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Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 119-123
37-21 24-43 29-36 29-23
Position#3
Record65-31
FormWWWLL
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game108.4
Phoenix Suns
USA
vs
Milwaukee Bucks 🏆
USA
Position#5
Record60-36
FormWLLWW
Points / game117.6
Allowed / game112.4
USANBANBA - Final· Footprint Center
NBA2020-21Neutral venue
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks
26 Mar 2027
PHX v MIL
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
PHX105
MIL108
24 Mar 2025
PHX108
MIL106
06 Feb 2024
PHX114
MIL106
14 Mar 2023
PHX104
MIL116
10 Feb 2022
PHX131
MIL107
17 Jul 2021
PHX119
MIL123
08 Jul 2021
PHX118
MIL108
06 Jul 2021
PHX118
MIL105
10 Feb 2021
PHX125
MIL124
08 Mar 2020
PHX140
MIL131
04 Mar 2019
PHX114
MIL105
22 Nov 2017
PHX107
MIL113
04 Feb 2017
PHX112
MIL137
20 Dec 2015
PHX95
MIL101
15 Dec 2014
PHX94
MIL96
04 Jan 2014
PHX116
MIL100
17 Jan 2013
PHX94
MIL98
08 Jan 2012
PHX109
MIL93
02 Feb 2011
PHX92
MIL77
11 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIL101
09 Dec 2008
PHX125
MIL110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
120-114
120
114
+6
120avg 108
H20/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
104-103
104
103
+1
98avg 108
H23/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
92-106
92
106
-14
81avg 108
A25/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 108
A27/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
102-116
102
116
-14
93avg 108
H29/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
130-103
130
103
+27
126avg 108
A01/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
118-105
118
105
+13
106avg 108
H07/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
118-108
118
108
+10
112avg 108
H09/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
100-120
100
120
-20
89avg 108
A12/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
103-109
103
109
-6
96avg 108
A15/07
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
36-33
36-39
27-21
25-22
23-25
27-24
29-32
21-29
27-17
21-34
23-26
29-20
21-16
19-30
15-14
26-36
26-23
26-32
24-25
33-29
33-28
31-26
33-20
30-26
27-23
35-27
26-29
26-29
30-16
32-33
30-30
28-25
17-35
31-38
24-22
23-20
29-32
30-24
21-33
213.5Avg total
107.1Scored
106.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (96)113.5108.4221.9+5.168%
Season at home (48)115.4106.9222.3+8.573%
Season away (48)111.7110.0221.6+1.762%
Last 10 (10)107.1106.4213.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)113.8109.0222.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)110.4106.3216.6+4.164%
vs Weaker (5)127.6115.8243.4+11.8100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
113-116
113
116
-3
101avg 110
H24/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
125-91
125
91
+34
119avg 110
H26/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
113-102
113
102
+11
110avg 110
A28/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
88-110
88
110
-22
75avg 110
A30/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
123-112
123
112
+11
116avg 110
H02/07
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
118-107
118
107
+11
111avg 110
A04/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
105-118
105
118
-13
95avg 110
A07/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
108-118
108
118
-10
94avg 110
A09/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
120-100
120
100
+20
115avg 110
H12/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
109-103
109
103
+6
94avg 110
H15/07
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
31-29
26-34
28-28
34-28
43-17
26-18
22-28
27-32
29-24
27-29
30-17
22-25
16-26
24-36
26-23
36-22
29-34
26-22
32-34
28-24
19-19
44-29
27-35
26-30
23-27
27-35
29-26
29-26
16-30
33-32
30-30
25-28
35-17
38-31
22-24
20-23
32-29
24-30
33-21
219.9Avg total
112.2Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (96)117.6112.4230.0+5.162%
Season at home (48)118.5110.5229.1+8.073%
Season away (48)116.6114.3230.9+2.252%
Last 10 (10)112.2107.7219.9+4.560%
Last 5 (5)112.0109.2221.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)109.3107.5216.7+1.863%
vs Weaker (11)124.1115.1239.2+9.082%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
Phoenix SunsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H20/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H23/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A25/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A27/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H29/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A01/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H07/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H09/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A12/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A15/07
NBA
103.6Avg total
53.1Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.051.8107.8+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.550.5105.9+5.062%-
Last 30 away (17)56.552.8109.2+3.765%-
Last 10 (10)53.150.5103.6+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)55.252.6107.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)55.451.3106.7+4.264%-
vs Weaker (5)59.054.2113.2+4.860%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H24/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
77-45
77
45
+32
H26/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A28/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A30/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H02/07
