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Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 19 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 02:00
Postponed
Position#14
Record26-39
FormLLWWL
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game113.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#28
Record19-45
FormWWLLL
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game117.5
USANBA· Talking Stick Resort Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves
05 Mar 2027
PHX v MIN
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
PHX v MIN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
PHX114
MIN113
02 Mar 2025
PHX98
MIN116
29 Jan 2025
PHX113
MIN121
28 Apr 2024
PHX116
MIN122
26 Apr 2024
PHX109
MIN126
05 Apr 2024
PHX97
MIN87
15 Nov 2023
PHX133
MIN115
29 Mar 2023
PHX107
MIN100
01 Nov 2022
PHX116
MIN107
28 Jan 2022
PHX134
MIN124
19 Mar 2021
PHX113
MIN101
18 Mar 2021
PHX119
MIN123
18 Mar 2020
PHX v MIN
upcoming
09 Dec 2019
PHX125
MIN109
22 Jan 2019
PHX91
MIN118
15 Dec 2018
PHX107
MIN99
23 Dec 2017
PHX106
MIN115
11 Nov 2017
PHX118
MIN110
24 Jan 2017
PHX111
MIN112
25 Nov 2016
PHX85
MIN98
14 Mar 2016
PHX107
MIN104
13 Dec 2015
PHX108
MIN101
11 Mar 2015
PHX106
MIN97
16 Jan 2015
PHX110
MIN99
25 Feb 2014
PHX101
MIN110
22 Mar 2013
PHX86
MIN117
26 Feb 2013
PHX84
MIN83
12 Mar 2012
PHX124
MIN127
01 Mar 2012
PHX104
MIN95
11 Apr 2011
PHX135
MIN127
15 Dec 2010
PHX128
MIN122
16 Mar 2010
PHX152
MIN114
01 Nov 2009
PHX120
MIN112
16 Jan 2009
PHX103
MIN105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
101-118
101
118
-17
88avg 105
A22/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
112-104
112
104
+8
107avg 105
A23/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
131-111
131
111
+20
131avg 105
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
92-102
92
102
-10
88avg 105
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
L
111-113
111
113
-2
115avg 105
H29/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
99-115
99
115
-16
90avg 105
H01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
114-123
114
123
-9
107avg 105
H04/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
127-117
127
117
+10
125avg 105
H07/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
140-131
140
131
+9
142avg 105
H08/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
105-121
105
121
-16
97avg 105
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-31
20-36
35-26
23-25
22-24
25-33
36-23
29-24
27-35
35-27
37-26
32-23
29-21
20-33
17-22
26-26
24-29
29-23
26-32
32-29
41-28
24-33
16-31
18-23
39-30
29-31
18-26
28-36
34-22
33-36
28-24
32-35
47-28
30-31
25-32
38-40
28-36
25-18
25-28
27-39
228.7Avg total
113.2Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)112.6113.9226.5-1.440%
Season at home (35)113.7113.6227.2+0.137%
Season away (30)111.3114.3225.6-3.143%
Last 10 (10)113.2115.5228.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)117.0121.4238.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)111.1121.0232.1-9.929%
vs Similar (18)111.0111.0222.0+0.039%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)108.4106.8215.2+1.660%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
116-128
116
128
-12
103avg 102
A23/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
123-139
123
139
-16
102avg 102
A25/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
129-126
129
126
+3
117avg 102
A27/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
125-136
125
136
-11
109avg 102
A29/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
91-111
91
111
-20
74avg 102
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
139-134
139
134
+5
134avg 102
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
115-108
115
108
+7
111avg 102
H05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
118-132
118
132
-14
105avg 102
H07/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
107-120
107
120
-13
89avg 102
H08/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
111-117
111
117
-6
102avg 102
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-43
27-30
22-24
29-31
27-41
38-40
31-29
27-29
29-28
28-32
38-34
34-32
35-35
30-34
31-34
29-33
24-28
20-35
21-18
26-30
28-31
44-37
37-43
30-23
22-29
33-29
33-21
27-29
24-29
31-36
28-37
35-30
29-36
34-35
21-27
23-22
35-26
21-26
24-31
31-34
242.5Avg total
117.4Scored
125.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)113.2117.5230.8-4.330%
Season at home (32)110.7115.3226.0-4.725%
Season away (32)115.8119.8235.6-3.934%
Last 10 (10)117.4125.1242.5-7.730%
Last 5 (5)118.0122.2240.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)113.4121.6234.9-8.212%
vs Similar (13)117.4119.9237.3-2.531%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
Phoenix SunsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
43-67
43
67
-24
A22/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A23/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H29/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H04/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H07/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H08/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A11/03
NBA
116.9Avg total
