97
75
+22
89avg 86
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
73-92
73
92
-19
62avg 86
H23/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
92-87
92
87
+5
89avg 86
A27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
75-84
75
84
-9
63avg 86
A03/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-33
20-19
28-31
19-19
24-22
27-25
23-26
24-14
20-33
22-23
15-20
27-20
22-32
23-28
21-23
20-28
22-27
26-32
19-22
28-14
25-24
25-21
20-24
14-15
24-20
23-21
27-26
23-8
19-22
20-20
9-23
25-27
28-26
31-19
21-26
12-16
16-19
19-25
15-19
25-21
184.1Avg total
90.1Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)93.888.7182.5+5.265%
Season at home (11)94.784.3179.0+10.573%
Season away (12)93.092.7185.7+0.358%
Last 10 (10)90.194.0184.1-3.940%
Last 5 (5)84.686.0170.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)92.492.6185.0-0.238%
vs Similar (9)94.695.6190.1-1.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.285.2179.3+9.077%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
92avg 79
H14/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
95avg 79
A16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
96-102
96
102
-6
88avg 79
H22/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
84avg 79
A06/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
68-81
68
81
-13
62avg 79
H13/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
99-95
99
95
+4
102avg 79
H19/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
77-119
77
119
-42
69avg 79
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
73-93
73
93
-20
63avg 79
A24/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
96-111
96
111
-15
94avg 79
H31/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
78-96
78
96
-18
70avg 79
A03/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
15-36
23-20
28-17
27-26
23-25
18-27
23-13
17-25
27-22
22-30
30-25
20-20
29-14
24-24
20-18
21-13
18-24
15-23
14-21
19-23
29-20
21-29
30-23
23-28
18-29
19-34
17-28
21-23
21-27
19-23
12-20
28-21
24-27
26-35
18-28
18-22
31-23
15-27
14-24
185.0Avg total
87.1Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.096.3178.3-14.223%
Season at home (12)84.197.0181.1-12.917%
Season away (10)79.695.4175.0-15.830%
Last 10 (10)87.197.9185.0-10.820%
Last 5 (5)84.6102.8187.4-18.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)85.097.7182.7-12.825%
vs Similar (6)92.392.0184.3+0.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
Melbourne UnitedCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A21/11
NBL
Perth
#5
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H23/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A04/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A07/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A12/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H23/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A03/01
NBL
96.5Avg total
47.4Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.045.793.7+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.141.990.1+6.271%-
Last 30 away (16)47.948.996.8-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)47.449.196.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)46.043.489.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)45.648.193.8-2.525%-
vs Similar (9)48.750.399.0-1.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)49.040.989.9+8.177%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
L
39-64
39
64
-25
H14/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H22/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A06/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H13/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H19/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A24/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H31/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A03/01
NBL
92.9Avg total
45.3Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.448.693.0-4.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.149.193.2-5.044%-
Last 30 away (14)44.748.092.7-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)45.347.692.9-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.448.695.0-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)43.348.591.8-5.242%-
vs Similar (6)48.749.097.7-0.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.923.6
49.3%
54.6%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.8
30.6%
33.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.417.9
79.9%
74.8%17.9
They take 76.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.7
53.3%
54.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.6
36.9%
33.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws22.817.3
75.9%
74.8%17.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
LWLWLLLLWW
Cairns Taipans
LLLLWLWLLL
#4
League position
#9
-3.9
Net rating
-13.2
107.9
Offensive rating
109.9
111.8
Defensive rating
123.1
48.0%
Effective FG%
54.2%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.6%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.6%
3-point %
36.9%
54.6%
Assist %
67.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 109.9Defence111.8 · 123.1Shooting48.0% · 54.2%3-point %30.6% · 36.9%Ball care15.4% · 18.6%Off. rebounds32.4% · 27.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26ATasmania JackJumpers75-84
27/12/25ABrisbane Bullets92-87
23/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers73-92
18/12/25HIllawarra Hawks97-75
14/12/25HSydney86-92 OT
12/12/25AAdelaide105-114 OT
07/12/25ASouth East Melbourne86-111
04/12/25APerth84-96
23/11/25HPerth98-87
21/11/25AIllawarra Hawks105-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AIllawarra Hawks78-96
31/12/25HSouth East Melbourne96-111
24/12/25AAdelaide73-93
21/12/25ASydney77-119
19/12/25HNew Zealand Breakers99-95
13/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers68-81
06/12/25AIllawarra Hawks93-76
22/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers96-102
16/11/25AAdelaide101-105 OT
14/11/25HSouth East Melbourne90-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL65%
HomeWWLWL73%
AwayLLLWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %65%73%58%
Points / game93.894.793.0
Allowed / game88.784.392.7
Point differential+5.2+10.5+0.3
Avg total182.5179.0185.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%55%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL23%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %23%17%30%
Points / game82.084.179.6
Allowed / game96.397.095.4
Point differential-14.2-12.9-15.8
Avg total178.3181.1175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide2319483%92.785.4+7.3
2 South East Melbourne2215768%97.889.6+8.2
3 Melbourne United2315865%93.888.7+5.2
4 Sydney2213959%95.086.8+8.2
5 Perth23131057%89.186.3+2.7
6 Tasmania JackJumpers24111346%85.885.4+0.4
7 Illawarra Hawks2181338%89.095.6-6.6
8 New Zealand Breakers2281436%88.689.4-0.8
9 Brisbane Bullets2461825%84.995.4-10.5
10 Cairns Taipans2251723%82.096.3-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United2223301792
Cairns Taipans2914331793
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