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Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 114-105
20-31 32-23 24-28 38-23
Position#29
Record14-54
FormLLWLW
Points / game106.1
Allowed / game116.0
Phoenix Suns 🏆
USA
vs
Milwaukee Bucks
USA
Position#1
Record51-16
FormWWWWL
Points / game117.9
Allowed / game108.1
USANBA· Talking Stick Resort Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks
26 Mar 2027
PHX v MIL
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
PHX105
MIL108
24 Mar 2025
PHX108
MIL106
19 Jul 2024
PHX115
MIL90
06 Feb 2024
PHX114
MIL106
08 Jul 2023
PHX75
MIL84
14 Mar 2023
PHX104
MIL116
10 Feb 2022
PHX131
MIL107
17 Jul 2021
PHX119
MIL123
08 Jul 2021
PHX118
MIL108
06 Jul 2021
PHX118
MIL105
10 Feb 2021
PHX125
MIL124
08 Mar 2020
PHX140
MIL131
04 Mar 2019
PHX114
MIL105
22 Nov 2017
PHX107
MIL113
04 Feb 2017
PHX112
MIL137
20 Dec 2015
PHX95
MIL101
16 Jul 2015
PHX106
MIL80
15 Dec 2014
PHX94
MIL96
13 Jul 2014
PHX93
MIL82
04 Jan 2014
PHX116
MIL100
17 Jan 2013
PHX94
MIL98
08 Jan 2012
PHX109
MIL93
02 Feb 2011
PHX92
MIL77
11 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIL101
09 Dec 2008
PHX125
MIL110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
L
110-118
110
118
-8
H05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
88-116
88
116
-28
A07/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
107-117
107
117
-10
H09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
104-117
104
117
-13
A10/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
L
107-134
107
134
-27
A14/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
98-111
98
111
-13
A22/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
112-120
112
120
-8
A24/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
124-121
124
121
+3
A26/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
116-130
116
130
-14
H02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
118-109
118
109
+9
H03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
29-31
23-31
30-24
24-30
22-26
25-23
17-37
31-26
22-34
32-22
22-35
23-33
21-30
28-24
32-30
22-32
29-35
28-33
28-34
28-23
23-32
21-22
26-34
33-33
26-30
28-23
25-34
23-29
29-34
32-24
40-34
32-27
25-29
27-38
32-36
33-26
33-33
29-19
23-31
227.7Avg total
108.4Scored
119.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)106.1116.0222.1-9.921%
Season at home (33)106.1113.3219.4-7.224%
Season away (35)106.1118.6224.7-12.517%
Last 10 (10)108.4119.3227.7-10.920%
Last 5 (5)113.6118.2231.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)108.9120.0228.9-11.119%
vs Similar (3)107.3116.3223.7-9.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
122-107
122
107
+15
A09/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
L
83-103
83
103
-20
H10/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
112-99
112
99
+13
A12/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
106-97
106
97
+9
A14/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
98-97
98
97
+1
H22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
140-128
140
128
+12
H24/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
117-106
117
106
+11
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
141-140 OT
141
140
+1
A28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
131-120
131
120
+11
A02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
111-115
111
115
-4
A03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
35-22
30-35
28-21
19-20
30-39
15-20
19-24
22-21
28-28
29-22
33-28
26-18
29-29
21-32
30-18
20-22
33-25
19-21
26-29
35-32
34-38
38-39
33-19
25-38
38-16
27-26
27-26
34-33
39-29
31-29
22-35
27-26
32-39
34-29
38-26
26-23
20-30
32-20
33-42
227.3Avg total
116.1Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)117.9108.1226.0+9.876%
Season at home (32)120.2106.5226.7+13.784%
Season away (35)115.8109.5225.4+6.369%
Last 10 (10)116.1111.2227.3+4.980%
Last 5 (5)128.0121.8249.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)110.5107.5218.0+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)119.0108.3227.3+10.786%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
Phoenix SunsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A07/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A10/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
L
51-67
51
67
-16
A14/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A22/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A24/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A26/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H03/03
NBA
114.1Avg total
53.6Scored
60.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.461.5115.9-7.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.361.4115.7-7.127%-
Last 30 away (15)54.561.7116.1-7.220%-
Last 10 (10)53.660.5114.1-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)57.059.2116.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)54.361.9116.1-7.626%-
vs Similar (3)55.758.7114.3-3.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
64-51
64
51
+13
A09/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H10/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A12/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A14/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H24/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A03/03
NBA
113.8Avg total