58.4Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.856.2112.0-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.655.4112.9+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)53.757.2110.9-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)58.458.5116.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)66.058.6124.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)57.360.0117.3-2.743%-
vs Similar (18)55.255.7110.9-0.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)55.652.8108.4+2.880%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A23/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A25/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A27/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A29/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H07/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H08/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A11/03
NBA
125.7Avg total
59.7Scored
66.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.360.6119.9-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.958.3117.2+0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)59.763.3123.0-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)59.766.0125.7-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)60.262.8123.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)58.662.0120.6-3.429%-
vs Similar (13)60.258.8119.1+1.446%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.228.2
53.0%
52.3%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.612.2
37.4%
35.7%36.6
🏀 Free throws23.620.2
85.6%
77.2%20.2
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 117.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.728.7
54.5%
52.3%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.614.1
35.6%
35.7%42.3
🏀 Free throws24.617.7
72.0%
77.2%17.7
They take 92.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LWWLLLLWWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLWWLLWLL
#14
League position
#28
-2.3
Net rating
-7.1
111.1
Offensive rating
107.9
113.3
Defensive rating
115.0
54.2%
Effective FG%
54.0%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
15.7%
Turnover %
13.4%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.4%
3-point %
35.6%
71.0%
Assist %
57.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 107.9Defence113.3 · 115.0Shooting54.2% · 54.0%3-point %37.4% · 35.6%Ball care15.7% · 13.4%Off. rebounds24.4% · 19.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/20APortland Trail Blazers105-121
08/03/20HMilwaukee Bucks140-131
07/03/20HPortland Trail Blazers127-117
04/03/20HToronto Raptors114-123
01/03/20HGolden State Warriors99-115
29/02/20HDetroit Pistons111-113
27/02/20HLos Angeles Clippers92-102
25/02/20AUtah Jazz131-111
23/02/20AChicago Bulls112-104
22/02/20AToronto Raptors101-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/20AHouston Rockets111-117
08/03/20HNew Orleans Pelicans107-120
07/03/20HOrlando Magic118-132
05/03/20HChicago Bulls115-108
04/03/20ANew Orleans Pelicans139-134
01/03/20HDallas Mavericks91-111
29/02/20AOrlando Magic125-136
27/02/20AMiami Heat129-126
25/02/20ADallas Mavericks123-139
23/02/20ADenver Nuggets116-128

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLLLWW37%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653530
Win %40%37%43%
Points / game112.6113.7111.3
Allowed / game113.9113.6114.3
Point differential-1.4+0.1-3.1
Avg total226.5227.2225.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won39% (18)20% (10)62% (8)
Overtime %5%3%7%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL30%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLWLWL34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643232
Win %30%25%34%
Points / game113.2110.7115.8
Allowed / game117.5115.3119.8
Point differential-4.3-4.7-3.9
Avg total230.8226.0235.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%12%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)0% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %11%12%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks65531282%118.6107.4+11.3
2 Los Angeles Lakers63491478%114.3106.9+7.4
3 Toronto Raptors64461872%113.0106.5+6.5
4 Los Angeles Clippers64442069%116.2109.7+6.5
5 Boston Celtics64432167%113.0106.8+6.2
6 Denver Nuggets65432266%110.4107.4+3.0
7 Utah Jazz64412364%111.0107.9+3.2
8 Miami Heat65412463%112.2108.9+3.2
9 Houston Rockets64402462%118.1114.4+3.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder64402462%110.8108.3+2.5
11 Philadelphia 76ers65392660%109.6107.4+2.2
12 Indiana Pacers65392660%109.3107.4+1.9
13 Dallas Mavericks67402760%116.4110.3+6.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies65323349%112.6113.7-1.1
15 Brooklyn Nets64303447%110.8111.4-0.6
16 Orlando Magic65303546%106.4107.3-1.0
17 Portland Trail Blazers66293744%113.6115.2-1.6
18 New Orleans Pelicans64283644%116.2117.0-0.8
19 Sacramento Kings64283644%109.0110.9-1.9
20 San Antonio Spurs63273643%113.2114.9-1.8
21 Phoenix Suns65263940%112.6113.9-1.4
22 Washington Wizards64244038%115.6119.7-4.0
23 Charlotte Hornets65234235%102.9109.6-6.8
24 Chicago Bulls65224334%106.8109.9-3.1
25 New York Knicks66214532%105.8112.3-6.5
26 Detroit Pistons66204630%107.2110.8-3.6
27 Atlanta Hawks67204730%111.8119.7-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves64194530%113.2117.5-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers65194629%106.9114.8-7.9
30 Golden State Warriors65155023%106.3115.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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