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Olimpia Milano vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-90
17-27 28-15 19-23 18-25
Position#1
Record3-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#16
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game83.0
ItalyLega ARound 5· Unipol Forum
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pesaro
29 Oct 2023
MIL82
PES90
15 May 2023
MIL86
PES57
13 May 2023
MIL94
PES68
09 Apr 2023
MIL102
PES70
13 Feb 2022
MIL91
PES57
14 Feb 2021
MIL87
PES59
03 Jan 2021
MIL97
PES93
05 Apr 2020
MIL v PES
upcoming
10 Feb 2019
MIL111
PES74
29 Apr 2018
MIL70
PES75
02 Jan 2017
MIL88
PES84
17 Apr 2016
MIL82
PES78
30 Nov 2014
MIL96
PES61
31 Mar 2014
MIL95
PES64
06 Apr 2013
MIL93
PES65
31 May 2012
MIL84
PES68
29 May 2012
MIL84
PES75
29 Jan 2012
MIL81
PES70
16 Jan 2011
MIL94
PES84
29 Nov 2009
MIL89
PES86
25 Jan 2009
MIL91
PES81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
67-55
67
55
+12
63avg 77
H23/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 77
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
78avg 77
H01/10
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
79avg 77
A06/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
61avg 77
A08/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
79-68
79
68
+11
86avg 77
H14/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
65-53
65
53
+12
61avg 77
H17/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
59avg 77
A19/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
80avg 77
A22/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 77
A26/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-9
17-20
10-5
19-21
12-14
20-20
21-25
20-19
17-24
21-16
24-21
24-19
23-19
12-19
19-24
22-14
13-23
22-12
12-23
21-19
9-18
25-9
26-18
19-23
19-17
12-15
13-9
21-12
25-19
17-23
19-25
10-21
22-19
19-12
13-24
25-20
18-12
19-23
24-22
21-28
149.6Avg total
75.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.075.0153.0+3.075%
Season at home (2)82.574.0156.5+8.5100%
Season away (2)73.576.0149.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)75.274.4149.6+0.850%
Last 5 (5)75.273.8149.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.088.0159.0-17.00%
vs Similar (10)76.475.9152.3+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.672.9158.5+12.683%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#12
L
87-98
87
98
-11
78avg 72
A29/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
82-78
82
78
+4
no box
H07/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
56avg 72
A13/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
57-86
57
86
-29
44avg 72
A15/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 72
H18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-94
80
94
-14
72avg 72
H20/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
79-81
79
81
-2
78avg 72
A01/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
64-76
64
76
-12
49avg 72
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
81-68
81
68
+13
74avg 72
A14/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
no box
H22/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
23-22
23-21
14-25
20-14
30-21
13-24
19-19
16-26
17-28
23-24
12-16
15-27
11-17
18-30
13-12
22-24
14-18
25-24
27-17
17-34
23-21
14-16
26-23
20-26
21-21
22-15
16-19
19-23
9-18
17-19
19-16
24-15
18-15
18-18
21-20
14-34
16-13
31-20
25-19
165.4Avg total
78.9Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.883.0164.8-1.225%
Season at home (2)83.591.5175.0-8.00%
Season away (2)80.074.5154.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)78.986.5165.4-7.630%
Last 5 (5)81.485.2166.6-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.789.7165.4-14.019%
vs Similar (13)85.384.2169.5+1.154%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
Olimpia MilanoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H23/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/10
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A08/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H14/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H17/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A19/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A22/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A26/10
Euroleague
70.6Avg total
36.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.935.475.3+4.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.833.673.4+6.262%-
Last 30 away (14)39.937.577.4+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)36.334.370.6+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.470.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.042.084.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (10)37.037.774.7-0.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.833.875.6+7.972%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#12
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A29/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H07/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A13/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A15/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H20/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A01/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A14/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H22/10
Lega A
82.3Avg total
37.6Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.543.281.7-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.740.177.8-2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.446.285.6-6.820%-
Last 10 (10)37.644.782.3-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.244.080.2-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.346.182.4-9.812%-
vs Similar (13)40.840.281.1+0.662%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.918.5
58.0%
53.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.8
31.6%
35.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.314.0
76.5%
76.3%14.0
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.9
52.1%
53.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.8
36.5%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.113.0
76.0%
76.3%13.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLWWLLWLW
Pesaro
LWLLLWLLWL
#1
League position
#16
+1.4
Net rating
-8.4
105.6
Offensive rating
108.4
104.2
Defensive rating
116.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
21.3%
Turnover %
16.1%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.6%
3-point %
36.5%
62.0%
Assist %
53.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 108.4Defence104.2 · 116.8Shooting53.4% · 53.1%3-point %31.6% · 36.5%Ball care21.3% · 16.1%Off. rebounds29.2% · 23.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Pesaro wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/23AAlba Berlin82-85
22/10/23ATortona79-75
19/10/23AReal Madrid71-88
17/10/23HOlympiacos65-53
14/10/23HReggiana79-68
08/10/23ABasket Napoli68-77
06/10/23AFenerbahce82-85 OT
01/10/23HTreviso86-80
23/09/23HVirtus Bologna73-78
23/06/23HVirtus Bologna67-55
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HScafati103-107 OT
14/10/23ABrindisi81-68
08/10/23HVenezia64-76
01/10/23ABrescia79-81
20/05/23HOlimpia Milano80-94
18/05/23HOlimpia Milano88-83
15/05/23AOlimpia Milano57-86
13/05/23AOlimpia Milano68-94
07/05/23HTortona82-78
29/04/23ABasket Napoli87-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game78.082.573.5
Allowed / game75.074.076.0
Point differential+3.0+8.5-2.5
Avg total153.0156.5149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game81.883.580.0
Allowed / game83.091.574.5
Point differential-1.2-8.0+5.5
Avg total164.8175.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna440100%91.575.0+16.5
2 Venezia440100%78.269.2+9.0
3 Brescia54180%85.276.6+8.6
4 Trento54180%83.882.6+1.2
5 Basket Napoli43175%87.277.2+10.0
6 Reggiana43175%83.877.5+6.2
7 Olimpia Milano43175%78.075.0+3.0
8 Tortona53260%75.675.0+0.6
9 Cremona52340%91.890.2+1.6
10 Scafati52340%91.293.6-2.4
11 Pesaro41325%81.883.0-1.2
12 Varese41325%82.290.5-8.2
13 Sassari51420%76.889.4-12.6
14 Pistoia4040%76.082.5-6.5
15 Treviso4040%76.086.8-10.8
16 Brindisi4040%67.581.8-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1728191882
Pesaro2715232590
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