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Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 133-115
35-29 41-25 34-28 23-33
Position#9
Record4-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game112.1
Phoenix Suns 🏆
USA
vs
Minnesota Timberwolves
USA
Position#4
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game111.9
Allowed / game102.9
USANBA· Footprint Center (Phoenix)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves
05 Mar 2027
PHX v MIN
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
PHX v MIN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
PHX114
MIN113
02 Mar 2025
PHX98
MIN116
29 Jan 2025
PHX113
MIN121
28 Apr 2024
PHX116
MIN122
26 Apr 2024
PHX109
MIN126
05 Apr 2024
PHX97
MIN87
15 Nov 2023
PHX133
MIN115
29 Mar 2023
PHX107
MIN100
01 Nov 2022
PHX116
MIN107
28 Jan 2022
PHX134
MIN124
19 Mar 2021
PHX113
MIN101
18 Mar 2021
PHX119
MIN123
18 Mar 2020
PHX v MIN
upcoming
09 Dec 2019
PHX125
MIN109
22 Jan 2019
PHX91
MIN118
15 Dec 2018
PHX107
MIN99
23 Dec 2017
PHX106
MIN115
11 Nov 2017
PHX118
MIN110
24 Jan 2017
PHX111
MIN112
25 Nov 2016
PHX85
MIN98
14 Mar 2016
PHX107
MIN104
13 Dec 2015
PHX108
MIN101
11 Mar 2015
PHX106
MIN97
16 Jan 2015
PHX110
MIN99
25 Feb 2014
PHX101
MIN110
22 Mar 2013
PHX86
MIN117
26 Feb 2013
PHX84
MIN83
12 Mar 2012
PHX124
MIN127
01 Mar 2012
PHX104
MIN95
11 Apr 2011
PHX135
MIN127
15 Dec 2010
PHX128
MIN122
16 Mar 2010
PHX152
MIN114
01 Nov 2009
PHX120
MIN112
16 Jan 2009
PHX103
MIN105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
108-104
108
104
+4
103avg 107
A25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
95-100
95
100
-5
86avg 107
A27/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
126-104
126
104
+22
125avg 107
H29/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
114-115
114
115
-1
113avg 107
H01/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
121-132
121
132
-11
115avg 107
H03/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
100-112
100
112
-12
84avg 107
A04/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
120-106
120
106
+14
118avg 107
A05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
116-115 OT
116
115
+1
116avg 107
A09/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
119-122
119
122
-3
109avg 107
H11/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
99-111
99
111
-12
91avg 107
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
33-18
19-40
28-18
30-18
22-30
32-24
11-28
37-27
29-23
40-28
20-26
27-18
36-27
32-37
19-33
20-39
35-36
34-28
32-29
24-25
21-27
30-28
25-32
28-27
30-22
34-31
28-26
36-28
21-29
31-27
19-23
34-25
29-30
33-34
23-33
29-29
30-25
27-26
13-31
223.9Avg total
111.8Scored
112.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)111.8112.1223.9-0.340%
Season at home (5)115.8116.8232.6-1.020%
Season away (5)107.8107.4215.2+0.460%
Last 10 (10)111.8112.1223.9-0.340%
Last 5 (5)110.8113.2224.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.0111.0210.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (24)113.0112.8225.8+0.158%
vs Weaker (5)119.2110.2229.4+9.060%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
94-97
94
97
-3
81avg 108
A25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
106-90
106
90
+16
107avg 108
H29/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
113-127
113
127
-14
101avg 108
A30/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
110-89
110
89
+21
104avg 108
H02/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
123-95
123
95
+28
120avg 108
H05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
114-109 OT
114
109
+5
108avg 108
H07/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
122-101
122
101
+21
125avg 108
H09/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
117-110
117
110
+7
112avg 108
A11/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
116-110
116
110
+6
115avg 108
A13/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
104-101
104
101
+3
98avg 108
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
26-28
23-20
20-24
26-31
29-22
25-20
26-17
42-35
37-25
19-38
15-29
28-21
35-23
26-28
21-17
29-27
26-23
37-27
31-18
29-26
23-29
27-19
22-27
28-24
44-20
25-24
25-33
22-27
34-27
34-19
27-37
29-31
25-20
35-22
27-37
22-30
32-29
22-24
28-18
214.8Avg total
111.9Scored
102.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)111.9102.9214.8+9.080%
Season at home (5)115.096.8211.8+18.2100%
Season away (5)108.8109.0217.8-0.260%
Last 10 (10)111.9102.9214.8+9.080%
Last 5 (5)114.6106.2220.8+8.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.1112.0218.1-5.929%
vs Similar ◀ (17)113.6110.6224.2+2.965%
vs Weaker (6)117.3108.3225.7+9.067%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
Phoenix SunsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A27/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H29/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H01/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
55-75
55
75
-20
H03/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A04/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A09/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H11/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H13/11
NBA
111.0Avg total
57.9Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.054.6111.6+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.156.4115.5+2.765%-
Last 30 away (13)54.252.2106.4+2.169%-
Last 10 (10)57.953.1111.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)56.453.4109.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.054.0113.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)55.854.7110.5+1.162%-
