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Trento vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 97-91
21-24 29-29 20-15 27-23
Position#4
Record13-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game72.8
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record7-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game79.4
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Trento v Pesaro
10 Mar 2024
TRE109
PES82
04 Dec 2022
TRE79
PES75
23 Apr 2022
TRE82
PES83
07 Feb 2021
TRE70
PES81
11 Mar 2020
TRE v PES
upcoming
14 Apr 2019
TRE81
PES76
19 Nov 2017
TRE91
PES74
26 Mar 2017
TRE97
PES91
08 Nov 2015
TRE81
PES74
11 Apr 2015
TRE77
PES65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Cantu
#14
L
68-77
68
77
-9
90avg 102
H02/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
69-79 OT
69
79
-10
no box
A08/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
84-48
84
48
+36
120avg 102
H22/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
78-59
78
59
+19
110avg 102
A29/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
65-57
65
57
+8
89avg 102
H05/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
71-63
71
63
+8
96avg 102
A12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
114avg 102
A26/02
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
76-66
76
66
+10
104avg 102
H04/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
67-76
67
76
-9
99avg 102
A13/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
no box
H18/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
14-23
19-12
19-21
18-13
14-17
13-14
20-21
25-12
15-13
24-9
20-14
21-9
17-15
17-22
23-13
14-11
17-14
16-13
18-19
17-15
20-18
18-16
16-14
17-25
23-19
19-10
28-21
23-13
17-19
12-22
24-12
16-22
21-19
13-15
17-20
30-21
31-22
16-31
22-17
145.5Avg total
76.4Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.272.8149.0+3.457%
Season at home (11)79.573.6153.2+5.964%
Season away (12)73.272.0145.2+1.250%
Last 10 (10)76.469.1145.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)80.074.2154.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.775.7144.3-7.00%
vs Similar (10)70.668.8139.4+1.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.875.4154.2+3.465%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
105avg 97
A02/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
70-68
70
68
+2
90avg 97
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
68-99
68
99
-31
92avg 97
A22/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
65-66
65
66
-1
88avg 97
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
78-73
78
73
+5
103avg 97
H05/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
62-79
62
79
-17
85avg 97
A12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
76-71
76
71
+5
95avg 97
H26/02
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
83avg 97
A05/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
78-93
78
93
-15
104avg 97
A12/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
106avg 97
H19/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
24-34
18-25
19-13
16-17
14-19
17-15
23-17
17-31
16-22
13-21
22-25
12-18
16-18
23-13
14-17
22-15
12-26
23-15
21-17
21-16
15-25
11-17
15-21
10-23
20-11
22-21
24-16
22-22
14-20
14-18
11-25
22-23
29-19
18-25
9-26
23-27
22-17
15-29
21-18
153.6Avg total
72.3Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)73.679.4153.0-5.830%
Season at home (12)74.574.7149.2-0.242%
Season away (11)72.684.5157.2-11.918%
Last 10 (10)72.381.3153.6-9.030%
Last 5 (5)71.683.8155.4-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.781.6156.3-6.921%
vs Similar (16)75.078.1153.1-3.144%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
TrentoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#14
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H02/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A08/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H22/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A29/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H05/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A26/02
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A13/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H18/03
Lega A
72.7Avg total
38.6Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.573.4+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.435.675.1+3.871%-
Last 30 away (16)36.635.471.9+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.634.172.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.681.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.037.373.3-1.333%-
vs Similar (10)34.130.664.7+3.570%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.538.178.5+2.459%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A02/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A22/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H05/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H26/02
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A05/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A12/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H19/03
Lega A
78.9Avg total
37.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.839.075.8-2.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.835.570.3-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)38.742.581.3-3.820%-
Last 10 (10)37.041.978.9-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.680.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.639.476.1-2.836%-
vs Similar (16)36.938.775.6-1.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.2
50.4%
51.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.3
33.3%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.811.6
65.2%
74.0%11.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.4
47.2%
51.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.3
32.6%
35.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.514.6
74.9%
74.0%14.6
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WLWWWWWWLL
Pesaro
LLLWLWLLWL
#4
League position
#15
+12.0
Net rating
-12.5
103.8
Offensive rating
96.9
91.7
Defensive rating
109.4
50.2%
Effective FG%
47.8%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.1%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.3%
3-point %
32.6%
52.6%
Assist %
47.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 96.9Defence91.7 · 109.4Shooting50.2% · 47.8%3-point %33.3% · 32.6%Ball care17.1% · 18.1%Off. rebounds31.2% · 23.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Trento   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Trento wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
27/11/16Pesaro v Trento73-78
09/03/16Pesaro v Trento79-72
08/11/15Trento v Pesaro81-74
11/04/15Trento v Pesaro77-65
21/12/14Pesaro v Trento57-76
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/17HPistoia99-91
13/03/17ATorino67-76
04/03/17HCaserta76-66
26/02/17AReggiana87-75
12/02/17ACapo d'Orlando71-63
05/02/17HVenezia65-57
29/01/17ACremona78-59
22/01/17HBrindisi84-48
08/01/17AAvellino69-79 OT
02/01/17HCantu68-77
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/17HReggiana81-91
12/03/17AVarese78-93
05/03/17AVenezia61-85
26/02/17HSassari76-71
12/02/17AAvellino62-79
05/02/17HCantu78-73
29/01/17HTorino65-66
22/01/17ABrescia68-99
08/01/17HCapo d'Orlando70-68
02/01/17AOlimpia Milano84-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game76.279.573.2
Allowed / game72.873.672.0
Point differential+3.4+5.9+1.2
Avg total149.0153.2145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Pesaro
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeWLWWL42%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %30%42%18%
Points / game73.674.572.6
Allowed / game79.474.784.5
Point differential-5.8-0.2-11.9
Avg total153.0149.2157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)38% (8)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2320387%87.478.7+8.7
2 Venezia2416867%81.077.4+3.6
3 Avellino2315865%79.875.2+4.7
4 Capo d'Orlando24141058%77.877.2+0.6
5 Trento23131057%76.272.8+3.4
6 Sassari24131154%76.773.9+2.8
7 Reggiana23121152%81.882.5-0.7
8 Brindisi23111248%83.782.7+1.0
9 Torino23111248%81.084.7-3.6
10 Brescia23101343%80.280.4-0.3
11 Pistoia23101343%75.677.3-1.7
12 Cantu23101343%78.281.2-3.0
13 Varese24101442%77.080.2-3.2
14 Caserta2491538%78.682.3-3.7
15 Pesaro2371630%73.679.4-5.8
16 Cremona2461825%77.980.5-2.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2129202797
Pesaro2429152391
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