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Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 107-100
25-24 23-27 33-23 26-26
Position#9
Record40-35
FormLLLWW
Points / game113.7
Allowed / game111.9
vs
Position#17
Record39-37
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.9
Allowed / game116.0
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves
05 Mar 2027
PHX v MIN
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
PHX v MIN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
PHX114
MIN113
02 Mar 2025
PHX98
MIN116
29 Jan 2025
PHX113
MIN121
28 Apr 2024
PHX116
MIN122
26 Apr 2024
PHX109
MIN126
05 Apr 2024
PHX97
MIN87
15 Nov 2023
PHX133
MIN115
29 Mar 2023
PHX107
MIN100
01 Nov 2022
PHX116
MIN107
28 Jan 2022
PHX134
MIN124
19 Mar 2021
PHX113
MIN101
18 Mar 2021
PHX119
MIN123
18 Mar 2020
PHX v MIN
upcoming
09 Dec 2019
PHX125
MIN109
22 Jan 2019
PHX91
MIN118
15 Dec 2018
PHX107
MIN99
23 Dec 2017
PHX106
MIN115
11 Nov 2017
PHX118
MIN110
24 Jan 2017
PHX111
MIN112
25 Nov 2016
PHX85
MIN98
14 Mar 2016
PHX107
MIN104
13 Dec 2015
PHX108
MIN101
11 Mar 2015
PHX106
MIN97
16 Jan 2015
PHX110
MIN99
25 Feb 2014
PHX101
MIN110
22 Mar 2013
PHX86
MIN117
26 Feb 2013
PHX84
MIN83
12 Mar 2012
PHX124
MIN127
01 Mar 2012
PHX104
MIN95
11 Apr 2011
PHX135
MIN127
15 Dec 2010
PHX128
MIN122
16 Mar 2010
PHX152
MIN114
01 Nov 2009
PHX120
MIN112
16 Jan 2009
PHX103
MIN105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
132-101
132
101
+31
134avg 106
H09/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
119-128
119
128
-9
114avg 106
H12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
112-123
112
123
-11
102avg 106
A14/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
104-116
104
116
-12
90avg 106
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
116-113
116
113
+3
106avg 106
H17/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
120-124
120
124
-4
112avg 106
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
111-122
111
122
-11
98avg 106
A23/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
127-135
127
135
-8
126avg 106
A25/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
125-105
125
105
+20
124avg 106
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
117-103
117
103
+14
109avg 106
A28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
26-31
44-28
28-21
32-31
27-36
36-29
24-32
21-43
37-32
30-23
24-25
24-29
24-28
36-28
20-31
30-31
33-27
31-27
22-28
31-25
38-32
27-33
24-34
26-23
26-36
33-29
26-34
30-24
37-32
26-45
34-34
26-24
32-29
31-30
36-22
37-26
20-26
27-29
33-22
235.3Avg total
118.3Scored
117.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)113.7111.9225.6+1.953%
Season at home (36)114.5109.9224.5+4.667%
Season away (39)113.0113.6226.6-0.641%
Last 10 (10)118.3117.0235.3+1.340%
Last 5 (5)120.0117.8237.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)106.094.0200.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (22)115.2114.5229.7+0.850%
vs Weaker (7)117.4104.3221.7+13.1100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
94-117
94
117
-23
75avg 108
H08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
123-124 OT
123
124
-1
113avg 108
H11/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
136-115
136
115
+21
136avg 108
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
102-104
102
104
-2
98avg 108
H16/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
131-139 OT
131
139
-8
124avg 108
A18/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
107-122
107
122
-15
101avg 108
A18/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
140-134
140
134
+6
140avg 108
A20/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
125-124
125
124
+1
116avg 108
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
99-96
99
96
+3
94avg 108
A27/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
119-115
119
115
+4
115avg 108
A28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
18-34
23-29
26-30
33-26
35-34
20-37
26-17
40-29
36-23
30-33
30-30
23-23
20-21
28-33
31-27
32-28
27-26
31-26
23-33
26-32
32-34
27-28
22-28
42-32
37-38
30-38
31-26
39-40
28-22
27-35
31-27
29-29
24-26
24-18
22-23
34-25
23-33
29-27
33-30
236.6Avg total
117.6Scored
119.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)115.9116.0231.9-0.251%
Season at home (38)116.4115.2231.6+1.255%
Season away (38)115.3116.9232.2-1.547%
Last 10 (10)117.6119.0236.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)118.0118.2236.2-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)114.0116.0230.0-2.033%
vs Similar ◀ (24)118.0117.1235.0+0.962%
vs Weaker (3)113.3114.7228.0-1.333%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
Phoenix SunsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H09/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A14/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H17/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A23/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A25/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A28/03
NBA
117.7Avg total
59.1Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.654.6112.2+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.954.9112.8+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)57.354.3111.5+3.060%-
Last 10 (10)59.158.6117.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)60.655.4116.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.044.0101.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)57.356.7114.0+0.650%-
