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Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 105-108
26-15 26-42 30-24 23-27
Position#16
Record39-30
FormWLLLL
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game110.8
Phoenix Suns
USA
vs
Milwaukee Bucks 🏆
USA
Position#21
Record28-41
FormLLWLL
Points / game111.0
Allowed / game116.4
USANBA· Mortgage Matchup Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks
26 Mar 2027
PHX v MIL
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
PHX105
MIL108
24 Mar 2025
PHX108
MIL106
06 Feb 2024
PHX114
MIL106
14 Mar 2023
PHX104
MIL116
10 Feb 2022
PHX131
MIL107
17 Jul 2021
PHX119
MIL123
08 Jul 2021
PHX118
MIL108
06 Jul 2021
PHX118
MIL105
10 Feb 2021
PHX125
MIL124
08 Mar 2020
PHX140
MIL131
04 Mar 2019
PHX114
MIL105
22 Nov 2017
PHX107
MIL113
04 Feb 2017
PHX112
MIL137
20 Dec 2015
PHX95
MIL101
15 Dec 2014
PHX94
MIL96
04 Jan 2014
PHX116
MIL100
17 Jan 2013
PHX94
MIL98
08 Jan 2012
PHX109
MIL93
02 Feb 2011
PHX92
MIL77
11 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIL101
09 Dec 2008
PHX125
MIL110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
114-103
114
103
+11
112avg 101
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
103-105
103
105
-2
90avg 101
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
118-116
118
116
+2
107avg 101
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
111-99
111
99
+12
106avg 101
H09/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
129-114
129
114
+15
128avg 101
A11/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
123-108
123
108
+15
113avg 101
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
115-122
115
122
-7
102avg 101
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
112-120
112
120
-8
103avg 101
A16/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
104-116
104
116
-12
86avg 101
A18/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
100-101
100
101
-1
92avg 101
A20/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
37-25
31-20
24-28
20-24
30-31
27-28
26-22
26-29
32-23
34-29
26-35
28-30
32-28
21-19
30-22
36-30
26-35
38-32
29-17
36-36
31-25
29-27
27-20
28-30
34-29
30-27
23-36
32-31
29-34
25-26
26-29
39-36
24-28
23-28
18-24
26-24
33-28
20-21
21-28
223.3Avg total
112.9Scored
110.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)112.6110.8223.4+1.757%
Season at home (35)111.2108.0219.2+3.363%
Season away (34)113.9113.8227.7+0.250%
Last 10 (10)112.9110.4223.3+2.550%
Last 5 (5)110.8113.4224.2-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)102.6109.8212.4-7.125%
vs Similar (14)107.4110.4217.7-3.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)117.4109.5226.9+7.988%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
81-108
81
108
-27
71avg 104
H03/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
113-131
113
131
-18
107avg 104
H05/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
113-99
113
99
+14
112avg 104
H08/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
91-130
91
130
-39
77avg 104
H09/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
114-129
114
129
-15
109avg 104
H11/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
105-112
105
112
-7
98avg 104
A12/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
99-122
99
122
-23
94avg 104
A14/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
134-123
134
123
+11
130avg 104
H15/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
116-123
116
123
-7
106avg 104
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
96-128
96
128
-32
83avg 104
A20/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
23-27
22-26
16-25
38-25
33-41
18-32
24-33
24-13
27-31
32-32
30-23
15-25
40-42
15-33
21-30
30-36
35-26
32-38
17-29
21-31
30-28
26-26
28-27
30-31
22-29
26-35
21-27
26-34
36-31
40-31
32-27
24-37
34-20
29-28
29-38
19-30
25-34
29-30
23-34
226.7Avg total
106.2Scored
120.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)111.0116.4227.4-5.341%
Season at home (35)114.1118.2232.3-4.146%
Season away (34)107.9114.5222.3-6.635%
Last 10 (10)106.2120.5226.7-14.320%
Last 5 (5)110.0121.6231.6-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)105.0118.8223.7-13.824%
vs Similar (8)119.5117.4236.9+2.175%
vs Weaker (1)99.0109.0208.0-10.00%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -5.2-5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -5.2-5.2
Phoenix SunsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H09/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A11/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A16/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A18/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A20/03
NBA
118.7Avg total
60.1Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.557.1113.6-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.553.9106.4-1.438%-
Last 30 away (14)61.160.8121.9+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)60.158.6118.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)62.460.2122.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)57.158.9116.0-1.838%-
vs Similar (14)53.256.3109.5-3.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)61.656.9118.5+4.875%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H03/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H05/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H08/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H09/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H11/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A12/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A14/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H15/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
