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Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 118-108
26-29 30-16 32-33 30-30
Position#3
Record64-29
FormLWLWW
Points / game113.7
Allowed / game108.3
vs
Position#5
Record58-35
FormWLWWL
Points / game117.7
Allowed / game112.6
USANBANBA - Final· Phoenix Suns Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks
26 Mar 2027
PHX v MIL
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
PHX105
MIL108
24 Mar 2025
PHX108
MIL106
19 Jul 2024
PHX115
MIL90
06 Feb 2024
PHX114
MIL106
08 Jul 2023
PHX75
MIL84
14 Mar 2023
PHX104
MIL116
10 Feb 2022
PHX131
MIL107
17 Jul 2021
PHX119
MIL123
08 Jul 2021
PHX118
MIL108
06 Jul 2021
PHX118
MIL105
10 Feb 2021
PHX125
MIL124
08 Mar 2020
PHX140
MIL131
04 Mar 2019
PHX114
MIL105
22 Nov 2017
PHX107
MIL113
04 Feb 2017
PHX112
MIL137
20 Dec 2015
PHX95
MIL101
16 Jul 2015
PHX106
MIL80
15 Dec 2014
PHX94
MIL96
13 Jul 2014
PHX93
MIL82
04 Jan 2014
PHX116
MIL100
17 Jan 2013
PHX94
MIL98
08 Jan 2012
PHX109
MIL93
02 Feb 2011
PHX92
MIL77
11 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIL101
09 Dec 2008
PHX125
MIL110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
123-98
123
98
+25
H10/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
116-102
116
102
+14
A12/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
125-118
125
118
+7
A14/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
120-114
120
114
+6
H20/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
104-103
104
103
+1
H23/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
92-106
92
106
-14
A25/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A27/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
102-116
102
116
-14
H29/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
130-103
130
103
+27
A01/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
118-105
118
105
+13
H07/07
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
27-21
34-25
37-31
37-27
22-28
31-21
26-26
28-22
35-33
33-28
29-35
21-21
36-33
36-39
27-21
25-22
23-25
27-24
29-32
21-29
27-17
21-34
23-26
29-20
21-16
19-30
15-14
26-36
26-23
26-32
24-25
33-29
33-28
31-26
33-20
30-26
27-23
35-27
26-29
215.9Avg total
111.4Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (93)113.7108.3222.0+5.469%
Season at home (47)115.3106.9222.2+8.472%
Season away (46)112.1109.8221.9+2.365%
Last 10 (10)111.4104.5215.9+6.980%
Last 5 (5)105.2102.0207.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)111.4106.4217.7+5.068%
vs Weaker (5)127.6115.8243.4+11.8100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
108-114
108
114
-6
A16/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
104-89
104
89
+15
H18/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
115-111 OT
115
111
+4
A20/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
113-116
113
116
-3
H24/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
125-91
125
91
+34
H26/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
113-102
113
102
+11
A28/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
88-110
88
110
-22
A30/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
123-112
123
112
+11
H02/07
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
118-107
118
107
+11
A04/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
105-118
105
118
-13
A07/07
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
30-28
28-38
21-33
26-19
33-29
19-19
26-22
25-28
22-25
35-28
27-28
28-25
31-29
26-34
28-28
34-28
43-17
26-18
22-28
27-32
29-24
27-29
30-17
22-25
16-26
24-36
26-23
36-22
29-34
26-22
32-34
28-24
19-19
44-29
27-35
26-30
23-27
27-35
29-26
218.2Avg total
111.2Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (93)117.7112.6230.3+5.162%
Season at home (46)118.7110.9229.7+7.872%
Season away (47)116.7114.3231.0+2.553%
Last 10 (10)111.2107.0218.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)109.4109.8219.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)108.7107.6216.2+1.162%
vs Weaker (14)123.1115.1238.1+8.079%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
Phoenix SunsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H10/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A12/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A14/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H20/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H23/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A25/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A27/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H29/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A01/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H07/07
NBA
105.2Avg total
55.2Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.952.4109.3+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.051.1107.1+4.962%-
Last 30 away (17)57.653.4111.0+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)55.250.0105.2+5.290%-
Last 5 (5)54.649.4104.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)56.552.0108.5+4.568%-
