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Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 97-87
32-20 25-21 20-20 20-26
Position#9
Record45-30
FormLWLWW
Points / game117.0
Allowed / game114.0
vs
Position#4
Record53-23
FormWWLWW
Points / game113.1
Allowed / game106.0
USANBA· Footprint Center (Phoenix)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves
05 Mar 2027
PHX v MIN
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
PHX v MIN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
PHX114
MIN113
02 Mar 2025
PHX98
MIN116
29 Jan 2025
PHX113
MIN121
28 Apr 2024
PHX116
MIN122
26 Apr 2024
PHX109
MIN126
05 Apr 2024
PHX97
MIN87
15 Nov 2023
PHX133
MIN115
29 Mar 2023
PHX107
MIN100
01 Nov 2022
PHX116
MIN107
28 Jan 2022
PHX134
MIN124
19 Mar 2021
PHX113
MIN101
18 Mar 2021
PHX119
MIN123
18 Mar 2020
PHX v MIN
upcoming
09 Dec 2019
PHX125
MIN109
22 Jan 2019
PHX91
MIN118
15 Dec 2018
PHX107
MIN99
23 Dec 2017
PHX106
MIN115
11 Nov 2017
PHX118
MIN110
24 Jan 2017
PHX111
MIN112
25 Nov 2016
PHX85
MIN98
14 Mar 2016
PHX107
MIN104
13 Dec 2015
PHX108
MIN101
11 Mar 2015
PHX106
MIN97
16 Jan 2015
PHX110
MIN99
25 Feb 2014
PHX101
MIN110
22 Mar 2013
PHX86
MIN117
26 Feb 2013
PHX84
MIN83
12 Mar 2012
PHX124
MIN127
01 Mar 2012
PHX104
MIN95
11 Apr 2011
PHX135
MIN127
15 Dec 2010
PHX128
MIN122
16 Mar 2010
PHX152
MIN114
01 Nov 2009
PHX120
MIN112
16 Jan 2009
PHX103
MIN105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
107-96
107
96
+11
111avg 111
A15/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
129-140
129
140
-11
132avg 111
A17/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
115-102
115
102
+13
120avg 111
H21/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
128-115
128
115
+13
130avg 111
H22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
131-106
131
106
+25
133avg 111
A24/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
102-104
102
104
-2
101avg 111
A26/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
104-97
104
97
+7
107avg 111
A28/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
103-128
103
128
-25
94avg 111
A30/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
124-111
124
111
+13
123avg 111
A02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
122-101
122
101
+21
122avg 111
H04/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
26-19
38-22
15-29
36-39
24-43
34-27
35-31
21-23
39-24
30-19
25-36
30-37
35-23
31-33
32-22
26-17
39-30
38-24
28-35
22-29
28-18
24-28
28-29
29-29
30-23
24-21
21-24
32-34
27-36
21-31
23-27
46-28
28-26
29-36
21-21
34-20
38-27
26-30
24-24
226.5Avg total
116.5Scored
110.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)117.0114.0231.0+3.160%
Season at home (38)117.2113.7230.9+3.563%
Season away (37)116.8114.3231.1+2.657%
Last 10 (10)116.5110.0226.5+6.570%
Last 5 (5)111.0108.2219.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)108.0122.5230.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)116.7111.9228.6+4.869%
vs Weaker (10)122.9111.0233.9+11.980%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#23
W
119-100
119
100
+19
114avg 108
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
114-104
114
104
+10
104avg 108
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
112-115
112
115
-3
100avg 108
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
104-91
104
91
+13
100avg 108
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
114-110
114
110
+4
112avg 108
H24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
106-91
106
91
+15
103avg 108
H28/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
111-98
111
98
+13
109avg 108
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
101-109
101
109
-8
95avg 108
H31/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
113-106
113
106
+7
114avg 108
H03/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
133-85
133
85
+48
134avg 108
H04/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
29-29
34-24
37-28
25-37
28-22
30-24
31-21
28-35
27-35
29-17
28-28
25-20
21-29
26-17
32-25
18-27
28-27
32-27
36-29
30-25
17-20
31-21
28-25
33-26
29-17
25-21
24-34
22-33
32-31
25-20
22-25
16-23
38-22
27-27
32-34
23-19
35-23
33-18
42-25
213.6Avg total
112.7Scored
100.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)113.1106.0219.1+7.270%
Season at home (38)111.7102.7214.4+9.174%
Season away (38)114.5109.3223.8+5.366%
Last 10 (10)112.7100.9213.6+11.880%
Last 5 (5)112.897.8210.6+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)112.2103.0215.2+9.267%
vs Weaker (18)113.9103.8217.7+10.172%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +3.8+3.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +3.8+3.8
Phoenix SunsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A15/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
60-82
60
82
-22
A17/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H21/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
65-47
65
47
+18
A24/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A26/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A28/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A30/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
72-47
72
47
+25
H04/04
NBA
116.9Avg total
61.8Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.857.3119.1+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (13)61.856.0117.8+5.862%-
