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Perth vs South East Melbourne Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 100-79
28-19 28-20 14-22 30-18
Position#3
Record12-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game91.7
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#10
Record9-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game93.0
AustraliaNBLRound 15· RAC Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Perth v South East Melbourne
02 Oct 2026
PERT92
SOUT88
19 Sep 2026
PERT79
SOUT100
28 Jan 2026
PERT101
SOUT93
18 Dec 2025
PERT76
SOUT77
11 Feb 2025
PERT122
SOUT105
31 Jan 2025
PERT100
SOUT99
15 Nov 2024
PERT97
SOUT84
20 Sep 2024
PERT106
SOUT98
13 Jan 2024
PERT100
SOUT79
17 Nov 2022
PERT103
SOUT96
28 Oct 2022
PERT90
SOUT91
24 Apr 2022
PERT100
SOUT102
03 Mar 2021
PERT93
SOUT92
29 Jan 2021
PERT89
SOUT90
24 Jan 2021
PERT88
SOUT76
17 Jan 2020
PERT97
SOUT71
25 Oct 2019
PERT110
SOUT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South East Melbourne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
94-76
94
76
+18
84avg 81
H10/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
88-80
88
80
+8
77avg 81
H16/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
70avg 81
A18/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
114-105
114
105
+9
107avg 81
H01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
82-100
82
100
-18
71avg 81
A08/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
89-88
89
88
+1
76avg 81
H15/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
no box
A23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
105-102
105
102
+3
104avg 81
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
100-82
100
82
+18
92avg 81
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
108-102
108
102
+6
101avg 81
A07/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-17
18-19
21-22
21-18
25-20
22-23
19-13
22-24
14-16
18-17
18-20
29-23
23-26
27-31
33-26
31-22
18-38
25-20
22-15
17-27
23-26
17-22
28-23
21-17
26-21
24-21
21-21
21-29
26-17
28-26
22-24
29-35
34-29
20-19
28-9
18-25
24-35
29-23
34-19
21-25
188.2Avg total
96.2Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)93.191.7184.8+1.463%
Season at home (9)91.986.6178.4+5.378%
Season away (10)94.296.4190.6-2.250%
Last 10 (10)96.292.0188.2+4.280%
Last 5 (5)101.096.6197.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)96.896.5193.2+0.275%
vs Similar (16)94.596.4190.9-1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)91.587.2178.7+4.370%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
72avg 76
H12/11
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
93-96
93
96
-3
76avg 76
A17/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
90-79
90
79
+11
84avg 76
H02/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
104-94
104
94
+10
94avg 76
A10/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
78-106
78
106
-28
61avg 76
H14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
72-100
72
100
-28
61avg 76
H16/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
75-94
75
94
-19
62avg 76
A22/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
85-77
85
77
+8
73avg 76
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
83-95
83
95
-12
70avg 76
A30/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
78-116
78
116
-38
58avg 76
A05/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
18-21
25-24
16-24
35-18
18-17
14-31
26-30
16-19
25-26
25-20
24-14
32-30
26-19
24-22
22-23
18-35
28-31
18-11
14-29
27-22
12-26
19-25
14-27
18-30
26-16
15-20
16-28
19-12
20-28
22-22
24-15
23-32
19-25
25-15
16-23
15-24
21-29
23-33
19-30
179.0Avg total
84.1Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.793.0181.7-4.245%
Season at home (9)89.990.2180.1-0.367%
Season away (11)87.795.2182.9-7.527%
Last 10 (10)84.194.9179.0-10.830%
Last 5 (5)78.696.4175.0-17.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)90.194.9185.0-4.841%
vs Similar (7)89.991.3181.1-1.443%
vs Weaker (1)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -5.2-5.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -5.2-5.2
PerthSouth East Melbourne
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H10/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H16/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A18/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A08/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H15/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A07/01
NBL
94.1Avg total
47.5Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.546.893.3-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.143.990.0+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)46.949.796.6-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)47.546.694.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)50.247.898.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.845.589.2-1.875%-
vs Similar (16)47.849.997.6-2.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.642.488.0+3.270%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H12/11
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A17/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H02/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A10/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
46-66
46
66
-20
H14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H16/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A22/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A30/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A05/01
NBL
92.3Avg total
44.0Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.448.394.7-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.647.193.7-0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)46.249.395.5-3.124%-
Last 10 (10)44.048.392.3-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)40.048.888.8-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)45.948.394.1-2.427%-
vs Similar (7)48.748.697.3+0.157%-
vs Weaker (1)41.048.089.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 95.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.223.0
50.9%
50.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.5
32.1%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws28.823.5
81.6%
73.8%23.5
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.622.1
42.8%
50.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.1
30.5%
33.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws24.117.4
72.2%
73.8%17.4
They take 74.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WWWLWLWWWW
South East Melbourne
LLWLLLWWLL
#3
League position
#10
+7.5
Net rating
-13.9
116.5
Offensive rating
100.1
109.1
Defensive rating
114.0
49.9%
Effective FG%
43.7%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
13.2%
Turnover %
14.4%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.1%
3-point %
30.5%
50.5%
Assist %
53.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 100.1Defence109.1 · 114.0Shooting49.9% · 43.7%3-point %32.1% · 30.5%Ball care13.2% · 14.4%Off. rebounds33.2% · 31.1%Free throws0.40 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Perth   ■ South East Melbourne
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Perth wins
6
South East Melbourne wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24ANew Zealand Breakers108-102
28/12/23AAdelaide100-82
26/12/23ACairns Taipans105-102
23/12/23AMelbourne United103-109 OT
15/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers89-88
08/12/23AIllawarra Hawks82-100
01/12/23HSydney114-105
18/11/23ABrisbane Bullets79-76
16/11/23HCairns Taipans88-80
10/11/23HNew Zealand Breakers94-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24AIllawarra Hawks78-116
30/12/23ABrisbane Bullets83-95
25/12/23ATasmania JackJumpers85-77
22/12/23ACairns Taipans75-94
16/12/23HIllawarra Hawks72-100
14/12/23HMelbourne United78-106
10/12/23ASydney104-94
02/12/23HNew Zealand Breakers90-79
17/11/23AAdelaide93-96
12/11/23HMelbourne United83-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW63%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%78%50%
Points / game93.191.994.2
Allowed / game91.786.696.4
Point differential+1.4+5.3-2.2
Avg total184.8178.4190.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
South East Melbourne
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeWLWLL67%
AwayWLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %45%67%27%
Points / game88.789.987.7
Allowed / game93.090.295.2
Point differential-4.2-0.3-7.5
Avg total181.7180.1182.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%44%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2116576%94.186.9+7.3
2 Perth1912763%93.191.7+1.4
3 Tasmania JackJumpers22111150%90.385.8+4.5
4 Illawarra Hawks189950%89.189.7-0.6
5 Sydney21101148%94.294.0+0.2
6 Brisbane Bullets21101148%86.688.6-2.0
7 Cairns Taipans22101245%90.391.3-1.0
8 South East Melbourne2091145%88.793.0-4.2
9 New Zealand Breakers1981142%89.889.6+0.2
10 Adelaide2171433%87.293.3-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth28281430100
South East Melbourne1920221879
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