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Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 109-126
32-34 21-25 20-36 36-31
Position#9
Record49-34
FormWWWLL
Points / game115.9
Allowed / game113.3
vs
Position#4
Record58-26
FormLWLWW
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game106.2
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves
05 Mar 2027
PHX v MIN
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
PHX v MIN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
PHX114
MIN113
02 Mar 2025
PHX98
MIN116
29 Jan 2025
PHX113
MIN121
28 Apr 2024
PHX116
MIN122
26 Apr 2024
PHX109
MIN126
05 Apr 2024
PHX97
MIN87
15 Nov 2023
PHX133
MIN115
29 Mar 2023
PHX107
MIN100
01 Nov 2022
PHX116
MIN107
28 Jan 2022
PHX134
MIN124
19 Mar 2021
PHX113
MIN101
18 Mar 2021
PHX119
MIN123
18 Mar 2020
PHX v MIN
upcoming
09 Dec 2019
PHX125
MIN109
22 Jan 2019
PHX91
MIN118
15 Dec 2018
PHX107
MIN99
23 Dec 2017
PHX106
MIN115
11 Nov 2017
PHX118
MIN110
24 Jan 2017
PHX111
MIN112
25 Nov 2016
PHX85
MIN98
14 Mar 2016
PHX107
MIN104
13 Dec 2015
PHX108
MIN101
11 Mar 2015
PHX106
MIN97
16 Jan 2015
PHX110
MIN99
25 Feb 2014
PHX101
MIN110
22 Mar 2013
PHX86
MIN117
26 Feb 2013
PHX84
MIN83
12 Mar 2012
PHX124
MIN127
01 Mar 2012
PHX104
MIN95
11 Apr 2011
PHX135
MIN127
15 Dec 2010
PHX128
MIN122
16 Mar 2010
PHX152
MIN114
01 Nov 2009
PHX120
MIN112
16 Jan 2009
PHX103
MIN105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
124-111
124
111
+13
123avg 110
A02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
122-101
122
101
+21
122avg 110
H04/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
97-87
97
87
+10
99avg 110
H06/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
105-113
105
113
-8
99avg 110
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
92-105
92
105
-13
71avg 110
H10/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
124-108
124
108
+16
120avg 110
A11/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
108-107
108
107
+1
108avg 110
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
125-106
125
106
+19
118avg 110
A14/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
95-120
95
120
-25
79avg 110
A20/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
93-105
93
105
-12
85avg 110
A23/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
46-28
28-26
29-36
21-21
34-20
38-27
26-30
24-24
32-20
25-21
20-20
20-26
26-19
24-37
33-34
22-23
10-37
23-29
35-18
24-21
28-27
27-29
37-37
32-15
22-27
23-27
33-31
30-22
44-22
22-31
23-25
36-28
28-27
23-34
21-31
23-28
21-24
30-26
20-28
22-27
214.8Avg total
108.5Scored
106.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (83)115.9113.3229.1+2.659%
Season at home (41)115.8112.8228.7+3.061%
Season away (42)115.9113.7229.6+2.257%
Last 10 (10)108.5106.3214.8+2.260%
Last 5 (5)109.0109.2218.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)108.0122.5230.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)111.6109.7221.2+1.960%
vs Weaker (6)117.3105.7223.0+11.783%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
113-106
113
106
+7
114avg 108
H03/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
133-85
133
85
+48
134avg 108
H04/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
87-97
87
97
-10
78avg 108
A06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
127-117
127
117
+10
122avg 108
A08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
130-121
130
121
+9
125avg 108
H10/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
107-116
107
116
-9
96avg 108
A11/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
109-106
109
106
+3
109avg 108
H13/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
106-125
106
125
-19
102avg 108
H14/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
120-95
120
95
+25
119avg 108
H20/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
105-93
105
93
+12
98avg 108
H23/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
38-22
27-27
32-34
23-19
35-23
33-18
42-25
20-32
21-25
20-20
26-20
33-37
46-27
23-28
25-25
26-44
34-26
39-24
31-27
28-26
24-23
28-34
27-33
25-27
31-20
24-33
29-26
22-44
31-22
25-23
28-36
27-28
34-23
31-21
28-23
24-21
26-30
28-20
27-22
219.8Avg total
113.7Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (84)113.0106.2219.2+6.769%
Season at home (43)112.0103.3215.3+8.774%
Season away (41)114.0109.3223.3+4.763%
Last 10 (10)113.7106.1219.8+7.670%
Last 5 (5)109.4107.0216.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)107.3105.1212.4+2.250%
vs Weaker (18)114.5104.7219.2+9.878%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +7.9+7.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +7.9+7.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
Phoenix SunsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
72-47
72
47
+25
H04/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H06/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
33-66
33
66
-33
H10/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A11/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A14/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A20/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A23/04
NBA
109.2Avg total
55.4Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.356.1114.3+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.254.5112.7+3.662%-
