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Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 125-124
32-32 27-39 39-30 27-23
Position#3
Record14-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game108.1
vs
Position#5
Record16-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game120.0
Allowed / game112.6
USANBA· Phoenix Suns Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks
26 Mar 2027
PHX v MIL
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
PHX105
MIL108
24 Mar 2025
PHX108
MIL106
19 Jul 2024
PHX115
MIL90
06 Feb 2024
PHX114
MIL106
08 Jul 2023
PHX75
MIL84
14 Mar 2023
PHX104
MIL116
10 Feb 2022
PHX131
MIL107
17 Jul 2021
PHX119
MIL123
08 Jul 2021
PHX118
MIL108
06 Jul 2021
PHX118
MIL105
10 Feb 2021
PHX125
MIL124
08 Mar 2020
PHX140
MIL131
04 Mar 2019
PHX114
MIL105
22 Nov 2017
PHX107
MIL113
04 Feb 2017
PHX112
MIL137
20 Dec 2015
PHX95
MIL101
16 Jul 2015
PHX106
MIL80
15 Dec 2014
PHX94
MIL96
13 Jul 2014
PHX93
MIL82
04 Jan 2014
PHX116
MIL100
17 Jan 2013
PHX94
MIL98
08 Jan 2012
PHX109
MIL93
02 Feb 2011
PHX92
MIL77
11 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIL101
09 Dec 2008
PHX125
MIL110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
126-130 OT
126
130
-4
H23/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
112-120 OT
112
120
-8
H24/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
97-102
97
102
-5
H28/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
114-93
114
93
+21
H29/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
111-105
111
105
+6
A31/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
109-108
109
108
+1
A02/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
101-123
101
123
-22
A04/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
109-92
109
92
+17
H06/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
100-91
100
91
+9
H07/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
119-113
119
113
+6
H09/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-25
34-29
27-37
19-23
30-28
31-30
16-15
21-25
32-17
10-28
29-28
26-29
36-29
16-18
33-24
29-22
29-28
26-27
22-27
34-23
22-22
25-31
30-29
32-26
25-28
21-20
28-40
27-35
27-24
30-20
30-24
22-24
27-19
25-30
24-19
24-23
34-28
30-33
25-30
30-22
217.5Avg total
109.8Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)109.0108.1217.1+0.952%
Season at home (13)111.1106.3217.4+4.854%
Season away (14)107.1109.7216.8-2.650%
Last 10 (10)109.8107.7217.5+2.160%
Last 5 (5)107.6105.4213.0+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)112.0108.9220.9+3.153%
vs Weaker (13)109.6106.6216.2+3.062%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
106-113
106
113
-7
H22/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
129-115
129
115
+14
H25/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
115-108
115
108
+7
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
126-131
126
131
-5
A30/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
114-126
114
126
-12
A31/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
134-106
134
106
+28
H02/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
130-110
130
110
+20
H04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
123-105
123
105
+18
A06/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
124-99
124
99
+25
A07/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
125-112
125
112
+13
A09/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-29
24-34
24-23
25-27
32-15
34-32
28-36
35-32
33-33
30-21
20-28
32-26
21-35
24-33
44-35
37-28
31-39
33-29
30-29
20-29
46-36
33-20
34-21
21-29
29-21
39-30
38-21
24-38
26-33
34-30
34-26
29-16
25-22
34-32
35-23
30-22
37-42
22-20
34-26
32-24
235.1Avg total
122.6Scored
112.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)120.0112.6232.6+7.459%
Season at home (13)120.2110.7230.8+9.569%
Season away (14)119.8114.4234.1+5.450%
Last 10 (10)122.6112.5235.1+10.170%
Last 5 (5)127.2106.4233.6+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)115.2119.4234.7-4.233%
vs Weaker (21)119.7109.4229.1+10.367%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
Phoenix SunsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H23/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H24/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H28/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H29/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A31/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A02/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A04/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H06/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H07/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H09/02
NBA
105.8Avg total
54.4Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.653.1108.7+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.153.0111.1+5.180%-
Last 30 away (15)53.253.1106.3+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)54.451.4105.8+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)53.251.0104.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)56.353.9110.2+2.459%-
