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Perth vs South East Melbourne Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 101-93
24-32 25-19 26-26 26-16
Position#5
Record16-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game85.7
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#2
Record19-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game100.8
Allowed / game92.1
AustraliaNBLRound 19· RAC Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Perth v South East Melbourne
02 Oct 2026
PERT92
SOUT88
19 Sep 2026
PERT79
SOUT100
28 Jan 2026
PERT101
SOUT93
18 Dec 2025
PERT76
SOUT77
11 Feb 2025
PERT122
SOUT105
31 Jan 2025
PERT100
SOUT99
15 Nov 2024
PERT97
SOUT84
20 Sep 2024
PERT106
SOUT98
13 Jan 2024
PERT100
SOUT79
17 Nov 2022
PERT103
SOUT96
28 Oct 2022
PERT90
SOUT91
24 Apr 2022
PERT100
SOUT102
03 Mar 2021
PERT93
SOUT92
29 Jan 2021
PERT89
SOUT90
24 Jan 2021
PERT88
SOUT76
17 Jan 2020
PERT97
SOUT71
25 Oct 2019
PERT110
SOUT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South East Melbourne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
86-62
86
62
+24
74avg 86
A14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
66avg 86
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
94-85
94
85
+9
82avg 86
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
71avg 86
A28/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
95-75
95
75
+20
85avg 86
A01/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 86
A04/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
107-97
107
97
+10
104avg 86
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
H16/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
106-69
106
69
+37
113avg 86
H22/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
73-74
73
74
-1
58avg 86
H25/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
27-21
16-15
21-13
22-17
18-9
20-31
16-20
19-18
25-24
27-22
23-21
29-20
20-26
9-29
26-20
25-16
15-28
31-11
24-20
28-23
20-22
32-29
19-17
32-26
26-24
21-25
28-22
18-13
26-24
21-21
27-29
30-25
24-18
38-13
14-13
24-12
16-26
12-12
21-24
172.4Avg total
91.2Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)89.985.7175.6+4.259%
Season at home (13)88.286.0174.2+2.246%
Season away (14)91.585.4176.9+6.171%
Last 10 (10)91.281.2172.4+10.070%
Last 5 (5)95.483.6179.0+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.5101.0176.5-25.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)91.892.3184.1-0.633%
vs Weaker (16)92.281.9174.1+10.481%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
W
77-76
77
76
+1
61avg 88
A18/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
107-78
107
78
+29
98avg 88
H20/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
84-87
84
87
-3
76avg 88
A29/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
111-96
111
96
+15
98avg 88
A31/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
124-117
124
117
+7
111avg 88
A05/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
124-113 OT
124
113
+11
108avg 88
H08/01
NBL
Perth
#5
L
97-107
97
107
-10
83avg 88
H10/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
108-89
108
89
+19
no box
A18/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
123-116
123
116
+7
116avg 88
H21/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
118-91
118
91
+27
118avg 88
H24/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
9-18
31-20
20-16
22-17
33-21
25-12
27-28
15-23
18-26
23-17
28-21
21-28
27-24
35-26
28-18
31-35
28-25
36-32
29-25
23-25
32-25
24-29
27-27
26-32
24-26
25-21
22-28
31-23
22-20
28-26
27-20
38-28
36-26
26-31
23-31
16-26
33-26
32-15
37-24
204.3Avg total
107.3Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)100.892.1192.9+8.770%
Season at home (14)103.691.6195.3+12.071%
Season away (13)97.792.6190.3+5.169%
Last 10 (10)107.397.0204.3+10.380%
Last 5 (5)114.0103.2217.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)105.4106.6212.0-1.260%
vs Similar ◀ (6)90.592.2182.7-1.750%
vs Weaker (19)102.290.6192.8+11.674%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
PerthSouth East Melbourne
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A28/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A01/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A04/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H16/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H22/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/01
NBL
87.1Avg total
46.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.443.990.3+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.942.086.9+2.971%-
Last 30 away (16)47.845.593.2+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)46.640.587.1+6.190%-
Last 5 (5)48.842.691.4+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.547.090.5-3.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)48.645.594.1+3.167%-
vs Weaker (16)45.142.287.4+2.969%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A18/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H20/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A29/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A31/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A05/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H08/01
NBL
Perth
#5
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H10/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A18/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H21/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H24/01
NBL
99.8Avg total
50.2Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.548.097.5+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.746.098.7+6.760%-
Last 30 away (15)46.449.996.3-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)50.249.699.8+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)56.251.4107.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.055.8107.8-3.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.548.093.5-2.517%-
vs Weaker (19)50.245.996.1+4.358%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.4
52.0%
54.6%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.7
34.5%
33.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.715.1
72.9%
74.8%15.1
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 105.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.924.9
58.0%
54.6%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.112.6
34.0%
33.3%37.8
🏀 Free throws22.917.5
76.4%
74.8%17.5
They take 80.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
LWWWWWLWLW
South East Melbourne
WWWLWWWLWW
#5
League position
#2
+7.3
Net rating
+10.5
109.4
Offensive rating
117.8
102.2
Defensive rating
107.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
54.8%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
13.1%
Turnover %
10.5%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.5%
3-point %
34.0%
55.1%
Assist %
59.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 117.8Defence102.2 · 107.3Shooting51.9% · 54.8%3-point %34.5% · 34.0%Ball care13.1% · 10.5%Off. rebounds33.4% · 35.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Perth   ■ South East Melbourne
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Perth wins
3
South East Melbourne wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HMelbourne United73-74
22/01/26HCairns Taipans106-69
16/01/26HIllawarra Hawks92-87
10/01/26ASouth East Melbourne107-97
04/01/26ANew Zealand Breakers99-91
01/01/26ABrisbane Bullets95-75
28/12/25AAdelaide84-95
21/12/25ATasmania JackJumpers94-85
18/12/25HSouth East Melbourne76-77
14/12/25ABrisbane Bullets86-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HCairns Taipans118-91
21/01/26HNew Zealand Breakers123-116
18/01/26AAdelaide108-89
10/01/26HPerth97-107
08/01/26HIllawarra Hawks124-113 OT
05/01/26ASydney124-117
31/12/25ACairns Taipans111-96
29/12/25ATasmania JackJumpers84-87
20/12/25HBrisbane Bullets107-78
18/12/25APerth77-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL59%
HomeLLWWL46%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%46%71%
Points / game89.988.291.5
Allowed / game85.786.085.4
Point differential+4.2+2.2+6.1
Avg total175.6174.2176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%23%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)17% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South East Melbourne
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWLWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %70%71%69%
Points / game100.8103.697.7
Allowed / game92.191.692.6
Point differential+8.7+12.0+5.1
Avg total192.9195.3190.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide2821775%93.387.2+6.1
2 South East Melbourne2719870%100.892.1+8.7
3 Sydney2718967%96.186.7+9.4
4 Melbourne United28181064%92.787.3+5.4
5 Perth27161159%89.985.7+4.2
6 Tasmania JackJumpers28121643%85.885.9-0.2
7 Illawarra Hawks26101638%91.595.8-4.3
8 New Zealand Breakers27101737%90.592.1-1.6
9 Cairns Taipans2772026%82.797.1-14.4
10 Brisbane Bullets2962321%83.396.2-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth24252626101
South East Melbourne3219261693
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