vs Weaker (5)59.054.2113.2+4.860%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A16/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H18/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A20/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H24/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
77-45
77
45
+32
H26/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A28/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A30/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H02/07
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A04/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A07/07
NBA
106.2Avg total
55.6Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.654.6113.2+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.953.1116.1+9.893%-
Last 30 away (16)54.955.8110.7-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)55.650.6106.2+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)51.052.6103.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)55.252.6107.8+2.762%-
vs Weaker (14)62.556.9119.4+5.671%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 111.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.631.2
53.2%
52.8%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.8
37.6%
36.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.616.6
89.2%
77.7%16.6
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.830.0
56.8%
52.8%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.712.0
32.7%
36.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws19.714.2
72.1%
77.7%14.2
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jul 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WWLWLWWWWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWLWWLWWL
#3
League position
#5
+7.1
Net rating
+4.9
114.6
Offensive rating
111.1
107.5
Defensive rating
106.2
54.3%
Effective FG%
53.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
10.8%
Turnover %
12.4%
20.2%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.6%
3-point %
32.7%
55.5%
Assist %
55.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 111.1Defence107.5 · 106.2Shooting54.3% · 53.6%3-point %37.6% · 32.7%Ball care10.8% · 12.4%Off. rebounds20.2% · 25.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Phoenix Suns wins
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/21HMilwaukee Bucks118-105
01/07/21ALos Angeles Clippers130-103
29/06/21HLos Angeles Clippers102-116
27/06/21ALos Angeles Clippers84-80
25/06/21ALos Angeles Clippers92-106
23/06/21HLos Angeles Clippers104-103
20/06/21HLos Angeles Clippers120-114
14/06/21ADenver Nuggets125-118
12/06/21ADenver Nuggets116-102
10/06/21HDenver Nuggets123-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/21APhoenix Suns105-118
04/07/21AAtlanta Hawks118-107
02/07/21HAtlanta Hawks123-112
30/06/21AAtlanta Hawks88-110
28/06/21AAtlanta Hawks113-102
26/06/21HAtlanta Hawks125-91
24/06/21HAtlanta Hawks113-116
20/06/21ABrooklyn Nets115-111 OT
18/06/21HBrooklyn Nets104-89
16/06/21ABrooklyn Nets108-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW69%
HomeWWWLW72%
AwayWWLWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games934746
Win %69%72%65%
Points / game113.7115.3112.1
Allowed / game108.3106.9109.8
Point differential+5.4+8.4+2.3
Avg total222.0222.2221.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (28)43% (14)71% (14)
Overtime %8%6%9%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWLWW72%
AwayWWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games934647
Win %62%72%53%
Points / game117.7118.7116.7
Allowed / game112.6110.9114.3
Point differential+5.1+7.8+2.5
Avg total230.3229.7231.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%46%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)80% (10)40% (10)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz86612571%116.5108.3+8.3
2 Phoenix Suns93642969%113.7108.3+5.4
3 Philadelphia 76ers86582867%113.9108.0+5.9
4 Brooklyn Nets86572966%117.7112.7+5.0
5 Milwaukee Bucks93583562%117.7112.6+5.1
6 Denver Nuggets85533262%115.2110.9+4.3
7 Los Angeles Clippers94573761%113.0108.0+5.0
8 Los Angeles Lakers83493459%108.7106.2+2.4
9 Dallas Mavericks82473557%112.3110.4+1.8
10 Atlanta Hawks94534156%112.2110.9+1.3
11 New York Knicks81453656%106.1103.9+2.1
12 Portland Trail Blazers82453755%115.9115.0+0.8
13 Golden State Warriors77413653%113.4112.4+1.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies83443953%113.5112.5+1.0
15 Miami Heat78413753%107.5108.6-1.2
16 Boston Celtics80384248%112.2111.8+0.4
17 Indiana Pacers77354245%115.3115.6-0.3
18 Washington Wizards82374545%115.7118.2-2.5
19 Chicago Bulls76344245%110.6111.2-0.6
20 New Orleans Pelicans74334145%114.8114.6+0.2
21 Charlotte Hornets77344344%109.7112.0-2.3
22 San Antonio Spurs76334343%110.6112.9-2.3
23 Sacramento Kings76334343%113.6117.3-3.7
24 Toronto Raptors75294639%111.2111.6-0.4
25 Minnesota Timberwolves75245132%112.1117.7-5.6
26 Cleveland Cavaliers76245232%103.6112.0-8.4
27 Oklahoma City Thunder75235231%105.2115.5-10.3
28 Orlando Magic76235330%104.6113.5-8.9
29 Detroit Pistons76225429%105.9110.1-4.1
30 Houston Rockets76205626%109.1116.0-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns26303230118
Milwaukee Bucks29163330108
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