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Pesaro vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-94
19-25 16-29 13-16 31-24
Position#17
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game71.7
ItalyLega ARound 4
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Pesaro v Virtus Bologna
17 Mar 2024
PES87
VIR86
26 Dec 2022
PES82
VIR87
19 May 2022
PES55
VIR75
16 Apr 2022
PES77
VIR96
20 Mar 2021
PES70
VIR75
13 Oct 2019
PES79
VIR94
25 Nov 2018
PES89
VIR86
14 Oct 2017
PES75
VIR81
25 Oct 2015
PES68
VIR63
26 Dec 2014
PES67
VIR70
27 Apr 2014
PES79
VIR78
30 Mar 2013
PES101
VIR91
08 Jan 2012
PES86
VIR77
07 Nov 2010
PES66
VIR70
21 Apr 2010
PES90
VIR73
02 Nov 2008
PES99
VIR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
70-78
70
78
-8
56avg 111
A23/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
91-89
91
89
+2
82avg 111
H31/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
64-97
64
97
-33
134avg 111
A07/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
76-81
76
81
-5
70avg 111
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
81-88
81
88
-7
272avg 111
H20/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 111
A28/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
73-100
73
100
-27
53avg 111
H05/05
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 111
A12/05
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
72-80
72
80
-8
59avg 111
H24/09
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
79-99
79
99
-20
69avg 111
A29/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
26-23
10-16
23-17
8-28
32-20
25-23
26-18
18-33
12-20
20-25
14-19
20-14
21-21
23-19
12-27
16-22
17-22
16-15
32-29
22-19
8-19
28-19
17-24
12-24
19-25
16-25
26-26
17-26
18-26
19-24
17-17
20-23
21-17
7-26
24-14
19-20
15-30
22-25
23-24
163.8Avg total
75.2Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.589.5165.0-14.00%
Season at home (1)72.080.0152.0-8.00%
Season away (1)79.099.0178.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)75.288.6163.8-13.410%
Last 5 (5)74.090.6164.6-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)79.292.8172.0-13.617%
vs Similar (1)81.077.0158.0+4.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
61-77
61
77
-16
85avg 113
H14/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
89-81
89
81
+8
232avg 113
A20/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
75-77
75
77
-2
60avg 113
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
74-69
74
69
+5
419avg 113
H28/04
Lega A
Bamberg
#12
W
67-50
67
50
+17
no box
H03/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
H05/05
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
83avg 113
H12/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
74-67
74
67
+7
69avg 113
H25/09
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
88-78
88
78
+10
91avg 113
A29/09
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
75-70
75
70
+5
71avg 113
H06/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
12-21
21-18
10-21
19-15
27-17
22-27
21-22
15-23
12-19
31-7
17-28
13-19
21-15
25-13
15-22
22-11
20-17
11-11
14-11
20-8
18-16
20-20
15-17
17-19
28-18
22-22
17-13
17-16
23-13
24-23
10-15
18-12
24-18
20-23
26-25
13-19
22-20
17-19
23-12
146.2Avg total
76.0Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.071.7150.7+7.3100%
Season at home (2)74.568.5143.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)88.078.0166.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.070.2146.2+5.880%
Last 5 (5)78.869.6148.4+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.383.3160.6-6.029%
vs Similar (10)79.174.5153.6+4.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)78.872.8151.5+6.067%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
PesaroVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A23/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H31/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A07/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H20/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A28/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H05/05
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A12/05
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H24/09
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A29/09
Lega A
80.6Avg total
35.2Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.647.586.1-8.823%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.546.988.3-5.427%-
Last 30 away (15)35.848.183.9-12.320%-
Last 10 (10)35.245.480.6-10.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.245.880.0-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)38.447.585.9-9.124%-
vs Similar (1)46.046.092.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H14/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A20/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H28/04
Lega A
Bamberg
#12
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H03/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H05/05
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H12/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H25/09
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A29/09
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H06/10
Lega A
71.2Avg total
37.9Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.976.6+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.735.975.6+3.865%-
Last 30 away (13)39.638.277.8+1.454%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.371.2+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.031.871.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.440.379.7-0.943%-
vs Similar (10)38.534.873.3+3.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.736.877.5+3.875%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.717.1
43.1%
52.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.0
34.8%
35.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws13.910.1
72.7%
73.6%10.1
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.5
52.7%
52.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.15.9
29.4%
35.1%17.7
🏀 Free throws20.614.6
70.9%
73.6%14.6
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLLLLLWL
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWLWL
#17
League position
#1
-18.2
Net rating
+0.4
97.1
Offensive rating
105.2
115.3
Defensive rating
104.8
46.9%
Effective FG%
49.8%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.8%
3-point %
29.4%
43.5%
Assist %
61.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 105.2Defence115.3 · 104.8Shooting46.9% · 49.8%3-point %34.8% · 29.4%Ball care17.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds27.8% · 28.4%Free throws0.20 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Pesaro   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Virtus Bologna wins
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/19ASassari79-99
24/09/19HFortitudo Bologna72-80
12/05/19ATorino71-93
05/05/19HReggiana73-100
28/04/19AVarese75-81
20/04/19HSassari81-88
14/04/19ATrento76-81
07/04/19ACremona64-97
31/03/19HAvellino91-89
23/03/19AVirtus Bologna70-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/19HVenezia75-70
29/09/19APistoia88-78
25/09/19HVirtus Roma74-67
12/05/19HVarese84-72
05/05/19HTenerife73-61
03/05/19HBamberg67-50
28/04/19HTrento74-69
24/04/19ABrescia75-77
20/04/19AReggiana89-81
14/04/19HBrindisi61-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.572.079.0
Allowed / game89.580.099.0
Point differential-14.0-8.0-20.0
Avg total165.0152.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.074.588.0
Allowed / game71.768.578.0
Point differential+7.3+6.0+10.0
Avg total150.7143.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna330100%79.071.7+7.3
2 Sassari43175%77.067.2+9.8
3 Brescia43175%83.275.2+8.0
4 Brindisi43175%82.874.8+8.0
5 Varese32167%75.765.3+10.3
6 Fortitudo Bologna32167%76.379.0-2.7
7 Olimpia Milano42250%79.272.8+6.5
8 Venezia42250%76.570.8+5.8
9 Reggiana42250%83.880.0+3.8
10 Trento42250%77.879.8-2.0
11 Virtus Roma42250%77.080.5-3.5
12 Treviso31233%75.778.7-3.0
13 Cremona31233%84.789.7-5.0
14 Cantu31233%63.377.3-14.0
15 Trieste41325%68.279.2-11.0
16 Pistoia4040%73.086.0-13.0
17 Pesaro2020%75.589.5-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1916133179
Virtus Bologna2529162494
← all games of the day
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