Last 30 away (17)61.858.4120.1+3.459%-
Last 10 (10)61.855.1116.9+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)62.854.0116.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)55.265.8121.0-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)61.257.1118.3+4.256%-
vs Weaker (10)65.254.4119.6+10.890%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#23
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
55-70
55
70
-15
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H28/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H31/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H03/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H04/04
NBA
104.2Avg total
52.3Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.651.7106.3+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.150.8102.9+1.353%-
Last 30 away (13)57.852.8110.6+4.954%-
Last 10 (10)52.351.9104.2+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)55.047.8102.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)54.452.8107.2+1.658%-
vs Weaker (18)54.750.9105.6+3.750%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 116.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.228.8
57.4%
54.4%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.715.2
42.6%
36.3%45.6
🏀 Free throws16.213.3
82.1%
78.2%13.3
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.727.5
55.3%
54.4%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.414.4
40.7%
36.3%43.2
🏀 Free throws20.214.5
71.8%
78.2%14.5
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WWLWLWWWLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLWWWWLWW
#9
League position
#4
+6.6
Net rating
+12.2
119.1
Offensive rating
116.5
112.5
Defensive rating
104.3
60.1%
Effective FG%
57.7%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
14.5%
Turnover %
11.2%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.24
42.6%
3-point %
40.7%
70.7%
Assist %
69.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence119.1 · 116.5Defence112.5 · 104.3Shooting60.1% · 57.7%3-point %42.6% · 40.7%Ball care14.5% · 11.2%Off. rebounds25.6% · 20.0%Free throws0.19 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24HCleveland Cavaliers122-101
02/04/24ANew Orleans Pelicans124-111
30/03/24AOklahoma City Thunder103-128
28/03/24ADenver Nuggets104-97
26/03/24ASan Antonio Spurs102-104
24/03/24ASan Antonio Spurs131-106
22/03/24HAtlanta Hawks128-115
21/03/24HPhiladelphia 76ers115-102
17/03/24AMilwaukee Bucks129-140
15/03/24ACharlotte Hornets107-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24HToronto Raptors133-85
03/04/24HHouston Rockets113-106
31/03/24HChicago Bulls101-109
30/03/24ADenver Nuggets111-98
28/03/24HDetroit Pistons106-91
24/03/24HGolden State Warriors114-110
23/03/24HCleveland Cavaliers104-91
20/03/24HDenver Nuggets112-115
19/03/24AUtah Jazz114-104
17/03/24AUtah Jazz119-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWLWWW63%
AwayWLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753837
Win %60%63%57%
Points / game117.0117.2116.8
Allowed / game114.0113.7114.3
Point differential+3.1+3.5+2.6
Avg total231.0230.9231.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%32%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (21)70% (10)45% (11)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWWLWW74%
AwayLWWWW66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %70%74%66%
Points / game113.1111.7114.5
Allowed / game106.0102.7109.3
Point differential+7.2+9.1+5.3
Avg total219.1214.4223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%42%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)46% (13)71% (7)
Overtime %7%5%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics76611580%120.9109.0+11.9
2 Minnesota Timberwolves76532370%113.1106.0+7.2
3 Denver Nuggets77532469%114.3109.6+4.7
4 Oklahoma City Thunder77522568%119.8113.4+6.4
5 Los Angeles Clippers76482863%115.8112.5+3.3
6 Milwaukee Bucks75462961%119.5116.5+3.0
7 Dallas Mavericks77473061%118.2115.7+2.5
8 Phoenix Suns75453060%117.0114.0+3.1
9 Cleveland Cavaliers77463160%112.6109.9+2.7
10 New York Knicks76453159%112.2107.4+4.8
11 New Orleans Pelicans75443159%115.2110.2+5.0
12 Orlando Magic77453258%110.6108.4+2.2
13 Sacramento Kings76443258%116.8115.4+1.4
14 Los Angeles Lakers75423356%117.9118.0-0.2
15 Miami Heat77433456%109.9108.4+1.6
16 Indiana Pacers76423455%122.7120.4+2.4
17 Golden State Warriors77423555%117.8115.5+2.4
18 Philadelphia 76ers77423555%114.2112.0+2.2
19 Houston Rockets77383949%113.9112.9+1.0
20 Chicago Bulls77374048%111.9113.4-1.5
21 Atlanta Hawks77364147%118.8120.0-1.2
22 Brooklyn Nets77304739%111.2113.7-2.5
23 Utah Jazz76294738%116.1120.7-4.5
24 Memphis Grizzlies77275035%106.0112.6-6.6
25 Toronto Raptors77245331%112.4118.6-6.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers77215627%106.9115.5-8.5
27 San Antonio Spurs77195825%112.1119.0-6.9
28 Charlotte Hornets77195825%106.3116.5-10.2
29 Washington Wizards78156319%113.3122.7-9.4
30 Detroit Pistons77136417%110.4119.3-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns3225202097
Minnesota Timberwolves2021202687
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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