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Perth vs South East Melbourne Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 97-84
18-26 40-22 18-12 21-24
Position#3
Record5-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game92.7
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#5
Record5-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game83.2
AustraliaNBLRound 9· RAC Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Perth v South East Melbourne
02 Oct 2026
PERT92
SOUT88
19 Sep 2026
PERT79
SOUT100
28 Jan 2026
PERT101
SOUT93
18 Dec 2025
PERT76
SOUT77
11 Feb 2025
PERT122
SOUT105
31 Jan 2025
PERT100
SOUT99
15 Nov 2024
PERT97
SOUT84
20 Sep 2024
PERT106
SOUT98
13 Jan 2024
PERT100
SOUT79
17 Nov 2022
PERT103
SOUT96
28 Oct 2022
PERT90
SOUT91
24 Apr 2022
PERT100
SOUT102
03 Mar 2021
PERT93
SOUT92
29 Jan 2021
PERT89
SOUT90
24 Jan 2021
PERT88
SOUT76
17 Jan 2020
PERT97
SOUT71
25 Oct 2019
PERT110
SOUT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South East Melbourne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Sydney
#4
L
87-88
87
88
-1
84avg 83
H27/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
68-97
68
97
-29
51avg 83
H04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
66avg 83
A06/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
90-87
90
87
+3
74avg 83
A10/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 83
A19/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
76avg 83
H25/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
113-105
113
105
+8
112avg 83
H01/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
76-100
76
100
-24
61avg 83
A03/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
88-82
88
82
+6
80avg 83
H07/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
97-106
97
106
-9
92avg 83
A09/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
29-16
18-24
29-21
22-31
19-33
13-19
14-14
23-9
13-21
17-17
18-24
29-23
19-18
27-26
15-20
18-24
21-17
19-27
27-21
21-21
20-23
24-16
22-24
39-31
23-22
27-30
24-22
23-35
21-19
16-27
16-19
27-27
20-24
21-14
20-17
29-31
36-20
12-32
20-23
179.2Avg total
87.0Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.792.7181.5-4.045%
Season at home (6)91.592.3183.8-0.867%
Season away (5)85.493.2178.6-7.820%
Last 10 (10)87.092.2179.2-5.240%
Last 5 (5)92.295.4187.6-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)113.0105.0218.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)89.896.6186.5-6.837%
vs Weaker (10)98.587.0185.5+11.580%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
79-81
79
81
-2
69avg 72
A29/09
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
83-93
83
93
-10
67avg 72
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 72
H12/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
93-84
93
84
+9
86avg 72
A20/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
88-62
88
62
+26
90avg 72
A24/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 72
H26/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
75avg 72
A01/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
100-76
100
76
+24
91avg 72
H03/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
49avg 72
A08/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
97-74
97
74
+23
90avg 72
H10/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-11
15-22
23-27
20-21
16-25
19-27
23-19
25-22
23-18
26-27
17-23
19-19
16-18
32-25
18-20
27-21
27-17
20-18
18-16
23-11
19-15
20-30
26-29
17-14
19-19
16-23
20-15
24-20
35-23
19-21
27-16
19-16
22-14
14-18
20-17
13-25
34-20
15-20
17-15
31-19
165.1Avg total
85.5Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.483.2169.6+3.242%
Season at home (5)89.684.2173.8+5.440%
Season away (7)84.182.4166.6+1.743%
Last 10 (10)85.579.6165.1+5.950%
Last 5 (5)85.477.8163.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)82.898.4181.2-15.521%
vs Similar ◀ (5)88.887.2176.0+1.640%
vs Weaker (6)85.279.0164.2+6.250%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
PerthSouth East Melbourne
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
41-64
41
64
-23
H04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A06/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A10/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A19/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H25/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H01/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A03/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H07/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
65-51
65
51
+14
A09/11
NBL
93.5Avg total
46.3Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.148.496.6-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.148.996.1-1.833%-
Last 30 away (15)49.147.997.1+1.260%-
Last 10 (10)46.347.293.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)51.850.6102.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.053.0115.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)46.150.896.9-4.832%-
vs Weaker (10)50.743.494.1+7.370%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A29/09
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A20/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A24/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H26/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A01/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H03/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H10/11
NBL
83.9Avg total
42.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.948.491.3-5.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.951.195.1-7.229%-
Last 30 away (16)42.145.988.0-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.183.9+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.683.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)42.951.994.8-9.016%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)44.443.688.0+0.860%-
vs Weaker (6)41.841.283.0+0.767%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.320.9
47.2%
52.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.3
33.1%
35.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.516.7
74.2%
74.7%16.7
They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.3
52.0%
52.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.310.8
33.4%
35.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.114.2
70.6%
74.7%14.2
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
LWLWWLWLLL
South East Melbourne
WLWWLWWLLL
#3
League position
#5
-5.9
Net rating
+8.0
106.9
Offensive rating
109.7
112.9
Defensive rating
101.7
48.1%
Effective FG%
51.2%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.7%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.1%
3-point %
33.4%
53.3%
Assist %
55.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 109.7Defence112.9 · 101.7Shooting48.1% · 51.2%3-point %33.1% · 33.4%Ball care16.1% · 14.7%Off. rebounds33.7% · 28.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Perth   ■ South East Melbourne
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Perth wins
5
South East Melbourne wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24AMelbourne United97-106
07/11/24HTasmania JackJumpers88-82
03/11/24ASouth East Melbourne76-100
01/11/24HIllawarra Hawks113-105
25/10/24HSydney87-84
19/10/24ANew Zealand Breakers85-89
10/10/24ACairns Taipans90-87
06/10/24ATasmania JackJumpers79-84 OT
04/10/24HMelbourne United68-97
27/09/24HSydney87-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HCairns Taipans97-74
08/11/24ASydney69-74
03/11/24HPerth100-76
01/11/24ATasmania JackJumpers79-77
26/10/24HIllawarra Hawks82-88
24/10/24ANew Zealand Breakers88-62
20/10/24AMelbourne United93-84
12/10/24HBrisbane Bullets85-87
03/10/24AAdelaide83-93
29/09/24ANew Zealand Breakers79-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL45%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game88.791.585.4
Allowed / game92.792.393.2
Point differential-4.0-0.8-7.8
Avg total181.5183.8178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %9%0%20%
South East Melbourne
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW42%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLWWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%40%43%
Points / game86.489.684.1
Allowed / game83.284.282.4
Point differential+3.2+5.4+1.7
Avg total169.6173.8166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United139469%93.987.0+6.9
2 New Zealand Breakers96367%86.184.0+2.1
3 Illawarra Hawks106460%96.689.8+6.8
4 Adelaide106460%90.592.5-2.0
5 Sydney127558%87.282.3+4.8
6 Perth115645%88.792.7-4.0
7 South East Melbourne125742%86.483.2+3.2
8 Tasmania JackJumpers135838%78.983.5-4.5
9 Brisbane Bullets93633%89.793.7-4.0
10 Cairns Taipans113827%83.694.1-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth1840182197
South East Melbourne2622122484
← all games of the day
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