PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 119-123
25-25 33-28 33-30 28-40
Position#3
Record26-16
FormWWWLW
Points / game113.1
Allowed / game108.2
vs
Position#25
Record10-33
FormLWLWL
Points / game109.6
Allowed / game117.4
USANBA· Phoenix Suns Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves
05 Mar 2027
PHX v MIN
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
PHX v MIN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
PHX114
MIN113
02 Mar 2025
PHX98
MIN116
29 Jan 2025
PHX113
MIN121
28 Apr 2024
PHX116
MIN122
26 Apr 2024
PHX109
MIN126
05 Apr 2024
PHX97
MIN87
15 Nov 2023
PHX133
MIN115
29 Mar 2023
PHX107
MIN100
01 Nov 2022
PHX116
MIN107
28 Jan 2022
PHX134
MIN124
19 Mar 2021
PHX113
MIN101
18 Mar 2021
PHX119
MIN123
18 Mar 2020
PHX v MIN
upcoming
09 Dec 2019
PHX125
MIN109
08 Oct 2019
PHX111
MIN106
22 Jan 2019
PHX91
MIN118
15 Dec 2018
PHX107
MIN99
23 Dec 2017
PHX106
MIN115
11 Nov 2017
PHX118
MIN110
24 Jan 2017
PHX111
MIN112
25 Nov 2016
PHX85
MIN98
14 Mar 2016
PHX107
MIN104
13 Dec 2015
PHX108
MIN101
11 Mar 2015
PHX106
MIN97
16 Jan 2015
PHX110
MIN99
16 Jul 2014
PHX77
MIN86
25 Feb 2014
PHX101
MIN110
15 Jul 2013
PHX91
MIN89
22 Mar 2013
PHX86
MIN117
26 Feb 2013
PHX84
MIN83
12 Mar 2012
PHX124
MIN127
01 Mar 2012
PHX104
MIN95
11 Apr 2011
PHX135
MIN127
15 Dec 2010
PHX128
MIN122
16 Mar 2010
PHX152
MIN114
01 Nov 2009
PHX120
MIN112
16 Jan 2009
PHX103
MIN105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
128-97
128
97
+31
A21/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
132-100
132
100
+32
H23/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
121-124
121
124
-3
H25/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
106-97
106
97
+9
A27/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
118-99
118
99
+19
A01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
114-104
114
104
+10
A03/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
120-98
120
98
+22
H05/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
127-121
127
121
+6
A12/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
111-122
111
122
-11
H14/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
122-99
122
99
+23
H16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
37-19
31-30
32-33
32-26
31-28
37-17
32-29
38-34
29-32
24-31
30-27
26-26
20-32
28-23
32-16
30-26
23-22
33-28
32-23
29-21
31-32
26-30
28-21
34-23
28-28
25-22
33-25
30-33
30-27
30-34
37-27
33-29
24-33
20-35
34-25
24-25
36-27
36-25
26-22
226.0Avg total
119.9Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)113.1108.2221.4+4.962%
Season at home (22)114.9108.1223.0+6.859%
Season away (20)111.2108.4219.6+2.865%
Last 10 (10)119.9106.1226.0+13.880%
Last 5 (5)118.8108.8227.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)117.6109.6227.2+8.069%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)113.4108.6222.0+4.865%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#11
L
99-103
99
103
-4
A22/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
112-139
112
139
-27
A24/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
126-133 OT
126
133
-7
A25/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
112-128
112
128
-16
A28/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
99-118
99
118
-19
H01/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
102-135
102
135
-33
H04/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
135-105
135
105
+30
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
121-125
121
125
-4
H14/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
114-112
114
112
+2
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
121-137
121
137
-16
A17/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
32-31
21-26
28-16
36-38
26-41
27-34
23-26
34-32
24-36
32-28
29-23
29-27
23-27
29-44
31-30
26-30
22-23
28-33
23-32
33-36
23-26
20-36
26-37
27-34
40-26
38-22
30-23
24-33
33-33
37-27
27-32
24-20
23-29
29-23
38-40
30-31
40-40
24-31
27-35
237.6Avg total
114.1Scored
123.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)109.6117.4227.0-7.823%
Season at home (21)106.7114.4221.1-7.724%
Season away (22)112.4120.3232.7-7.923%
Last 10 (10)114.1123.5237.6-9.420%
Last 5 (5)118.6122.8241.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)110.7118.3229.0-7.619%
vs Similar (7)105.6113.6219.1-8.014%
vs Weaker (2)112.0111.5223.5+0.550%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +6.8+6.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
Phoenix SunsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
65-34
65
34
+31
A21/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H23/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H25/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A27/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A03/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H05/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A12/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H14/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H16/03
NBA
113.1Avg total
59.3Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.753.4110.1+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.053.5112.5+5.575%-