vs Weaker (7)58.649.6108.1+9.0100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H11/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
76-52
76
52
+24
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H16/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A18/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A18/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A20/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A27/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A28/03
NBA
118.4Avg total
60.5Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.859.4119.2+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.358.3116.6+0.043%-
Last 30 away (16)61.160.4121.4+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)60.557.9118.4+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)62.862.2125.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.355.3106.7-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)61.259.8121.0+1.454%-
vs Weaker (3)56.760.0116.7-3.30%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 118.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.832.7
54.7%
54.5%65.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.0
36.4%
35.8%36.0
🏀 Free throws20.716.9
81.6%
78.1%16.9
They take 92.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 117.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.731.4
54.4%
54.5%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.8
38.2%
35.8%35.4
🏀 Free throws27.419.4
70.8%
78.1%19.4
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WWLLLWLLLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLLLWLL
#9
League position
#17
+1.3
Net rating
-1.3
115.7
Offensive rating
113.3
114.5
Defensive rating
114.6
54.6%
Effective FG%
55.4%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
12.0%
Turnover %
12.1%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
20.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.4%
3-point %
38.2%
64.4%
Assist %
67.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 113.3Defence114.5 · 114.6Shooting54.6% · 55.4%3-point %36.4% · 38.2%Ball care12.0% · 12.1%Off. rebounds26.5% · 20.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/23AUtah Jazz117-103
26/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers125-105
25/03/23ASacramento Kings127-135
23/03/23ALos Angeles Lakers111-122
19/03/23AOklahoma City Thunder120-124
17/03/23HOrlando Magic116-113
15/03/23HMilwaukee Bucks104-116
14/03/23AGolden State Warriors112-123
12/03/23HSacramento Kings119-128
09/03/23HOklahoma City Thunder132-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/23ASacramento Kings119-115
27/03/23AGolden State Warriors99-96
23/03/23HAtlanta Hawks125-124
20/03/23ANew York Knicks140-134
18/03/23AToronto Raptors107-122
18/03/23AChicago Bulls131-139 OT
16/03/23HBoston Celtics102-104
13/03/23AAtlanta Hawks136-115
11/03/23HBrooklyn Nets123-124 OT
08/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers94-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW53%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLLLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753639
Win %53%67%41%
Points / game113.7114.5113.0
Allowed / game111.9109.9113.6
Point differential+1.9+4.6-0.6
Avg total225.6224.5226.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%36%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (23)64% (11)25% (12)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW51%
HomeLLLLW55%
AwayLLWWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %51%55%47%
Points / game115.9116.4115.3
Allowed / game116.0115.2116.9
Point differential-0.2+1.2-1.5
Avg total231.9231.6232.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%21%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (22)56% (9)54% (13)
Overtime %7%11%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks76552172%117.2112.8+4.5
2 Boston Celtics76522468%118.0112.0+6.0
3 Denver Nuggets75512468%116.8112.7+4.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers76502666%115.2110.5+4.6
5 Memphis Grizzlies76482863%116.9112.7+4.2
6 Cleveland Cavaliers77482962%112.3106.7+5.6
7 Sacramento Kings75453060%121.0118.5+2.4
8 New York Knicks77443357%115.4112.5+2.9
9 Brooklyn Nets76413554%113.5112.8+0.7
10 Phoenix Suns75403553%113.7111.9+1.9
11 Los Angeles Clippers77413653%113.3112.8+0.5
12 Golden State Warriors77403752%118.2117.6+0.6
13 Miami Heat77403752%108.7109.8-1.1
14 Minnesota Timberwolves76393751%115.9116.0-0.2
15 New Orleans Pelicans76383850%114.3112.5+1.8
16 Toronto Raptors76383850%112.9111.6+1.2
17 Atlanta Hawks76383850%118.0117.8+0.2
18 Los Angeles Lakers76383850%116.4116.6-0.1
19 Oklahoma City Thunder77383949%117.5116.4+1.1
20 Dallas Mavericks77374048%113.8113.3+0.5
21 Chicago Bulls76364047%113.3112.5+0.8
22 Utah Jazz76364047%117.2117.8-0.6
23 Washington Wizards76344245%113.1113.8-0.7
24 Indiana Pacers77334443%115.9119.1-3.2
25 Portland Trail Blazers75324343%113.8116.3-2.5
26 Orlando Magic76324442%111.7114.2-2.4
27 Charlotte Hornets77265134%111.5117.3-5.8
28 San Antonio Spurs76195725%112.1122.6-10.5
29 Houston Rockets77185923%110.4118.9-8.5
30 Detroit Pistons76166021%110.7118.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns25233326107
Minnesota Timberwolves24272326100
← all games of the day
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