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Perth vs South East Melbourne Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 122-105
29-28 33-39 34-23 26-15
Position#3
Record18-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game100.1
Allowed / game96.9
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#5
Record16-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game91.6
AustraliaNBL· RAC Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Perth v South East Melbourne
02 Oct 2026
PERT92
SOUT88
19 Sep 2026
PERT79
SOUT100
28 Jan 2026
PERT101
SOUT93
18 Dec 2025
PERT76
SOUT77
11 Feb 2025
PERT122
SOUT105
31 Jan 2025
PERT100
SOUT99
15 Nov 2024
PERT97
SOUT84
20 Sep 2024
PERT106
SOUT98
13 Jan 2024
PERT100
SOUT79
17 Nov 2022
PERT103
SOUT96
28 Oct 2022
PERT90
SOUT91
24 Apr 2022
PERT100
SOUT102
03 Mar 2021
PERT93
SOUT92
29 Jan 2021
PERT89
SOUT90
24 Jan 2021
PERT88
SOUT76
17 Jan 2020
PERT97
SOUT71
25 Oct 2019
PERT110
SOUT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South East Melbourne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
W
116-92
116
92
+24
116avg 88
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
96-86
96
86
+10
83avg 88
A05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
105-73
105
73
+32
106avg 88
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
112-85
112
85
+27
98avg 88
A15/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
110-103
110
103
+7
101avg 88
H17/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
75avg 88
H22/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
116-125 OT
116
125
-9
90avg 88
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
100-99
100
99
+1
101avg 88
H31/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
104-97
104
97
+7
87avg 88
A02/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
112-104
112
104
+8
108avg 88
H07/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
29-16
23-21
38-29
30-24
25-20
19-28
22-14
29-22
35-20
28-18
13-13
27-27
38-15
20-24
27-19
22-24
30-17
24-32
34-30
23-21
20-25
25-25
25-28
18-22
29-34
35-17
18-27
27-26
22-23
17-28
34-22
32-21
24-27
29-26
19-23
20-27
29-29
32-22
31-26
202.7Avg total
106.4Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)100.196.9197.0+3.262%
Season at home (15)101.999.3201.2+2.567%
Season away (14)98.294.4192.6+3.957%
Last 10 (10)106.496.3202.7+10.180%
Last 5 (5)105.0104.8209.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)104.0115.3219.3-11.333%
vs Similar ◀ (11)90.895.6186.5-4.845%
vs Weaker (16)104.894.6199.3+10.275%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
Sydney
#4
L
101-110
101
110
-9
92avg 84
A02/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
105-91
105
91
+14
97avg 84
A05/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
105-86
105
86
+19
92avg 84
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
113-102
113
102
+11
92avg 84
A14/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
102-89
102
89
+13
93avg 84
H18/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
92-103
92
103
-11
74avg 84
H22/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
116-80
116
80
+36
119avg 84
H25/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
99-100
99
100
-1
82avg 84
A31/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
105-99
105
99
+6
101avg 84
H02/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
93-103
93
103
-10
80avg 84
A08/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
30-19
25-25
16-38
26-16
30-33
28-23
21-19
17-21
30-33
22-14
36-18
33-28
25-31
24-19
31-24
30-17
19-27
27-21
26-24
22-26
23-36
23-17
24-24
19-23
27-22
29-17
41-18
26-27
23-22
28-17
22-34
30-23
31-20
18-34
26-22
26-30
28-16
22-30
17-27
199.4Avg total
103.1Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)96.191.6187.7+4.555%
Season at home (14)98.989.6188.6+9.371%
Season away (15)93.593.4186.9+0.140%
Last 10 (10)103.196.3199.4+6.860%
Last 5 (5)101.097.0198.0+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)90.5103.8194.2-13.250%
vs Similar ◀ (11)92.995.1188.0-2.227%
vs Weaker (15)98.087.8185.8+10.273%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
PerthSouth East Melbourne
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
64-42
64
42
+22
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
65-42
65
42
+23
A15/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H17/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H22/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H31/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A02/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H07/02
NBL
100.1Avg total
53.5Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.148.699.7+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.649.8100.4+0.938%-
Last 30 away (14)51.647.398.9+4.357%-
Last 10 (10)53.546.6100.1+6.960%-
Last 5 (5)48.851.099.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.357.0111.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)48.549.497.8-0.936%-
vs Weaker (16)52.246.598.8+5.856%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#4
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A02/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A05/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A14/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H18/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
45-62
45
62
-17
H22/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H25/01
NBL
Perth
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A31/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H02/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A08/02
NBL
102.3Avg total
52.5Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.848.196.9+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.349.198.5+0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)48.347.095.3+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)52.549.8102.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)51.049.0100.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)47.556.5104.0-9.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)48.149.097.1-0.945%-
vs Weaker (15)49.745.194.9+4.673%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 105.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.7
52.9%
52.3%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.612.2
37.4%
35.1%36.6
🏀 Free throws27.421.8
79.6%
74.7%21.8
They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 102.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.725.7
55.0%
52.3%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.8
34.3%
35.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws24.618.3
74.4%
74.7%18.3
They take 78.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WWWLLWWWWW
South East Melbourne
LWLWLWWWWL
#3
League position
#5
+12.3
Net rating
+7.9
126.3
Offensive rating
122.6
114.0
Defensive rating
114.7
54.3%
Effective FG%
53.6%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
10.9%
Turnover %
11.1%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.4%
3-point %
34.3%
54.0%
Assist %
49.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence126.3 · 122.6Defence114.0 · 114.7Shooting54.3% · 53.6%3-point %37.4% · 34.3%Ball care10.9% · 11.1%Off. rebounds34.9% · 34.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Perth   ■ South East Melbourne
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Perth wins
3
South East Melbourne wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25HAdelaide112-104
02/02/25ASydney104-97
31/01/25HSouth East Melbourne100-99
25/01/25HCairns Taipans116-125 OT
22/01/25HMelbourne United93-99
17/01/25HAdelaide110-103
15/01/25ABrisbane Bullets112-85
12/01/25ATasmania JackJumpers105-73
05/01/25ANew Zealand Breakers96-86
28/12/24AAdelaide116-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25AMelbourne United93-103
02/02/25HAdelaide105-99
31/01/25APerth99-100
25/01/25HTasmania JackJumpers116-80
22/01/25HSydney92-103
18/01/25HNew Zealand Breakers102-89
14/01/25ACairns Taipans113-102
11/01/25HBrisbane Bullets105-86
05/01/25ATasmania JackJumpers105-91
02/01/25ASydney101-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game100.1101.998.2
Allowed / game96.999.394.4
Point differential+3.2+2.5+3.9
Avg total197.0201.2192.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%20%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
South East Melbourne
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %55%71%40%
Points / game96.198.993.5
Allowed / game91.689.693.4
Point differential+4.5+9.3+0.1
Avg total187.7188.6186.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2920969%101.491.2+10.2
2 Melbourne United29191066%95.691.4+4.1
3 Perth29181162%100.196.9+3.2
4 South East Melbourne29161355%96.191.6+4.5
5 Sydney29161355%90.788.2+2.5
6 Adelaide29131645%94.396.4-2.1
7 Tasmania JackJumpers29131645%84.088.0-4.1
8 Brisbane Bullets29121741%92.397.9-5.5
9 New Zealand Breakers29101934%85.791.4-5.7
10 Cairns Taipans2982128%88.395.5-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth29333426122
South East Melbourne28392315105
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