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Real Madrid vs Granada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 May 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-67
18-9 18-18 21-23 22-17
Position#1
Record28-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game77.7
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Granada
Spain
Position#17
Record9-23
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game87.5
SpainACBRound 33· Movistar Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Real Madrid v Granada
08 Feb 2026
MAD94
GRA79
25 May 2025
MAD79
GRA67
05 May 2024
MAD94
GRA80
02 Apr 2023
MAD108
GRA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Granada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
W
93-71
93
71
+22
97avg 81
H18/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
98-97
98
97
+1
95avg 81
H20/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
67avg 81
A23/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
70avg 81
A25/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
79-71
79
71
+8
78avg 81
A27/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
W
80-72
80
72
+8
74avg 81
H29/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
81avg 81
H01/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
96-89
96
89
+7
92avg 81
H04/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 81
A11/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
67-65
67
65
+2
54avg 81
A18/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-17
19-16
21-22
20-16
29-29
17-15
30-25
22-28
14-27
15-20
22-17
21-20
25-15
13-23
16-19
17-20
15-21
19-8
27-24
18-18
28-21
10-23
20-12
22-16
21-16
26-26
18-26
19-18
27-20
19-24
28-19
22-26
24-13
10-14
25-27
20-15
21-10
18-16
14-20
14-19
160.0Avg total
81.9Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)87.077.7164.7+9.388%
Season at home (16)89.877.3167.1+12.4100%
Season away (16)84.278.0162.2+6.275%
Last 10 (10)81.978.1160.0+3.870%
Last 5 (5)81.276.2157.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)84.684.5169.1+0.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.775.0158.7+8.7100%
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#16
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
72avg 71
H16/03
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
88-91
88
91
-3
78avg 71
A23/03
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
69-97
69
97
-28
54avg 71
H30/03
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
87-95
87
95
-8
69avg 71
A06/04
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
86-93
86
93
-7
72avg 71
H13/04
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
89-93
89
93
-4
77avg 71
A19/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
77avg 71
H26/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 71
A03/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
95-88
95
88
+7
86avg 71
A11/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
91-82
91
82
+9
83avg 71
H17/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
22-19
16-16
14-26
22-18
24-28
13-26
29-19
21-21
5-23
26-23
17-30
23-22
25-22
23-28
16-23
26-33
18-20
17-20
25-20
21-21
19-24
19-26
30-22
18-26
20-20
22-22
26-12
21-19
24-33
18-29
20-17
22-21
22-23
16-18
35-26
23-16
26-24
22-18
20-24
175.8Avg total
85.6Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.887.5169.3-5.828%
Season at home (16)80.484.6165.1-4.238%
Season away (16)83.190.4173.5-7.419%
Last 10 (10)85.690.2175.8-4.630%
Last 5 (5)88.888.2177.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)83.491.6174.9-8.221%
vs Similar (11)81.780.5162.3+1.245%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
Real MadridGranada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H18/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H20/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A23/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A27/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H01/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H04/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A11/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A18/05
ACB
77.7Avg total
40.3Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.337.779.0+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.140.884.9+3.350%-
Last 30 away (16)38.934.973.9+4.062%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.477.7+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.677.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)42.341.683.9+0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.334.574.8+5.967%-
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H16/03
ACB
Bilbao
#15
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/03
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H30/03
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A06/04
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H13/04
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A19/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H26/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A03/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A11/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H17/05
ACB
86.8Avg total
42.3Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.183.1-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.339.979.2-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)40.746.387.0-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.586.8-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.488.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.945.386.2-4.437%-
vs Similar (11)38.539.377.8-0.745%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.620.0
57.8%
54.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.1
34.7%
35.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.714.0
74.9%
76.4%14.0
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.9
51.8%
54.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.9
32.4%
35.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.218.4
76.0%
76.4%18.4
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWLWWLLWW
Granada
WWLWLLLLLL
#1
League position
#17
+5.5
Net rating
-6.0
111.3
Offensive rating
110.0
105.8
Defensive rating
116.0
55.3%
Effective FG%
50.5%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
18.5%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.7%
3-point %
32.4%
60.8%
Assist %
48.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 110.0Defence105.8 · 116.0Shooting55.3% · 50.5%3-point %34.7% · 32.4%Ball care19.0% · 18.5%Off. rebounds30.5% · 35.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Granada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
0
Granada wins
DateGameScore
08/01/25Granada v Real Madrid79-84
05/05/24Real Madrid v Granada94-80
05/11/23Granada v Real Madrid76-83
02/04/23Real Madrid v Granada108-75
15/01/23Granada v Real Madrid62-82
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25AManresa67-65
11/05/25ABreogan79-69
04/05/25HValencia96-89
01/05/25HOlympiacos84-86
29/04/25HOlympiacos80-72
27/04/25ABasquet Girona79-71
25/04/25AOlympiacos71-77
23/04/25AOlympiacos72-84
20/04/25HMoraBanc Andorra98-97
18/04/25HBayern93-71
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25HBreogan91-82
11/05/25ABasket Zaragoza95-88
03/05/25AGran Canaria83-98
26/04/25HManresa86-80
19/04/25ALeyma Coruna89-93
13/04/25HBarcelona86-93
06/04/25ATenerife87-95
30/03/25HValencia69-97
23/03/25ABilbao88-91
16/03/25HForca Lleida82-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game87.089.884.2
Allowed / game77.777.378.0
Point differential+9.3+12.4+6.2
Avg total164.7167.1162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)100% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Granada
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW28%
HomeLLLWW38%
AwayLLLLW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %28%38%19%
Points / game81.880.483.1
Allowed / game87.584.690.4
Point differential-5.8-4.2-7.4
Avg total169.3165.1173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%6%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)40% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3228488%87.077.7+9.3
2 Tenerife3325876%87.583.1+4.4
3 Valencia3324973%96.486.3+10.1
4 Unicaja33231070%90.384.1+6.2
5 Barcelona32191359%92.287.3+4.9
6 Joventut Badalona33191458%85.183.3+1.8
7 Gran Canaria32181456%84.383.8+0.6
8 Baskonia33181555%88.588.3+0.2
9 Manresa33161748%87.084.9+2.1
10 Murcia33161748%82.482.1+0.3
11 Breogan32131941%79.986.2-6.3
12 Basket Zaragoza33132039%89.290.4-1.2
13 MoraBanc Andorra33132039%87.691.4-3.8
14 Basquet Girona32112134%82.088.1-6.1
15 Bilbao33112233%82.384.5-2.2
16 Forca Lleida33112233%82.587.8-5.3
17 Granada3292328%81.887.5-5.8
18 Leyma Coruna3372621%86.095.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1818212279
Granada918231767
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