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A04/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A07/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A09/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H12/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H15/07
NBA
106.3Avg total
54.8Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.654.5112.2+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.152.6114.6+9.588%-
Last 30 away (14)52.656.8109.4-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)54.851.5106.3+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)50.650.6101.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)54.852.3107.1+2.558%-
vs Weaker (11)62.558.4120.9+4.264%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 107.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.730.5
53.8%
52.8%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.6
35.9%
36.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.714.3
85.6%
77.7%14.3
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 112.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.131.4
55.0%
52.8%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.111.4
32.5%
36.6%34.2
🏀 Free throws21.015.2
72.4%
77.7%15.2
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jul 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLWWWLWLWW
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLLWWLWWL
#3
League position
#5
+0.7
Net rating
+4.6
111.8
Offensive rating
113.8
111.1
Defensive rating
109.2
53.8%
Effective FG%
52.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
11.9%
Turnover %
10.9%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.9%
3-point %
32.5%
55.2%
Assist %
57.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 113.8Defence111.1 · 109.2Shooting53.8% · 52.6%3-point %35.9% · 32.5%Ball care11.9% · 10.9%Off. rebounds20.8% · 30.3%Free throws0.19 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Phoenix Suns wins
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateGameScore
15/07/21Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns109-103
12/07/21Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns120-100
09/07/21Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks118-108
07/07/21Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks118-105
20/04/21Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns127-128 OT
11/02/21Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks125-124
08/03/20Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks140-131
02/02/20Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns129-108
05/03/19Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks114-105
24/11/18Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns114-116
Phoenix Sunslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/07/21AMilwaukee Bucks103-109
12/07/21AMilwaukee Bucks100-120
09/07/21HMilwaukee Bucks118-108
07/07/21HMilwaukee Bucks118-105
01/07/21ALos Angeles Clippers130-103
29/06/21HLos Angeles Clippers102-116
27/06/21ALos Angeles Clippers84-80
25/06/21ALos Angeles Clippers92-106
23/06/21HLos Angeles Clippers104-103
20/06/21HLos Angeles Clippers120-114
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/07/21HPhoenix Suns109-103
12/07/21HPhoenix Suns120-100
09/07/21APhoenix Suns108-118
07/07/21APhoenix Suns105-118
04/07/21AAtlanta Hawks118-107
02/07/21HAtlanta Hawks123-112
30/06/21AAtlanta Hawks88-110
28/06/21AAtlanta Hawks113-102
26/06/21HAtlanta Hawks125-91
24/06/21HAtlanta Hawks113-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL68%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayLWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games964848
Win %68%73%62%
Points / game113.5115.4111.7
Allowed / game108.4106.9110.0
Point differential+5.1+8.5+1.7
Avg total221.9222.3221.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (28)43% (14)71% (14)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayWLWLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games964848
Win %62%73%52%
Points / game117.6118.5116.6
Allowed / game112.4110.5114.3
Point differential+5.1+8.0+2.2
Avg total230.0229.1230.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%46%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)80% (10)40% (10)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz86612571%116.5108.3+8.3
2 Phoenix Suns96653168%113.5108.4+5.1
3 Philadelphia 76ers86582867%113.9108.0+5.9
4 Brooklyn Nets86572966%117.7112.7+5.0
5 Milwaukee Bucks96603662%117.6112.4+5.1
6 Denver Nuggets85533262%115.2110.9+4.3
7 Los Angeles Clippers94573761%113.0108.0+5.0
8 Los Angeles Lakers83493459%108.7106.2+2.4
9 Dallas Mavericks82473557%112.3110.4+1.8
10 Atlanta Hawks94534156%112.2110.9+1.3
11 New York Knicks81453656%106.1103.9+2.1
12 Portland Trail Blazers82453755%115.9115.0+0.8
13 Golden State Warriors77413653%113.4112.4+1.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies83443953%113.5112.5+1.0
15 Miami Heat78413753%107.5108.6-1.2
16 Boston Celtics80384248%112.2111.8+0.4
17 Indiana Pacers77354245%115.3115.6-0.3
18 Washington Wizards82374545%115.7118.2-2.5
19 Chicago Bulls76344245%110.6111.2-0.6
20 New Orleans Pelicans74334145%114.8114.6+0.2
21 Charlotte Hornets77344344%109.7112.0-2.3
22 San Antonio Spurs76334343%110.6112.9-2.3
23 Sacramento Kings76334343%113.6117.3-3.7
24 Toronto Raptors75294639%111.2111.6-0.4
25 Minnesota Timberwolves75245132%112.1117.7-5.6
26 Cleveland Cavaliers76245232%103.6112.0-8.4
27 Oklahoma City Thunder75235231%105.2115.5-10.3
28 Orlando Magic76235330%104.6113.5-8.9
29 Detroit Pistons76225429%105.9110.1-4.1
30 Houston Rockets76205626%109.1116.0-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns37242929119
Milwaukee Bucks21433623123
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