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BC Wolves vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 79-63
21-9 19-18 20-17 19-19
Position#3
Record13-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#7
Record8-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game82.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · BC Wolves v Neptunas
11 May 2025
WOL96
NEP84
07 Dec 2024
WOL102
NEP86
18 May 2024
WOL91
NEP80
13 May 2024
WOL91
NEP84
27 Jan 2024
WOL92
NEP73
15 Feb 2023
WOL79
NEP63
17 Nov 2022
WOL84
NEP90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 80
A15/01
LKL
Trefl Sopot
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
no box
A17/01
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
A22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nes Ziona
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
A25/01
ENBL
Nevezis
#8
W
94-73
94
73
+21
92avg 80
H29/01
LKL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
W
85-75
85
75
+10
no box
H31/01
ENBL
Brno
#14
W
62-56
62
56
+6
no box
A01/02
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 80
H06/02
LKL
Szczecin
#5
W
87-84
87
84
+3
no box
H09/02
ENBL
Siauliai
#9
L
102-107
102
107
-5
100avg 80
A13/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
16-23
32-21
19-18
19-21
21-22
18-20
28-26
14-22
14-21
19-23
25-25
25-25
19-16
19-15
21-34
21-20
22-15
21-22
30-16
24-23
19-24
19-20
23-8
14-11
17-19
15-18
16-8
23-17
16-16
19-19
22-23
17-18
28-31
17-15
25-20
27-20
23-28
27-24
25-35
165.9Avg total
83.8Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.380.7166.0+4.668%
Season at home (9)86.476.9163.3+9.678%
Season away (10)84.384.1168.4+0.260%
Last 10 (10)83.882.1165.9+1.760%
Last 5 (5)83.279.4162.6+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.985.9166.7-5.029%
vs Similar (7)89.784.9174.6+4.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.677.5163.1+8.181%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 72
H12/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 72
H21/12
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
H04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-77
46
77
-31
33avg 72
A08/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
81-73
81
73
+8
84avg 72
A14/01
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 72
H28/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
66-83
66
83
-17
58avg 72
A01/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
76avg 72
A05/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
98-97
98
97
+1
99avg 72
H13/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
15-21
21-19
20-16
16-14
20-14
25-22
19-25
20-24
17-26
14-15
29-20
13-12
13-19
15-25
5-21
19-16
29-23
16-22
17-12
18-21
16-15
21-16
20-24
15-22
21-20
11-27
23-13
22-19
19-20
14-21
11-23
16-18
15-22
31-25
23-26
21-27
27-30
18-25
32-15
158.5Avg total
76.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.582.0160.5-3.542%
Season at home (9)85.282.9168.1+2.356%
Season away (10)72.581.2153.7-8.730%
Last 10 (10)76.781.8158.5-5.140%
Last 5 (5)78.885.8164.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.681.8154.4-9.230%
vs Similar (7)76.482.1158.6-5.743%
vs Weaker (13)90.783.6174.3+7.162%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
BC WolvesNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A15/01
LKL
Trefl Sopot
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/01
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nes Ziona
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/01
ENBL
Nevezis
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H29/01
LKL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H31/01
ENBL
Brno
#14
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A01/02
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H06/02
LKL
Szczecin
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H09/02
ENBL
Siauliai
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A13/02
LKL
80.9Avg total
39.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.183.2+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.940.083.9+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.442.282.6-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.180.9-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.483.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.944.483.3-5.614%-
vs Similar (7)45.644.089.6+1.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.138.480.4+3.775%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H12/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H21/12
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A08/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A14/01
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A05/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H13/02
LKL
78.8Avg total
38.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.479.7-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.442.084.4+0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)36.639.175.7-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.678.8-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.880.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.139.375.4-3.240%-
vs Similar (7)38.744.983.6-6.143%-
vs Weaker (13)42.138.981.0+3.262%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.916.7
57.8%
54.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.112.6
44.8%
35.0%37.8
🏀 Free throws16.411.6
70.7%
74.2%11.6
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.3
50.1%
54.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.3
29.2%
35.0%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.615.0
72.8%
74.2%15.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
LWWWWWLLLW
Neptunas
WLLLLWLLWW
#3
League position
#7
+7.2
Net rating
-7.5
121.1
Offensive rating
100.8
114.0
Defensive rating
108.4
62.5%
Effective FG%
47.6%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
20.4%
Turnover %
18.1%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
44.8%
3-point %
29.2%
72.4%
Assist %
59.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence121.1 · 100.8Defence114.0 · 108.4Shooting62.5% · 47.6%3-point %44.8% · 29.2%Ball care20.4% · 18.1%Off. rebounds34.6% · 30.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BC Wolves wins
3
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
17/11/22BC Wolves v Neptunas84-90
05/11/22Neptunas v BC Wolves100-80
20/10/22Neptunas v BC Wolves85-81
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/23ASiauliai102-107
09/02/23HSzczecin87-84
06/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas80-75
01/02/23ABrno62-56
31/01/23HOstrow Wielkopolski85-75
29/01/23HNevezis94-73
25/01/23ANes Ziona84-90
22/01/23AZalgiris Kaunas72-91
17/01/23ATrefl Sopot86-89
15/01/23AJuventus86-81
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/23HJuventus98-97
05/02/23APieno Zvaigzdes85-91
01/02/23AJonava66-83
28/01/23HRytas70-82
21/01/23AJonava75-76
14/01/23ALietkabelis81-73
08/01/23AZalgiris Kaunas46-77
04/01/23HJonava80-85
21/12/22HPrienai80-75
12/12/22HNevezis86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL68%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %68%78%60%
Points / game85.386.484.3
Allowed / game80.776.984.1
Point differential+4.6+9.6+0.2
Avg total166.0163.3168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW42%
HomeWWWLW56%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%56%30%
Points / game78.585.272.5
Allowed / game82.082.981.2
Point differential-3.5+2.3-8.7
Avg total160.5168.1153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%11%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2017385%85.971.7+14.2
2 Rytas1915479%89.880.8+9.1
3 BC Wolves1913668%85.380.7+4.6
4 Juventus2013765%85.583.0+2.4
5 Lietkabelis2012860%85.783.8+1.9
6 Jonava2011955%80.379.0+1.4
7 Siauliai1910953%83.784.4-0.6
8 Nevezis2091145%82.783.5-0.8
9 Neptunas1981142%78.582.0-3.5
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1941521%77.788.1-10.4
11 Gargzdai1931616%77.885.4-7.6
12 Prienai2021810%78.089.0-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves2119201979
Neptunas918171963
← all games of the day
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