vs Weaker (13)54.852.0106.8+2.869%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H22/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H25/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
45-68
45
68
-23
A30/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A31/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H02/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A06/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A07/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A09/02
NBA
120.6Avg total
62.0Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.555.0115.5+5.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.952.7115.6+10.279%-
Last 30 away (16)58.456.9115.3+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)62.058.6120.6+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)65.057.2122.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)58.257.1115.3+1.144%-
vs Weaker (21)61.554.0115.5+7.471%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.229.1
53.7%
52.8%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.912.1
34.7%
36.6%36.3
🏀 Free throws17.815.3
86.0%
77.7%15.3
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 122.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.7
57.6%
52.8%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.914.7
39.8%
36.6%44.1
🏀 Free throws20.414.9
73.0%
77.7%14.9
They take 91.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WWWLWWWLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWWLLWWL
#3
League position
#5
+2.3
Net rating
+9.6
108.6
Offensive rating
119.2
106.4
Defensive rating
109.6
53.0%
Effective FG%
58.5%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
13.6%
Turnover %
12.2%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.7%
3-point %
39.8%
62.1%
Assist %
62.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 119.2Defence106.4 · 109.6Shooting53.0% · 58.5%3-point %34.7% · 39.8%Ball care13.6% · 12.2%Off. rebounds21.9% · 24.8%Free throws0.20 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Phoenix Suns wins
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/21HCleveland Cavaliers119-113
07/02/21HBoston Celtics100-91
06/02/21HDetroit Pistons109-92
04/02/21ANew Orleans Pelicans101-123
02/02/21ADallas Mavericks109-108
31/01/21ADallas Mavericks111-105
29/01/21HGolden State Warriors114-93
28/01/21HOklahoma City Thunder97-102
24/01/21HDenver Nuggets112-120 OT
23/01/21HDenver Nuggets126-130 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/21ADenver Nuggets125-112
07/02/21ACleveland Cavaliers124-99
06/02/21ACleveland Cavaliers123-105
04/02/21HIndiana Pacers130-110
02/02/21HPortland Trail Blazers134-106
31/01/21ACharlotte Hornets114-126
30/01/21ANew Orleans Pelicans126-131
28/01/21AToronto Raptors115-108
25/01/21HAtlanta Hawks129-115
22/01/21HLos Angeles Lakers106-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW52%
HomeLWWWW54%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%54%50%
Points / game109.0111.1107.1
Allowed / game108.1106.3109.7
Point differential+0.9+4.8-2.6
Avg total217.1217.4216.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)17% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %11%15%7%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW59%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%69%50%
Points / game120.0120.2119.8
Allowed / game112.6110.7114.4
Point differential+7.4+9.5+5.4
Avg total232.6230.8234.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%62%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz2823582%115.0105.2+9.7
2 Los Angeles Lakers2923679%112.8104.5+8.3
3 Philadelphia 76ers2720774%114.0109.6+4.4
4 Los Angeles Clippers29181162%113.1108.7+4.5
5 Milwaukee Bucks27161159%120.0112.6+7.4
6 Brooklyn Nets29171259%120.1116.4+3.8
7 Denver Nuggets27151256%116.4110.5+5.9
8 Memphis Grizzlies24131154%112.2110.4+1.8
9 Golden State Warriors28151354%113.6112.4+1.2
10 Phoenix Suns27141352%109.0108.1+0.9
11 Portland Trail Blazers27141352%113.3116.0-2.7
12 Toronto Raptors28141450%113.8111.3+2.5
13 New Orleans Pelicans26131350%113.1111.8+1.3
14 Houston Rockets28141450%110.5109.2+1.3
15 San Antonio Spurs28141450%109.5112.4-2.9
16 Sacramento Kings28141450%113.2117.8-4.6
17 Dallas Mavericks29141548%112.6113.8-1.2
18 Boston Celtics25121348%109.5109.8-0.4
19 New York Knicks30141647%102.1102.0+0.1
20 Atlanta Hawks28131546%112.8112.1+0.6
21 Chicago Bulls28131546%114.2114.3-0.0
22 Charlotte Hornets30131743%111.1111.6-0.5
23 Indiana Pacers28121643%111.6111.6-0.0
24 Miami Heat26111542%106.7110.1-3.3
25 Oklahoma City Thunder26111542%107.8113.9-6.1
26 Cleveland Cavaliers30121840%103.1110.7-7.6
27 Orlando Magic29111838%106.1112.7-6.6
28 Detroit Pistons2882029%106.8110.4-3.6
29 Washington Wizards2571828%112.2118.8-6.7
30 Minnesota Timberwolves2872125%108.2116.0-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns32273927125
Milwaukee Bucks32393023124
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