Last 30 away (17)58.457.2115.6+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)55.453.8109.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)53.654.8108.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)55.265.8121.0-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)57.856.3114.1+1.555%-
vs Weaker (6)61.848.8110.7+13.0100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H03/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H04/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H10/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A11/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H13/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H14/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H20/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H23/04
NBA
110.6Avg total
56.4Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.753.6108.3+1.143%-
Last 30 at home (19)53.052.8105.8+0.242%-
Last 30 away (11)57.655.1112.7+2.545%-
Last 10 (10)56.454.2110.6+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)54.452.8107.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)53.254.4107.6-1.242%-
vs Weaker (18)55.753.1108.8+2.644%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.526.0
52.5%
54.4%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.113.0
38.1%
36.3%39.0
🏀 Free throws20.717.5
84.5%
78.2%17.5
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.728.3
55.8%
54.4%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.512.7
37.9%
36.3%38.1
🏀 Free throws23.719.0
80.2%
78.2%19.0
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLWWWLLWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLWLWWLWW
#9
League position
#4
+2.2
Net rating
+7.6
110.6
Offensive rating
114.4
108.3
Defensive rating
106.8
54.4%
Effective FG%
56.2%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
14.8%
Turnover %
14.2%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.1%
3-point %
37.9%
65.1%
Assist %
66.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 114.4Defence108.3 · 106.8Shooting54.4% · 56.2%3-point %38.1% · 37.9%Ball care14.8% · 14.2%Off. rebounds21.4% · 24.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/24AMinnesota Timberwolves93-105
20/04/24AMinnesota Timberwolves95-120
14/04/24AMinnesota Timberwolves125-106
13/04/24ASacramento Kings108-107
11/04/24ALos Angeles Clippers124-108
10/04/24HLos Angeles Clippers92-105
07/04/24HNew Orleans Pelicans105-113
06/04/24HMinnesota Timberwolves97-87
04/04/24HCleveland Cavaliers122-101
02/04/24ANew Orleans Pelicans124-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/24HPhoenix Suns105-93
20/04/24HPhoenix Suns120-95
14/04/24HPhoenix Suns106-125
13/04/24HAtlanta Hawks109-106
11/04/24ADenver Nuggets107-116
10/04/24HWashington Wizards130-121
08/04/24ALos Angeles Lakers127-117
06/04/24APhoenix Suns87-97
04/04/24HToronto Raptors133-85
03/04/24HHouston Rockets113-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeWWWLL61%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games834142
Win %59%61%57%
Points / game115.9115.8115.9
Allowed / game113.3112.8113.7
Point differential+2.6+3.0+2.2
Avg total229.1228.7229.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%32%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (22)70% (10)50% (12)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW69%
HomeWWLWW74%
AwayWWLWL63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844341
Win %69%74%63%
Points / game113.0112.0114.0
Allowed / game106.2103.3109.3
Point differential+6.7+8.7+4.7
Avg total219.2215.3223.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%42%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (21)50% (14)71% (7)
Overtime %6%5%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics83651878%120.4108.9+11.4
2 Denver Nuggets85602571%114.6109.3+5.3
3 Oklahoma City Thunder84592570%119.8112.2+7.6
4 Minnesota Timberwolves84582669%113.0106.2+6.7
5 New York Knicks84523262%112.6107.8+4.8
6 Los Angeles Clippers85523361%115.0111.8+3.1
7 Dallas Mavericks85523361%117.2115.0+2.2
8 Phoenix Suns83493459%115.9113.3+2.6
9 Milwaukee Bucks83493459%118.4116.0+2.3
10 Cleveland Cavaliers85503559%111.9109.7+2.2
11 New Orleans Pelicans84493558%114.5110.1+4.3
12 Philadelphia 76ers86493757%114.3111.4+2.9
13 Indiana Pacers83473657%122.9120.0+2.8
14 Sacramento Kings83473657%116.3114.3+2.0
15 Orlando Magic85483756%110.0107.9+2.1
16 Miami Heat86483856%109.9108.1+1.8
17 Golden State Warriors83463755%117.5115.2+2.3
18 Los Angeles Lakers84463855%117.3117.5-0.2
19 Houston Rockets82414150%114.3113.2+1.1
20 Chicago Bulls84404448%112.2113.7-1.5
21 Atlanta Hawks83364743%118.3120.6-2.3
22 Brooklyn Nets82325039%110.4113.3-2.9
23 Utah Jazz82315138%115.7120.5-4.9
24 Memphis Grizzlies82275533%105.8112.8-7.0
25 Toronto Raptors82255730%112.4118.8-6.4
26 San Antonio Spurs82226027%112.1118.6-6.5
27 Portland Trail Blazers82216126%106.4115.4-9.0
28 Charlotte Hornets82216126%106.6116.8-10.2
29 Washington Wizards82156718%113.7123.0-9.3
30 Detroit Pistons82146817%109.9119.0-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns32212036109
Minnesota Timberwolves34253631126
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