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Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 121-124
29-23 34-29 24-32 34-40
Position#17
Record26-32
FormLLWLL
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game105.9
vs
Position#28
Record11-50
FormLLLLL
Points / game105.9
Allowed / game116.1
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns
08 Mar 2027
MIA v PHX
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MIA127
PHX121
07 Dec 2024
MIA121
PHX111
29 Jan 2024
MIA105
PHX118
14 Nov 2022
MIA113
PHX112
09 Mar 2022
MIA90
PHX111
23 Mar 2021
MIA100
PHX110
08 Aug 2020
MIA112
PHX119
25 Feb 2019
MIA121
PHX124
05 Mar 2018
MIA125
PHX103
21 Mar 2017
MIA112
PHX97
03 Mar 2016
MIA108
PHX92
02 Mar 2015
MIA115
PHX98
25 Nov 2013
MIA107
PHX92
05 Nov 2012
MIA124
PHX99
20 Mar 2012
MIA99
PHX95
17 Nov 2010
MIA123
PHX96
03 Nov 2009
MIA96
PHX104
04 Mar 2009
MIA135
PHX129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
89-105
89
105
-16
78avg 97
H31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
102-118
102
118
-16
95avg 97
H02/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
88-95
88
95
-7
84avg 97
H03/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
118-108
118
108
+10
112avg 97
A06/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
96-102
96
102
-6
88avg 97
A09/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
118-120
118
120
-2
110avg 97
A11/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
87-103
87
103
-16
80avg 97
A12/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
112-101
112
101
+11
112avg 97
A14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
102-106
102
106
-4
91avg 97
A22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
96-119
96
119
-23
78avg 97
H24/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
27-19
20-28
21-27
24-31
29-41
21-22
28-24
27-21
27-32
23-31
11-11
34-30
28-25
32-24
24-29
28-17
31-33
24-25
13-27
34-24
25-30
23-36
36-30
27-35
22-19
21-29
17-20
29-25
28-33
32-16
23-27
21-29
29-28
25-16
27-33
29-20
17-34
30-30
20-35
208.5Avg total
100.8Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)104.8105.9210.7-1.145%
Season at home (28)104.0106.3210.3-2.339%
Season away (30)105.6105.5211.2+0.150%
Last 10 (10)100.8107.7208.5-6.920%
Last 5 (5)103.0109.8212.8-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)102.4106.0208.4-3.643%
vs Similar (16)102.5105.1207.6-2.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)104.198.7202.9+5.471%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
102-116
102
116
-14
87avg 94
A28/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
124-126
124
126
-2
123avg 94
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
112-118
112
118
-6
100avg 94
H03/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
110-118
110
118
-8
106avg 94
H05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
88-116
88
116
-28
82avg 94
A07/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
107-117
107
117
-10
89avg 94
H09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
104-117
104
117
-13
95avg 94
A10/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
107-134
107
134
-27
95avg 94
A14/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
98-111
98
111
-13
88avg 94
A22/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
112-120
112
120
-8
100avg 94
A24/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-31
26-34
28-25
21-26
33-33
34-37
24-26
33-30
30-33
27-25
31-28
24-32
28-32
29-31
23-31
30-24
24-30
22-26
25-23
17-37
31-26
22-34
32-22
22-35
23-33
21-30
28-24
32-30
22-32
29-35
28-33
28-34
28-23
23-32
21-22
26-34
33-33
26-30
28-23
25-34
225.7Avg total
106.4Scored
119.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)105.9116.1222.0-10.218%
Season at home (29)105.9113.1219.0-7.224%
Season away (32)105.9118.9224.8-13.012%
Last 10 (10)106.4119.3225.7-12.90%
Last 5 (5)105.6119.8225.4-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)109.0120.1229.0-11.115%
vs Similar (3)107.3116.3223.7-9.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -5.8-5.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -5.8-5.8
Miami HeatPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
53-72
53
72
-19
H02/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H03/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A06/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A09/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A11/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A12/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H24/02
NBA
109.4Avg total
53.7Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.752.8105.5-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.652.9106.5+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)51.952.8104.6-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)53.755.7109.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)52.255.4107.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)51.950.9102.7+1.043%-
