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Real Madrid vs Granada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 10:15
Final 108-75
30-15 29-22 22-21 27-17
Position#3
Record20-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#16
Record8-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game86.5
SpainACBRound 25
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Real Madrid v Granada
08 Feb 2026
MAD94
GRA79
25 May 2025
MAD79
GRA67
05 May 2024
MAD94
GRA80
02 Apr 2023
MAD108
GRA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Granada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
81-85
81
85
-4
82avg 82
H07/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
95-91
95
91
+4
98avg 82
H09/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
86-65
86
65
+21
82avg 82
H12/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
90avg 82
A14/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
91-87
91
87
+4
83avg 82
H16/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
82avg 82
H19/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
96-79
96
79
+17
92avg 82
A24/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
102-78
102
78
+24
101avg 82
A26/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
90-75
90
75
+15
98avg 82
H29/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
90-104
90
104
-14
88avg 82
A31/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
21-23
22-22
16-23
24-20
25-20
22-25
24-26
11-15
27-13
26-13
22-24
24-18
15-24
21-35
29-13
24-23
18-17
25-26
24-21
27-15
18-24
24-31
19-25
26-12
24-21
18-25
28-21
29-13
21-18
32-26
20-21
24-21
25-23
19-14
22-17
23-21
15-28
34-29
18-26
175.7Avg total
90.8Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.376.1164.5+12.283%
Season at home (12)90.976.4167.3+14.583%
Season away (12)85.875.8161.6+9.983%
Last 10 (10)90.884.9175.7+5.960%
Last 5 (5)93.286.2179.4+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.093.0175.0-11.00%
vs Similar (11)85.484.5169.8+0.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.875.4165.2+14.4100%
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
72-90
72
90
-18
59avg 68
A07/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
62-82
62
82
-20
47avg 68
H15/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
L
78-92
78
92
-14
66avg 68
H22/01
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
67-99
67
99
-32
61avg 68
A28/01
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
83-71
83
71
+12
81avg 68
H05/02
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
73-90
73
90
-17
60avg 68
A11/02
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
81-105
81
105
-24
70avg 68
A05/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
80-66
80
66
+14
82avg 68
H11/03
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
67avg 68
A19/03
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
88-67
88
67
+21
76avg 68
H25/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
24-20
16-33
19-16
14-19
10-13
22-25
16-25
16-23
28-15
16-22
18-32
12-29
12-30
18-24
25-16
26-21
23-11
17-24
17-15
18-20
16-22
21-22
18-26
19-22
20-34
24-23
18-26
19-13
20-7
21-20
20-26
18-20
16-18
18-24
20-18
26-16
23-17
25-22
14-12
159.8Avg total
75.6Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.786.5164.1-8.833%
Season at home (12)81.582.4163.9-0.950%
Season away (12)73.890.5164.3-16.717%
Last 10 (10)75.684.2159.8-8.630%
Last 5 (5)78.881.6160.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)77.788.0165.7-10.229%
vs Similar (1)66.076.0142.0-10.00%
vs Weaker (8)80.671.4152.0+9.275%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
Real MadridGranada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H07/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H09/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H12/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A14/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H19/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A24/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A26/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H29/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A31/03
Euroleague
82.9Avg total
44.3Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.137.281.2+6.980%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.037.282.2+7.888%-
Last 30 away (14)43.037.180.1+5.971%-
Last 10 (10)44.338.682.9+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.285.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (11)42.041.883.8+0.255%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.934.280.1+11.6100%-
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A07/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H15/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/01
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
24-59
24
59
-35
A28/01
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H05/02
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A11/02
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A05/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H11/03
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/03
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/03
ACB
76.4Avg total
37.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.379.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.734.876.5+6.967%-
Last 30 away (15)36.545.782.3-9.220%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.176.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.876.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)38.742.681.3-3.938%-
vs Similar (1)20.027.047.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker (8)42.535.978.4+6.662%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.120.4
59.8%
52.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.1
38.1%
34.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.819.1
80.3%
73.9%19.1
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.8
51.3%
52.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.1
31.3%
34.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.313.9
72.0%
73.9%13.9
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWWLWLWWL
Granada
WLWLLWLLLL
#3
League position
#16
+8.4
Net rating
-12.2
120.5
Offensive rating
97.0
112.1
Defensive rating
109.2
58.7%
Effective FG%
49.7%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
21.9%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.1%
3-point %
31.3%
66.9%
Assist %
55.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence120.5 · 97.0Defence112.1 · 109.2Shooting58.7% · 49.7%3-point %38.1% · 31.3%Ball care17.4% · 21.9%Off. rebounds30.0% · 28.1%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Granada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Real Madrid wins
0
Granada wins
DateGameScore
15/01/23Granada v Real Madrid62-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/23APartizan90-104
29/03/23HFenerbahce90-75
26/03/23AFuenlabrada102-78
24/03/23AVirtus Bologna96-79
19/03/23HBaskonia88-95
16/03/23HOlimpia Milano91-87
14/03/23AAnadolu Efes89-90
12/03/23HBilbao86-65
09/03/23HValencia95-91
07/03/23HBaskonia81-85
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/23HMurcia88-67
19/03/23AValencia72-80
11/03/23HGran Canaria80-66
05/03/23ABaskonia81-105
11/02/23ABilbao73-90
05/02/23HFuenlabrada83-71
28/01/23ABreogan67-99
22/01/23HBasquet Girona78-92
15/01/23HReal Madrid62-82
07/01/23AJoventut Badalona72-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game88.390.985.8
Allowed / game76.176.475.8
Point differential+12.2+14.5+9.9
Avg total164.5167.3161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%83%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Granada
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game77.781.573.8
Allowed / game86.582.490.5
Point differential-8.8-0.9-16.7
Avg total164.1163.9164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2420483%88.376.1+12.2
2 Barcelona2420483%84.473.2+11.2
3 Baskonia2420483%91.281.8+9.5
4 Tenerife2418675%82.972.9+10.0
5 Unicaja2516964%86.577.4+9.1
6 Joventut Badalona2516964%81.877.3+4.4
7 Gran Canaria25151060%83.878.5+5.3
8 Valencia24131154%84.283.2+0.9
9 Breogan25121348%78.279.5-1.4
10 Obradoiro CAB24111346%77.881.2-3.4
11 Bilbao25111444%76.880.1-3.3
12 Murcia2491538%79.184.9-5.8
13 Basket Zaragoza2591636%78.380.5-2.2
14 Basquet Girona2481633%76.280.8-4.5
15 Granada2481633%77.786.5-8.8
16 Manresa2461825%82.390.8-8.5
17 Real Betis2552020%76.685.5-9.0
18 Fuenlabrada2532212%77.092.2-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid30292227108
Granada1522211775
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