Last 30 away (14)54.053.4107.4+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)59.353.8113.1+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)59.855.6115.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)58.852.8111.7+6.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)55.053.9108.9+1.159%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#11
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A22/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A24/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A25/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A28/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H01/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H04/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H14/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A17/03
NBA
119.0Avg total
56.7Scored
62.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.859.6114.4-4.820%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.155.6108.7-2.629%-
Last 30 away (16)56.363.1119.4-6.812%-
Last 10 (10)56.762.3119.0-5.610%-
Last 5 (5)59.461.6121.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)54.760.6115.3-5.919%-
vs Similar (7)54.654.0108.6+0.629%-
vs Weaker (2)56.569.0125.5-12.50%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 119.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.932.2
56.6%
52.8%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.013.2
42.6%
36.6%39.6
🏀 Free throws18.915.9
84.1%
77.7%15.9
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.628.7
53.5%
52.8%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.612.8
34.0%
36.6%38.4
🏀 Free throws23.018.3
79.6%
77.7%18.3
They take 91.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WLWWWWWLWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLWLLLLLL
#3
League position
#25
+13.7
Net rating
-8.8
119.3
Offensive rating
107.2
105.6
Defensive rating
116.0
59.2%
Effective FG%
52.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
12.4%
Turnover %
14.2%
18.5%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
42.6%
3-point %
34.0%
65.4%
Assist %
62.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence119.3 · 107.2Defence105.6 · 116.0Shooting59.2% · 52.5%3-point %42.6% · 34.0%Ball care12.4% · 14.2%Off. rebounds18.5% · 21.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/21HMemphis Grizzlies122-99
14/03/21HIndiana Pacers111-122
12/03/21APortland Trail Blazers127-121
05/03/21HGolden State Warriors120-98
03/03/21ALos Angeles Lakers114-104
01/03/21AMinnesota Timberwolves118-99
27/02/21AChicago Bulls106-97
25/02/21HCharlotte Hornets121-124
23/02/21HPortland Trail Blazers132-100
21/02/21AMemphis Grizzlies128-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/21ALos Angeles Lakers121-137
15/03/21HPortland Trail Blazers114-112
14/03/21HPortland Trail Blazers121-125
12/03/21ANew Orleans Pelicans135-105
04/03/21HCharlotte Hornets102-135
01/03/21HPhoenix Suns99-118
28/02/21AWashington Wizards112-128
25/02/21AChicago Bulls126-133 OT
24/02/21AMilwaukee Bucks112-139
22/02/21ANew York Knicks99-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWLWLW59%
AwayWWWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422220
Win %62%59%65%
Points / game113.1114.9111.2
Allowed / game108.2108.1108.4
Point differential+4.9+6.8+2.8
Avg total221.4223.0219.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%32%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)22% (9)40% (5)
Overtime %7%9%5%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL23%
HomeLLLLW24%
AwayLLLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %23%24%23%
Points / game109.6106.7112.4
Allowed / game117.4114.4120.3
Point differential-7.8-7.7-7.9
Avg total227.0221.1232.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%10%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)29% (7)44% (9)
Overtime %9%10%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz43321174%116.9108.2+8.7
2 Los Angeles Lakers44311370%112.2105.9+6.3
3 Brooklyn Nets43301370%120.3114.7+5.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers43301370%114.9109.7+5.2
5 Phoenix Suns42261662%113.1108.2+4.9
6 Denver Nuggets43261760%116.0109.4+6.5
7 Milwaukee Bucks43261760%118.7113.1+5.6
8 Los Angeles Clippers45261958%113.3109.9+3.4
9 Portland Trail Blazers43241956%114.3116.0-1.7
10 Dallas Mavericks42231955%112.2111.5+0.7
11 Miami Heat43232053%106.2106.9-0.7
12 San Antonio Spurs40211952%109.6110.9-1.2
13 Golden State Warriors44232152%112.9113.0-0.1
14 New York Knicks46242252%104.4103.5+0.9
15 Memphis Grizzlies41212051%111.8110.4+1.4
16 Atlanta Hawks45232251%112.9111.4+1.5
17 Chicago Bulls43212249%113.5113.3+0.3
18 Charlotte Hornets43212249%112.5113.3-0.7
19 Boston Celtics42202248%111.2111.2-0.0
20 New Orleans Pelicans42192345%116.1115.1+1.0
21 Toronto Raptors43192444%112.2111.9+0.3
22 Sacramento Kings44182641%114.5119.5-5.0
23 Oklahoma City Thunder44182641%106.2112.2-5.9
24 Indiana Pacers42172540%112.1112.8-0.7
25 Cleveland Cavaliers44172739%103.2111.4-8.2
26 Washington Wizards43162737%114.1119.0-5.0
27 Orlando Magic44152934%105.2111.8-6.5
28 Houston Rockets43142933%107.6112.7-5.2
29 Detroit Pistons44133130%106.2109.5-3.3
30 Minnesota Timberwolves43103323%109.6117.4-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns25333328119
Minnesota Timberwolves25283040123
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.