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Pesaro vs Treviso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 95-76
26-21 22-18 28-13 19-24
Position#16
Record3-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game87.4
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#13
Record0-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game88.0
ItalyLega ARound 9· Vitrifrigo Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pesaro v Treviso
26 Nov 2023
PES95
TRV76
08 Jan 2023
PES101
TRV72
30 Jan 2022
PES105
TRV108
03 Apr 2021
PES89
TRV97
08 Mar 2020
PES v TRV
upcoming
20 Nov 2011
PES83
TRV73
19 Mar 2011
PES65
TRV71
14 Feb 2010
PES84
TRV94
29 Mar 2009
PES54
TRV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 72
H18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-94
80
94
-14
72avg 72
H20/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
79-81
79
81
-2
78avg 72
A01/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
64-76
64
76
-12
49avg 72
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
81-68
81
68
+13
74avg 72
A14/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
no box
H22/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
90-82
90
82
+8
89avg 72
A29/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
77-97
77
97
-20
73avg 72
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
96-92
96
92
+4
91avg 72
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
69-96
69
96
-27
60avg 72
A19/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
14-18
25-24
27-17
17-34
23-21
14-16
26-23
20-26
21-21
22-15
16-19
19-23
9-18
17-19
19-16
24-15
18-15
18-18
21-20
14-34
16-13
31-20
25-19
27-17
15-28
23-19
25-18
25-19
12-28
18-24
22-26
20-29
28-16
16-27
32-20
17-26
16-27
23-20
13-23
170.3Avg total
82.7Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.487.4169.8-5.038%
Season at home (4)85.093.0178.0-8.025%
Season away (4)79.881.8161.5-2.050%
Last 10 (10)82.787.6170.3-4.940%
Last 5 (5)87.094.8181.8-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.990.3167.2-13.426%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.883.8167.6+0.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
89-88
89
88
+1
80avg 73
H30/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
73-107
73
107
-34
53avg 73
A07/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
74avg 73
A01/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
71-99
71
99
-28
62avg 73
H07/10
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
66avg 73
A14/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 73
H22/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
69avg 73
A29/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
87-97
87
97
-10
69avg 73
H05/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 73
A11/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 73
H19/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
26-22
16-18
21-21
14-38
18-30
22-18
19-21
24-17
16-21
21-24
19-24
15-24
24-22
19-28
13-25
15-15
19-21
21-21
21-23
24-21
22-16
18-21
13-24
23-26
20-20
15-23
25-21
25-24
27-21
17-23
18-29
16-23
19-22
12-27
30-19
14-24
19-18
28-14
15-23
168.8Avg total
78.9Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.488.0166.4-9.60%
Season at home (4)77.889.2167.0-11.50%
Season away (4)79.086.8165.8-7.80%
Last 10 (10)78.989.9168.8-11.010%
Last 5 (5)80.087.8167.8-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)81.388.9170.2-7.637%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.286.9169.1-4.727%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -3.6-3.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -3.6-3.6
PesaroTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H20/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A01/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A14/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H22/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A19/11
Lega A
82.9Avg total
37.7Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.343.982.2-5.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.941.078.9-3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)38.746.785.4-8.120%-
Last 10 (10)37.745.282.9-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.047.485.4-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.946.783.6-9.811%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.439.379.7+1.170%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H30/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
32-68
32
68
-36
A07/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H07/10
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A14/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H22/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A29/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H05/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A11/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/11
Lega A
85.8Avg total
40.6Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.983.2-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.240.883.0+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)38.445.083.4-6.620%-
Last 10 (10)40.645.285.8-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.084.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.443.583.9-3.142%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.141.982.0-1.827%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.4
50.8%
53.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.2
38.0%
35.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.012.7
74.7%
76.3%12.7
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.5
52.1%
53.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.6
28.5%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.216.3
73.4%
76.3%16.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWLWLWLLLW
Treviso
LLLLLLLLLW
#16
League position
#13
-10.5
Net rating
-14.4
106.3
Offensive rating
102.3
116.7
Defensive rating
116.7
53.3%
Effective FG%
48.2%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.0%
3-point %
28.5%
60.5%
Assist %
51.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 102.3Defence116.7 · 116.7Shooting53.3% · 48.2%3-point %38.0% · 28.5%Ball care16.5% · 16.7%Off. rebounds20.5% · 27.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Pesaro   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pesaro wins
6
Treviso wins
DateGameScore
19/04/23Treviso v Pesaro96-82
08/01/23Pesaro v Treviso101-72
30/01/22Pesaro v Treviso105-108 OT
11/12/21Treviso v Pesaro63-73
03/04/21Pesaro v Treviso89-97
06/12/20Treviso v Pesaro91-81
03/11/19Treviso v Pesaro85-75
07/03/12Treviso v Pesaro66-77
20/11/11Pesaro v Treviso83-73
19/03/11Pesaro v Treviso65-71
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23ACremona69-96
12/11/23HTortona96-92
04/11/23HBasket Napoli77-97
29/10/23AOlimpia Milano90-82
22/10/23HScafati103-107 OT
14/10/23ABrindisi81-68
08/10/23HVenezia64-76
01/10/23ABrescia79-81
20/05/23HOlimpia Milano80-94
18/05/23HOlimpia Milano88-83
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HBasket Napoli76-79
11/11/23AVirtus Bologna77-91
05/11/23HScafati87-97
29/10/23AReggiana83-90
22/10/23HVenezia77-82
14/10/23ASassari76-80
07/10/23HBrescia71-99
01/10/23AOlimpia Milano80-86
07/05/23AVenezia73-107
30/04/23HVirtus Bologna89-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game82.485.079.8
Allowed / game87.493.081.8
Point differential-5.0-8.0-2.0
Avg total169.8178.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Treviso
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.477.879.0
Allowed / game88.089.286.8
Point differential-9.6-11.5-7.8
Avg total166.4167.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia97278%87.775.3+12.3
2 Virtus Bologna97278%87.978.2+9.7
3 Basket Napoli97278%86.379.6+6.8
4 Venezia97278%81.476.2+5.2
5 Trento86275%83.981.5+2.4
6 Olimpia Milano95456%80.675.8+4.8
7 Reggiana95456%83.983.7+0.2
8 Tortona84450%77.479.4-2.0
9 Cremona94544%88.185.2+2.9
10 Scafati94544%88.888.4+0.3
11 Pistoia94544%78.179.8-1.7
12 Pesaro83538%82.487.4-5.0
13 Sassari93633%76.183.8-7.7
14 Varese93633%85.694.3-8.8
15 Brindisi91811%69.380.8-11.4
16 Treviso8080%78.488.0-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2622281995
Treviso2118132476
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