58.1Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.553.3112.8+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (13)62.854.8117.6+8.162%-
Last 30 away (17)56.952.2109.2+4.771%-
Last 10 (10)58.155.7113.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)62.060.8122.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)56.551.5108.0+5.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)59.753.5113.2+6.264%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 108.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.231.3
53.8%
51.7%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.4
28.9%
35.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws26.020.6
79.2%
76.6%20.6
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.529.2
54.6%
51.7%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.513.3
33.7%
35.4%39.9
🏀 Free throws22.217.6
79.3%
76.6%17.6
They take 93.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WLWLLLLLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWWWWWWLW
#29
League position
#1
-10.3
Net rating
+4.5
104.6
Offensive rating
110.4
115.0
Defensive rating
105.9
50.3%
Effective FG%
52.8%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
14.9%
Turnover %
11.5%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.9%
3-point %
33.7%
62.5%
Assist %
58.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 110.4Defence115.0 · 105.9Shooting50.3% · 52.8%3-point %28.9% · 33.7%Ball care14.9% · 11.5%Off. rebounds22.5% · 22.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Phoenix Suns wins
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateGameScore
24/11/18Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns114-116
23/01/18Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns109-105
23/11/17Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks107-113 OT
26/02/17Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns100-96
05/02/17Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks112-137
31/03/16Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns105-94
20/12/15Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks95-101
16/07/15Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks106-80
07/01/15Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns96-102
16/12/14Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks94-96
Phoenix Sunslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19HLos Angeles Lakers118-109
02/03/19HNew Orleans Pelicans116-130
26/02/19AMiami Heat124-121
24/02/19AAtlanta Hawks112-120
22/02/19ACleveland Cavaliers98-111
14/02/19ALos Angeles Clippers107-134
10/02/19ASacramento Kings104-117
09/02/19HGolden State Warriors107-117
07/02/19AUtah Jazz88-116
05/02/19HHouston Rockets110-118
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19AUtah Jazz111-115
02/03/19ALos Angeles Lakers131-120
28/02/19ASacramento Kings141-140 OT
26/02/19AChicago Bulls117-106
24/02/19HMinnesota Timberwolves140-128
22/02/19HBoston Celtics98-97
14/02/19AIndiana Pacers106-97
12/02/19AChicago Bulls112-99
10/02/19HOrlando Magic83-103
09/02/19ADallas Mavericks122-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW21%
HomeLLLLW24%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683335
Win %21%24%17%
Points / game106.1106.1106.1
Allowed / game116.0113.3118.6
Point differential-9.9-7.2-12.5
Avg total222.1219.4224.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%9%3%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (15)29% (7)38% (8)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWLWW84%
AwayWWWWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673235
Win %76%84%69%
Points / game117.9120.2115.8
Allowed / game108.1106.5109.5
Point differential+9.8+13.7+6.3
Avg total226.0226.7225.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%66%49%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)50% (4)40% (10)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks67511676%117.9108.1+9.8
2 Toronto Raptors68491972%114.3108.6+5.7
3 Denver Nuggets67452267%111.9107.0+4.9
4 Golden State Warriors68452366%118.1112.2+5.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers66422464%115.6112.4+3.3
6 Indiana Pacers68432563%108.4103.8+4.6
7 Oklahoma City Thunder67422563%114.9110.3+4.5
8 Portland Trail Blazers68422662%113.6109.8+3.8
9 Houston Rockets67412661%113.5110.7+2.8
10 Utah Jazz65392660%110.7106.3+4.3
11 Boston Celtics68392957%111.4106.8+4.6
12 Los Angeles Clippers68392957%114.1112.8+1.3
13 San Antonio Spurs70393156%111.6110.4+1.2
14 Brooklyn Nets70353550%111.5112.2-0.8
15 Detroit Pistons67333449%107.2107.7-0.5
16 Charlotte Hornets68333549%111.4111.6-0.1
17 Los Angeles Lakers69333648%112.4113.9-1.5
18 Sacramento Kings67323548%113.3115.6-2.3
19 Miami Heat69323746%106.6107.1-0.5
20 Orlando Magic69313845%105.3106.3-0.9
21 Minnesota Timberwolves68303844%112.3113.6-1.3
22 Washington Wizards67293843%114.0116.4-2.4
23 Dallas Mavericks66283842%108.3109.9-1.6
24 New Orleans Pelicans70294141%115.8115.8+0.0
25 Memphis Grizzlies70274339%101.5104.4-2.9
26 Atlanta Hawks70244634%112.3118.8-6.5
27 Chicago Bulls69204929%104.8112.1-7.3
28 Cleveland Cavaliers68185026%103.8113.1-9.3
29 New York Knicks68165224%106.1113.9-7.8
30 Phoenix Suns68145421%106.1116.0-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns20322438114
Milwaukee Bucks31232823105
← all games of the day
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