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Perth vs South East Melbourne Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 100-99
27-26 22-23 17-28 34-22
Position#3
Record15-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game96.6
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#5
Record15-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game90.5
AustraliaNBLRound 19· RAC Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Perth v South East Melbourne
02 Oct 2026
PERT92
SOUT88
19 Sep 2026
PERT79
SOUT100
28 Jan 2026
PERT101
SOUT93
18 Dec 2025
PERT76
SOUT77
11 Feb 2025
PERT122
SOUT105
31 Jan 2025
PERT100
SOUT99
15 Nov 2024
PERT97
SOUT84
20 Sep 2024
PERT106
SOUT98
13 Jan 2024
PERT100
SOUT79
17 Nov 2022
PERT103
SOUT96
28 Oct 2022
PERT90
SOUT91
24 Apr 2022
PERT100
SOUT102
03 Mar 2021
PERT93
SOUT92
29 Jan 2021
PERT89
SOUT90
24 Jan 2021
PERT88
SOUT76
17 Jan 2020
PERT97
SOUT71
25 Oct 2019
PERT110
SOUT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South East Melbourne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
W
115-105
115
105
+10
110avg 87
A08/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
128-92
128
92
+36
122avg 87
A14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
88-120
88
120
-32
75avg 87
A22/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
116-92
116
92
+24
116avg 87
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
96-86
96
86
+10
83avg 87
A05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
105-73
105
73
+32
106avg 87
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
112-85
112
85
+27
98avg 87
A15/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
110-103
110
103
+7
101avg 87
H17/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
75avg 87
H22/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
116-125 OT
116
125
-9
90avg 87
H25/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-32
25-28
25-22
36-23
22-28
32-29
39-18
35-17
28-37
20-26
15-26
25-31
26-26
29-16
23-21
38-29
30-24
25-20
19-28
22-14
29-22
35-20
28-18
13-13
27-27
38-15
20-24
27-19
22-24
30-17
24-32
34-30
23-21
20-25
25-25
25-28
18-22
29-34
35-17
18-27
205.9Avg total
107.9Scored
98.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)99.596.6196.1+2.958%
Season at home (13)101.299.0200.2+2.262%
Season away (13)97.894.2191.9+3.654%
Last 10 (10)107.998.0205.9+9.970%
Last 5 (5)107.297.0204.2+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)104.0115.3219.3-11.333%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.593.8181.2-6.233%
vs Weaker (15)104.393.9198.2+10.373%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
W
109-97
109
97
+12
107avg 82
H15/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
106-86
106
86
+20
95avg 82
H21/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
110-105
110
105
+5
98avg 82
A31/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
101-110
101
110
-9
92avg 82
A02/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
105-91
105
91
+14
97avg 82
A05/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
105-86
105
86
+19
92avg 82
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
113-102
113
102
+11
92avg 82
A14/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
102-89
102
89
+13
93avg 82
H18/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
92-103
92
103
-11
74avg 82
H22/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
116-80
116
80
+36
119avg 82
H25/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-36
27-23
32-20
26-18
26-22
30-16
27-33
23-15
30-25
30-34
24-25
26-21
30-28
30-19
25-25
16-38
26-16
30-33
28-23
21-19
17-21
30-33
22-14
36-18
33-28
25-31
24-19
31-24
30-17
19-27
27-21
26-24
22-26
23-36
23-17
24-24
19-23
27-22
29-17
41-18
200.8Avg total
105.9Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)95.890.5186.3+5.258%
Season at home (13)98.588.9187.4+9.569%
Season away (13)93.192.2185.2+0.946%
Last 10 (10)105.994.9200.8+11.080%
Last 5 (5)105.692.0197.6+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)86.1101.6187.7-15.429%
vs Similar ◀ (9)92.293.7185.9-1.433%
vs Weaker (14)97.587.0184.5+10.571%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +5.1+5.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +5.1+5.1
PerthSouth East Melbourne
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A08/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A22/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
64-42
64
42
+22
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
65-42
65
42
+23
A15/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H17/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H22/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H25/01
NBL
103.0Avg total
53.7Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.348.198.3+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.548.999.5+1.647%-
Last 30 away (15)50.047.297.2+2.853%-
Last 10 (10)53.749.3103.0+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)54.245.499.6+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.357.0111.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)46.548.695.1-2.142%-
vs Weaker (15)52.545.998.3+6.660%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H15/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H21/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A31/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A02/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A05/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A14/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H18/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
45-62
45
62
-17
H22/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H25/01
NBL
104.4Avg total
52.8Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.449.096.3-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.250.197.3-2.944%-
Last 30 away (14)47.647.695.2-0.157%-
Last 10 (10)52.851.6104.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)49.052.8101.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.355.9100.1-11.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)47.349.396.7-2.044%-
vs Weaker (14)48.945.394.2+3.671%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 106.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.4
52.9%
52.3%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.812.9
39.3%
35.1%38.7
🏀 Free throws26.621.0
78.9%
74.7%21.0
They take 77.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 105.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.426.5
58.4%
52.3%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.4
36.0%
35.1%34.2
🏀 Free throws24.317.9
73.7%
74.7%17.9
They take 77.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
LLWWWWWLWW
South East Melbourne
WLWWWWLWWW
#3
League position
#5
+10.5
Net rating
+13.3
125.5
Offensive rating
124.7
115.0
Defensive rating
111.4
55.5%
Effective FG%
56.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
11.8%
Turnover %
11.5%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.3%
3-point %
36.0%
54.0%
Assist %
49.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence125.5 · 124.7Defence115.0 · 111.4Shooting55.5% · 56.5%3-point %39.3% · 36.0%Ball care11.8% · 11.5%Off. rebounds32.9% · 32.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Perth   ■ South East Melbourne
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Perth wins
4
South East Melbourne wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HCairns Taipans116-125 OT
22/01/25HMelbourne United93-99
17/01/25HAdelaide110-103
15/01/25ABrisbane Bullets112-85
12/01/25ATasmania JackJumpers105-73
05/01/25ANew Zealand Breakers96-86
28/12/24AAdelaide116-92
22/12/24AIllawarra Hawks88-120
14/12/24ACairns Taipans128-92
08/12/24AAdelaide115-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HTasmania JackJumpers116-80
22/01/25HSydney92-103
18/01/25HNew Zealand Breakers102-89
14/01/25ACairns Taipans113-102
11/01/25HBrisbane Bullets105-86
05/01/25ATasmania JackJumpers105-91
02/01/25ASydney101-110
31/12/24AIllawarra Hawks110-105
21/12/24HAdelaide106-86
15/12/24HMelbourne United109-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL58%
HomeWLWLL62%
AwayLWWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%62%54%
Points / game99.5101.297.8
Allowed / game96.699.094.2
Point differential+2.9+2.2+3.6
Avg total196.1200.2191.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%23%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
South East Melbourne
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayLWLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%69%46%
Points / game95.898.593.1
Allowed / game90.588.992.2
Point differential+5.2+9.5+0.9
Avg total186.3187.4185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%54%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2718967%101.992.1+9.7
2 Melbourne United27171063%95.391.4+4.0
3 Sydney27161159%91.087.3+3.7
4 South East Melbourne26151158%95.890.5+5.2
5 Perth26151158%99.596.6+2.9
6 Adelaide27131448%93.895.5-1.7
7 Tasmania JackJumpers27121544%83.488.0-4.6
8 Brisbane Bullets28121643%92.597.8-5.3
9 New Zealand Breakers2791833%85.391.2-5.9
10 Cairns Taipans2671927%87.995.8-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth27221734100
South East Melbourne2623282299
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