44-64
44
64
-20
A20/03
NBA
115.3Avg total
55.2Scored
60.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.059.4115.4-3.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.161.1118.1-4.041%-
Last 30 away (13)54.757.2111.9-2.546%-
Last 10 (10)55.260.1115.3-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)53.461.0114.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)54.860.3115.1-5.638%-
vs Similar (8)61.057.2118.2+3.862%-
vs Weaker (1)43.057.0100.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.8
53.0%
54.8%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.216.0
37.0%
35.8%48.0
🏀 Free throws22.817.3
75.9%
78.1%17.3
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.424.6
55.4%
54.8%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.914.7
36.8%
35.8%44.1
🏀 Free throws19.013.0
68.4%
78.1%13.0
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLLLWWWWLW
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLLLLWLL
#16
League position
#21
+2.5
Net rating
-13.5
114.8
Offensive rating
107.0
112.3
Defensive rating
120.5
54.3%
Effective FG%
55.3%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
11.8%
Turnover %
14.6%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.0%
3-point %
36.8%
64.8%
Assist %
65.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 107.0Defence112.3 · 120.5Shooting54.3% · 55.3%3-point %37.0% · 36.8%Ball care11.8% · 14.6%Off. rebounds29.4% · 20.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Phoenix Suns wins
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateGameScore
11/03/26Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns114-129
01/04/25Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns133-123
25/03/25Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks108-106
17/03/24Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns140-129
07/02/24Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks114-106
15/03/23Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks104-116
26/02/23Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns104-101
06/03/22Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns132-122
11/02/22Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks131-107
21/07/21Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns105-98
Phoenix Sunslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26ASan Antonio Spurs100-101
18/03/26AMinnesota Timberwolves104-116
16/03/26ABoston Celtics112-120
13/03/26AToronto Raptors115-122
12/03/26AIndiana Pacers123-108
11/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks129-114
09/03/26HCharlotte Hornets111-99
07/03/26HNew Orleans Pelicans118-116
06/03/26HChicago Bulls103-105
04/03/26ASacramento Kings114-103
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26AUtah Jazz96-128
18/03/26HCleveland Cavaliers116-123
15/03/26HIndiana Pacers134-123
14/03/26AAtlanta Hawks99-122
12/03/26AMiami Heat105-112
11/03/26HPhoenix Suns114-129
09/03/26HOrlando Magic91-130
08/03/26HUtah Jazz113-99
05/03/26HAtlanta Hawks113-131
03/03/26HBoston Celtics81-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL57%
HomeLWLWW63%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693534
Win %57%63%50%
Points / game112.6111.2113.9
Allowed / game110.8108.0113.8
Point differential+1.7+3.3+0.2
Avg total223.4219.2227.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%31%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (22)64% (14)25% (8)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL41%
HomeWLLWL46%
AwayWLLLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693534
Win %41%46%35%
Points / game111.0114.1107.9
Allowed / game116.4118.2114.5
Point differential-5.3-4.1-6.6
Avg total227.4232.3222.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)57% (7)44% (9)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder69551480%118.5107.8+10.8
2 San Antonio Spurs69511874%118.9111.6+7.3
3 Detroit Pistons70511973%117.4109.5+7.8
4 Boston Celtics70472367%114.4107.0+7.4
5 Los Angeles Lakers70462466%116.4114.7+1.7
6 New York Knicks69442564%116.6110.3+6.2
7 Cleveland Cavaliers71442762%119.0114.7+4.3
8 Houston Rockets70432761%114.0109.9+4.1
9 Denver Nuggets71432861%120.7116.5+4.2
10 Minnesota Timberwolves71432861%118.6114.8+3.8
11 Toronto Raptors68392957%114.2111.9+2.3
12 Phoenix Suns69393057%112.6110.8+1.7
13 Atlanta Hawks71393255%117.9116.5+1.3
14 Philadelphia 76ers71393255%115.8116.1-0.4
15 Orlando Magic68373154%115.2114.1+1.1
16 Miami Heat70383254%120.5117.2+3.3
17 Charlotte Hornets71373452%116.1112.1+4.1
18 Los Angeles Clippers71353649%113.5113.0+0.5
19 Portland Trail Blazers71353649%115.1117.1-2.0
20 Golden State Warriors71333846%114.7114.6+0.1
21 Milwaukee Bucks69284141%111.0116.4-5.3
22 Chicago Bulls70284240%115.8120.2-4.4
23 New Orleans Pelicans72254735%115.5119.2-3.7
24 Memphis Grizzlies70244634%115.5118.7-3.2
25 Dallas Mavericks71234832%113.5118.7-5.2
26 Utah Jazz71215030%117.3124.8-7.5
27 Sacramento Kings71185325%110.8121.0-10.2
28 Brooklyn Nets70175324%106.2115.3-9.2
29 Washington Wizards70165423%112.5123.8-11.3
30 Indiana Pacers71155621%111.4120.4-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns26263023105
Milwaukee Bucks15422427108
← all games of the day
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