vs Weaker (5)62.254.0116.2+8.280%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H29/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A30/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H02/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H07/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
72-44
72
44
+28
H09/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A11/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A13/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A15/11
NBA
111.4Avg total
59.1Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.454.8112.2+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.052.2109.2+4.862%-
Last 30 away (17)57.856.8114.6+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)59.152.3111.4+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)57.652.6110.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)48.354.1102.4-5.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)59.454.5113.9+4.865%-
vs Weaker (6)62.756.3119.0+6.383%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.426.9
51.3%
54.4%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.212.4
36.3%
36.3%37.2
🏀 Free throws25.420.8
81.9%
78.2%20.8
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 111.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.230.2
54.7%
54.4%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.4
37.4%
36.3%34.2
🏀 Free throws23.017.3
75.2%
78.2%17.3
They take 85.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLWWLLLWLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWWWWLWL
#9
League position
#4
-0.3
Net rating
+8.8
109.4
Offensive rating
109.2
109.7
Defensive rating
100.4
52.5%
Effective FG%
55.2%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
14.9%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.3%
3-point %
37.4%
63.6%
Assist %
59.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 109.2Defence109.7 · 100.4Shooting52.5% · 55.2%3-point %36.3% · 37.4%Ball care15.9% · 14.9%Off. rebounds28.2% · 23.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Phoenix Suns wins
2
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
DateGameScore
30/03/23Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves107-100
14/01/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns121-116
10/11/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns117-129
02/11/22Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves116-107
24/03/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns116-125
29/01/22Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves134-124
16/11/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns96-99
20/03/21Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves113-101
19/03/21Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves119-123
01/03/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns99-118
Phoenix Sunslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/23HOklahoma City Thunder99-111
11/11/23HLos Angeles Lakers119-122
09/11/23AChicago Bulls116-115 OT
05/11/23ADetroit Pistons120-106
04/11/23APhiladelphia 76ers100-112
03/11/23HSan Antonio Spurs121-132
01/11/23HSan Antonio Spurs114-115
29/10/23HUtah Jazz126-104
27/10/23ALos Angeles Lakers95-100
25/10/23AGolden State Warriors108-104
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23AGolden State Warriors104-101
13/11/23AGolden State Warriors116-110
11/11/23ASan Antonio Spurs117-110
09/11/23HNew Orleans Pelicans122-101
07/11/23HBoston Celtics114-109 OT
05/11/23HUtah Jazz123-95
02/11/23HDenver Nuggets110-89
30/10/23AAtlanta Hawks113-127
29/10/23HMiami Heat106-90
25/10/23AToronto Raptors94-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%20%60%
Points / game111.8115.8107.8
Allowed / game112.1116.8107.4
Point differential-0.3-1.0+0.4
Avg total223.9232.6215.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game111.9115.0108.8
Allowed / game102.996.8109.0
Point differential+9.0+18.2-0.2
Avg total214.8211.8217.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics119282%119.4106.0+13.4
2 Denver Nuggets119282%114.5106.3+8.2
3 Minnesota Timberwolves108280%111.9102.9+9.0
4 Dallas Mavericks129375%123.4118.7+4.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers118373%119.9112.2+7.7
6 Houston Rockets96367%111.0105.8+5.2
7 Oklahoma City Thunder117464%116.5111.6+4.9
8 Indiana Pacers117464%126.5123.4+3.2
9 Miami Heat117464%109.6109.8-0.2
10 Milwaukee Bucks117464%117.0117.7-0.7
11 Sacramento Kings95456%113.4114.4-1.0
12 New York Knicks116555%109.1105.2+3.9
13 Atlanta Hawks116555%120.3117.2+3.1
14 Brooklyn Nets116555%114.2112.5+1.7
15 Orlando Magic116555%108.3106.6+1.6
16 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.1115.1-2.0
17 Golden State Warriors126650%112.9110.8+2.2
18 Toronto Raptors115645%108.5110.9-2.4
19 New Orleans Pelicans115645%111.1115.6-4.5
20 Phoenix Suns104640%111.8112.1-0.3
21 Cleveland Cavaliers104640%110.7113.9-3.2
22 Utah Jazz114736%114.0119.5-5.5
23 Chicago Bulls124833%108.5112.2-3.8
24 Los Angeles Clippers103730%113.2111.7+1.5
25 Portland Trail Blazers103730%105.7112.0-6.3
26 Charlotte Hornets103730%115.0121.9-6.9
27 San Antonio Spurs113827%110.6124.1-13.5
28 Memphis Grizzlies112918%108.5115.9-7.5
29 Washington Wizards112918%115.5123.2-7.7
30 Detroit Pistons1221017%110.6115.2-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns35413423133
Minnesota Timberwolves29252833115
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