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South East Melbourne vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 91-103
17-29 29-30 23-20 22-24
Position#10
Record10-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game94.7
South East Melbourne
Australia
vs
Perth 🏆
Australia
Position#3
Record15-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game91.3
AustraliaNBLRound 17· John Cain Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · South East Melbourne v Perth
24 Jan 2027
SOUT v PERT
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
SOUT v PERT
upcoming
04 Mar 2026
SOUT111
PERT94
10 Jan 2026
SOUT97
PERT107
02 Nov 2025
SOUT94
PERT89
03 Nov 2024
SOUT100
PERT76
27 Jan 2024
SOUT91
PERT103
01 Oct 2023
SOUT110
PERT99
09 Feb 2023
SOUT99
PERT106
22 Jan 2023
SOUT112
PERT91
26 Feb 2022
SOUT86
PERT80
05 Feb 2022
SOUT79
PERT101
14 Feb 2021
SOUT96
PERT71
11 Feb 2021
SOUT75
PERT106
08 Dec 2019
SOUT98
PERT108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South East Melbourne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
78-106
78
106
-28
61avg 75
H14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
72-100
72
100
-28
61avg 75
H16/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
75-94
75
94
-19
62avg 75
A22/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
85-77
85
77
+8
73avg 75
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
83-95
83
95
-12
70avg 75
A30/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
78-116
78
116
-38
58avg 75
A05/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
79-100
79
100
-21
69avg 75
A13/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
85-110
85
110
-25
69avg 75
H17/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
75-106
75
106
-31
64avg 75
A20/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
104-98
104
98
+6
92avg 75
H25/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-35
28-31
18-11
14-29
27-22
12-26
19-25
14-27
18-30
26-16
15-20
16-28
19-12
20-28
22-22
24-15
23-32
19-25
25-15
16-23
15-24
21-29
23-33
19-30
19-28
20-28
22-14
18-30
23-34
17-34
20-19
25-23
10-25
27-27
26-25
12-29
36-27
25-27
21-14
22-30
181.6Avg total
81.4Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.294.7182.9-6.542%
Season at home (11)90.792.7183.5-2.064%
Season away (13)86.196.4182.5-10.323%
Last 10 (10)81.4100.2181.6-18.820%
Last 5 (5)84.2106.0190.2-21.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)88.995.4184.3-6.440%
vs Similar (4)95.588.0183.5+7.575%
vs Weaker (1)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
82-100
82
100
-18
71avg 83
A08/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
89-88
89
88
+1
76avg 83
H15/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
no box
A23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
105-102
105
102
+3
104avg 83
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
100-82
100
82
+18
92avg 83
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
108-102
108
102
+6
101avg 83
A07/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
100-79
100
79
+21
83avg 83
H13/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
118-86
118
86
+32
119avg 83
H19/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
104-98
104
98
+6
96avg 83
A21/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
77-95
77
95
-18
63avg 83
H25/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-38
25-20
22-15
17-27
23-26
17-22
28-23
21-17
26-21
24-21
21-21
21-29
26-17
28-26
22-24
29-35
34-29
20-19
28-9
18-25
24-35
29-23
34-19
21-25
28-19
28-20
14-22
30-18
31-13
26-25
28-23
33-25
34-20
24-37
22-21
24-20
21-28
14-27
20-16
22-24
192.7Avg total
98.6Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)94.391.3185.6+2.965%
Season at home (12)93.586.6180.1+6.975%
Season away (11)95.196.5191.6-1.555%
Last 10 (10)98.694.1192.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)101.492.0193.4+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.084.0180.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (17)93.096.4189.4-3.447%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)94.486.4180.8+8.075%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -8.4-8.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -8.4-8.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
South East MelbournePerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
46-66
46
66
-20
H14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H16/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A22/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A30/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A05/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A13/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
40-68
40
68
-28
H17/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A20/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H25/01
NBL
96.3Avg total
42.3Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.848.694.4-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.148.996.1-1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)44.548.392.8-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)42.354.096.3-11.710%-
Last 5 (5)42.656.699.2-14.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)45.249.494.6-4.128%-
vs Similar (4)50.544.294.8+6.2100%-
vs Weaker (1)41.048.089.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A08/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H15/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A07/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H13/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H19/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A21/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H25/01
NBL
98.6Avg total
50.0Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.646.793.3-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.343.889.1+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)48.049.697.6-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)50.048.698.6+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)51.849.4101.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.036.076.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (17)46.550.897.3-4.424%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.441.889.2+5.775%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.521.0
42.4%
50.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.2
29.5%
33.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.816.6
76.1%
73.8%16.6
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 98.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.124.7
53.6%
50.9%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.1
34.7%
33.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws27.522.2
80.7%
73.8%22.2
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
South East Melbourne
WLLLLLWLLL
Perth
LWWWWWWLWL
#10
League position
#3
-23.4
Net rating
+7.5
96.9
Offensive rating
119.3
120.3
Defensive rating
111.8
43.0%
Effective FG%
53.0%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
13.3%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.5%
3-point %
34.7%
50.7%
Assist %
51.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 119.3Defence120.3 · 111.8Shooting43.0% · 53.0%3-point %29.5% · 34.7%Ball care16.5% · 13.3%Off. rebounds31.7% · 31.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ South East Melbourne   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
South East Melbourne wins
5
Perth wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Perth v South East Melbourne100-79
01/10/23South East Melbourne v Perth110-99
09/02/23South East Melbourne v Perth99-106
22/01/23South East Melbourne v Perth112-91
17/11/22Perth v South East Melbourne103-96
28/10/22Perth v South East Melbourne90-91
24/04/22Perth v South East Melbourne100-102 OT
26/02/22South East Melbourne v Perth86-80
05/02/22South East Melbourne v Perth79-101
03/03/21Perth v South East Melbourne93-92
South East Melbournelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24HSydney104-98
20/01/24ANew Zealand Breakers75-106
17/01/24HAdelaide85-110
13/01/24APerth79-100
05/01/24AIllawarra Hawks78-116
30/12/23ABrisbane Bullets83-95
25/12/23ATasmania JackJumpers85-77
22/12/23ACairns Taipans75-94
16/12/23HIllawarra Hawks72-100
14/12/23HMelbourne United78-106
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24HIllawarra Hawks77-95
21/01/24ASydney104-98
19/01/24HBrisbane Bullets118-86
13/01/24HSouth East Melbourne100-79
07/01/24ANew Zealand Breakers108-102
28/12/23AAdelaide100-82
26/12/23ACairns Taipans105-102
23/12/23AMelbourne United103-109 OT
15/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers89-88
08/12/23AIllawarra Hawks82-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South East Melbourne
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeWLLLW64%
AwayWLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %42%64%23%
Points / game88.290.786.1
Allowed / game94.792.796.4
Point differential-6.5-2.0-10.3
Avg total182.9183.5182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%75%55%
Points / game94.393.595.1
Allowed / game91.386.696.5
Point differential+2.9+6.9-1.5
Avg total185.6180.1191.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2317674%93.787.3+6.4
2 Perth2315865%94.391.3+2.9
3 Tasmania JackJumpers24121250%90.986.1+4.8
4 Brisbane Bullets25121348%87.790.3-2.6
5 Sydney24111346%95.094.1+0.9
6 New Zealand Breakers22101245%90.189.6+0.5
7 Illawarra Hawks22101245%90.190.5-0.3
8 Cairns Taipans25111444%89.491.6-2.2
9 Adelaide24101442%88.691.8-3.2
10 South East Melbourne24101442%88.294.7-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
South East Melbourne1729232291
Perth29302024103
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