vs Similar (16)53.954.9108.8-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)50.650.1100.7+0.429%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A28/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H03/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A07/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A10/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
51-67
51
67
-16
A14/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A22/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A24/02
NBA
115.8Avg total
53.8Scored
62.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.261.6115.8-7.417%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.262.0115.2-8.815%-
Last 30 away (17)55.061.3116.3-6.318%-
Last 10 (10)53.862.0115.8-8.20%-
Last 5 (5)51.661.6113.2-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)54.161.9116.0-7.919%-
vs Similar (3)55.758.7114.3-3.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 100.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.829.2
53.3%
51.7%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.2
32.0%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.611.8
67.0%
76.6%11.8
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 106.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.931.5
53.5%
51.7%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.5
29.7%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.617.9
75.8%
76.6%17.9
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLWLLLWLLL
Phoenix Suns
LLLLLLLLLL
#17
League position
#28
-6.9
Net rating
-12.5
101.4
Offensive rating
103.5
108.3
Defensive rating
116.0
51.3%
Effective FG%
50.6%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.1%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.0%
3-point %
29.7%
60.7%
Assist %
62.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 103.5Defence108.3 · 116.0Shooting51.3% · 50.6%3-point %32.0% · 29.7%Ball care15.7% · 15.1%Off. rebounds24.4% · 23.2%Free throws0.20 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Miami Heat wins
1
Phoenix Suns wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/19HDetroit Pistons96-119
22/02/19APhiladelphia 76ers102-106
14/02/19ADallas Mavericks112-101
12/02/19ADenver Nuggets87-103
11/02/19AGolden State Warriors118-120
09/02/19ASacramento Kings96-102
06/02/19APortland Trail Blazers118-108
03/02/19HIndiana Pacers88-95
02/02/19HOklahoma City Thunder102-118
31/01/19HChicago Bulls89-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/19AAtlanta Hawks112-120
22/02/19ACleveland Cavaliers98-111
14/02/19ALos Angeles Clippers107-134
10/02/19ASacramento Kings104-117
09/02/19HGolden State Warriors107-117
07/02/19AUtah Jazz88-116
05/02/19HHouston Rockets110-118
03/02/19HAtlanta Hawks112-118
30/01/19ASan Antonio Spurs124-126
28/01/19ALos Angeles Lakers102-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeLLLLL39%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582830
Win %45%39%50%
Points / game104.8104.0105.6
Allowed / game105.9106.3105.5
Point differential-1.1-2.3+0.1
Avg total210.7210.3211.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%11%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)50% (8)33% (9)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLLLLL24%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games612932
Win %18%24%12%
Points / game105.9105.9105.9
Allowed / game116.1113.1118.9
Point differential-10.2-7.2-13.0
Avg total222.0219.0224.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%10%3%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (13)33% (6)29% (7)
Overtime %7%7%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks59451476%117.0107.3+9.7
2 Toronto Raptors61441772%114.1108.9+5.2
3 Golden State Warriors60431772%118.8112.0+6.9
4 Denver Nuggets59411869%112.2106.8+5.4
5 Indiana Pacers61402166%108.6103.3+5.3
6 Oklahoma City Thunder59382164%116.0110.9+5.0
7 Philadelphia 76ers60382263%115.7112.3+3.4
8 Boston Celtics60372362%112.8106.8+6.0
9 Portland Trail Blazers60372362%113.8110.2+3.6
10 Houston Rockets59342558%113.1111.1+2.0
11 Utah Jazz59332656%110.1106.7+3.4
12 San Antonio Spurs61332854%112.5111.8+0.7
13 Los Angeles Clippers61332854%113.9113.8+0.1
14 Sacramento Kings59312853%113.7114.8-1.2
15 Brooklyn Nets61313051%112.2112.8-0.6
16 Detroit Pistons59293049%107.2108.1-0.9
17 Los Angeles Lakers59293049%112.3113.6-1.3
18 Minnesota Timberwolves59283147%112.2112.1+0.2
19 Charlotte Hornets60283247%111.0111.5-0.5
20 Orlando Magic61283346%106.0106.8-0.8
21 Miami Heat58263245%104.8105.9-1.1
22 New Orleans Pelicans61273444%115.7115.0+0.7
23 Dallas Mavericks59263344%108.6109.1-0.5
24 Washington Wizards60243640%113.8117.0-3.2
25 Memphis Grizzlies61233838%100.8104.0-3.3
26 Atlanta Hawks60204033%111.0118.2-7.2
27 Chicago Bulls60164427%103.7111.7-8.0
28 Cleveland Cavaliers61144723%103.4113.3-9.9
29 New York Knicks60124820%105.7114.1-8.4
30 Phoenix Suns61115018%105.9116.1-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat29342434121
Phoenix Suns23293240124
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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