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Real Madrid vs Granada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-79
24-19 16-17 30-18 24-25
Position#2
Record16-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#18
Record1-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game90.4
SpainACBRound 19· Movistar Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Real Madrid v Granada
08 Feb 2026
MAD94
GRA79
25 May 2025
MAD79
GRA67
05 May 2024
MAD94
GRA80
02 Apr 2023
MAD108
GRA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Granada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
90-85
90
85
+5
74avg 83
A11/01
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
80-61
80
61
+19
no box
H16/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H18/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
106-77
106
77
+29
114avg 83
H20/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
90-78
90
78
+12
93avg 83
H22/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
103-85
103
85
+18
103avg 83
A24/01
ACB
Paris
#16
L
92-98
92
98
-6
91avg 83
A27/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
99-78
99
78
+21
78avg 83
H01/02
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
81-82
81
82
-1
79avg 83
A03/02
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
85-93
85
93
-8
76avg 83
A05/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
27-20
21-17
29-27
21-14
22-17
20-16
17-14
9-24
34-19
33-17
18-19
30-23
24-13
24-19
28-22
23-13
31-18
17-22
19-25
19-19
24-24
27-22
33-20
18-24
24-26
24-25
26-23
21-22
24-19
20-14
34-23
26-16
18-20
17-24
20-22
19-11
25-26
24-32
17-24
173.6Avg total
92.0Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.582.2174.7+10.389%
Season at home (9)92.979.6172.4+13.389%
Season away (9)92.184.9177.0+7.289%
Last 10 (10)92.081.6173.6+10.470%
Last 5 (5)92.087.2179.2+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (9)87.288.2175.4-1.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)92.382.2174.6+10.185%
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
83-92
83
92
-9
74avg 71
H06/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
81-86
81
86
-5
73avg 71
A13/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
85-90
85
90
-5
81avg 71
A20/12
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
79-86
79
86
-7
70avg 71
H27/12
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
73avg 71
A30/12
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
90-107
90
107
-17
78avg 71
H03/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
71-108
71
108
-37
62avg 71
A11/01
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
A17/01
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
72avg 71
H24/01
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
64-83
64
83
-19
49avg 71
H31/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
15-27
27-21
24-23
22-22
25-20
18-26
16-18
26-13
13-26
22-26
24-25
19-18
24-23
22-21
14-24
19-18
19-20
22-23
15-19
19-33
22-22
33-24
16-28
22-26
12-35
16-25
21-22
12-24
26-13
21-24
20-27
19-20
19-23
25-24
15-11
19-17
17-17
10-26
18-23
169.9Avg total
79.1Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.990.4170.3-10.46%
Season at home (9)82.290.7172.9-8.411%
Season away (9)77.790.1167.8-12.40%
Last 10 (10)79.190.8169.9-11.70%
Last 5 (5)77.694.8172.4-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)79.990.0169.9-10.114%
vs Similar (8)85.189.6174.8-4.512%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -3.7-3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -3.7-3.7
Real MadridGranada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/01
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H16/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H18/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H20/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H22/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A24/01
ACB
Paris
#16
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A27/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/02
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A03/02
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A05/02
Euroleague
84.1Avg total
45.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.586.2+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.143.990.0+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.441.082.4+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)45.238.984.1+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.485.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (9)42.740.483.1+2.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.243.487.6+0.950%-
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H06/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A20/12
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H27/12
ACB
Tenerife
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A30/12
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H03/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A11/01
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/01
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H24/01
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H31/01
ACB
82.4Avg total
38.6Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.883.0-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.143.782.7-4.633%-
Last 30 away (15)39.443.983.3-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)38.643.882.4-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.446.083.4-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.443.982.3-5.527%-
vs Similar (8)41.643.485.0-1.838%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.320.9
62.8%
50.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.9
39.1%
42.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.215.7
70.7%
74.7%15.7
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.8
54.8%
50.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.4
30.2%
42.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws27.521.0
76.4%
74.7%21.0
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LLWLWWWWWW
Granada
LLLLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#18
+10.4
Net rating
-14.1
108.1
Offensive rating
100.7
97.7
Defensive rating
114.8
60.9%
Effective FG%
50.9%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
15.8%
Turnover %
19.3%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.47
39.1%
3-point %
30.2%
65.7%
Assist %
55.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 100.7Defence97.7 · 114.8Shooting60.9% · 50.9%3-point %39.1% · 30.2%Ball care15.8% · 19.3%Off. rebounds32.1% · 24.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.47Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Granada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
0
Granada wins
DateGameScore
22/11/25Granada v Real Madrid100-111
25/05/25Real Madrid v Granada79-67
08/01/25Granada v Real Madrid79-84
05/05/24Real Madrid v Granada94-80
05/11/23Granada v Real Madrid76-83
02/04/23Real Madrid v Granada108-75
15/01/23Granada v Real Madrid62-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26ADubai85-93
03/02/26APanathinaikos81-82
01/02/26HBasket Zaragoza99-78
27/01/26AParis92-98
24/01/26ABreogan103-85
22/01/26HMonaco90-78
20/01/26HOlimpia Milano106-77
18/01/26HValencia94-79
16/01/26HBarcelona80-61
11/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra90-85
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HBreogan64-83
24/01/26HBilbao84-88 OT
17/01/26AUnicaja79-88
11/01/26ABarcelona71-108
03/01/26HSan Pablo Burgos90-107
30/12/25ATenerife75-80
27/12/25HMurcia79-86
20/12/25AGran Canaria85-90
13/12/25AMoraBanc Andorra81-86
06/12/25HBasket Zaragoza83-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %89%89%89%
Points / game92.592.992.1
Allowed / game82.279.684.9
Point differential+10.3+13.3+7.2
Avg total174.7172.4177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%78%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Granada
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %6%11%0%
Points / game79.982.277.7
Allowed / game90.490.790.1
Point differential-10.4-8.4-12.4
Avg total170.3172.9167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1816289%92.582.2+10.3
2 Valencia1914574%94.581.2+13.3
3 Murcia1913668%88.582.5+6.1
4 Unicaja1913668%88.284.2+3.9
5 Barcelona1812667%87.780.5+7.2
6 Baskonia1711665%93.788.8+4.9
7 Tenerife1911858%87.284.5+2.6
8 Joventut Badalona1911858%83.981.7+2.2
9 Bilbao1911858%84.384.9-0.6
10 Basquet Girona189950%86.490.2-3.7
11 Breogan1981142%90.793.0-2.3
12 Forca Lleida1981142%81.687.3-5.7
13 Manresa1981142%86.192.3-6.2
14 Gran Canaria1761135%78.182.6-4.5
15 Basket Zaragoza1961332%86.591.3-4.8
16 MoraBanc Andorra1951426%84.591.8-7.3
17 San Pablo Burgos1941521%87.692.2-4.6
18 Granada181176%79.990.4-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2416302494
Granada1917182579
← all games of the day
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