PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Madrid vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 106-77
30-23 24-13 24-19 28-22
Position#2
Record14-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#13
Record11-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game85.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23
European cup2025
Meetings · Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano
06 Apr 2027
MAD v MIL
upcoming
20 Jan 2026
MAD106
MIL77
25 Mar 2025
MAD96
MIL89
19 Oct 2023
MAD88
MIL71
16 Mar 2023
MAD91
MIL87
10 Mar 2022
MAD92
MIL88
08 Jan 2021
MAD76
MIL80
20 Mar 2019
MAD92
MIL89
24 Oct 2017
MAD100
MIL90
27 Jan 2017
MAD94
MIL89
01 Nov 2013
MAD93
MIL74
27 Oct 2011
MAD85
MIL78
26 Nov 2009
MAD82
MIL69
13 Nov 2008
MAD70
MIL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Monaco
#10
L
95-100
95
100
-5
87avg 81
A26/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 81
H28/12
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
91-80
91
80
+11
75avg 81
A30/12
ACB
Dubai
#11
W
107-93
107
93
+14
106avg 81
H02/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
100-105
100
105
-5
93avg 81
H04/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 81
A06/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
98-86
98
86
+12
98avg 81
H08/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
90-85
90
85
+5
74avg 81
A11/01
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
80-61
80
61
+19
no box
H16/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H18/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
23-26
27-23
25-30
27-30
19-24
25-12
20-16
22-18
19-14
26-23
24-25
27-24
17-34
29-16
34-19
24-28
20-20
31-29
25-28
17-18
19-23
20-20
24-8
21-25
27-22
28-18
22-21
13-21
27-20
21-17
29-27
21-14
22-17
20-16
17-14
9-24
34-19
33-17
18-19
176.6Avg total
92.6Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.883.2170.0+3.664%
Season at home (11)91.181.5172.5+9.691%
Season away (11)82.584.9167.5-2.436%
Last 10 (10)92.684.0176.6+8.680%
Last 5 (5)88.476.0164.4+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (8)87.286.5173.8+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.582.0172.4+8.586%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 80
A20/12
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
92-99
92
99
-7
84avg 80
A23/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 80
H29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
85-97
85
97
-12
77avg 80
A02/01
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
85-84
85
84
+1
75avg 80
H04/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
87-74
87
74
+13
86avg 80
A06/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
87-74
87
74
+13
84avg 80
H09/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
77-71
77
71
+6
65avg 80
A12/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
96-104
96
104
-8
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
A17/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
25-25
15-23
25-19
20-31
29-25
22-16
21-27
27-12
16-19
29-19
19-24
27-14
20-33
19-30
19-20
15-21
24-19
15-23
31-21
15-20
23-23
23-15
26-16
16-27
22-22
24-8
25-17
15-23
17-15
20-17
25-16
25-27
30-17
27-26
14-34
25-27
24-23
22-11
16-17
172.5Avg total
88.1Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.585.4170.9+0.150%
Season at home (11)86.987.5174.4-0.555%
Season away (11)84.183.4167.5+0.745%
Last 10 (10)88.184.4172.5+3.770%
Last 5 (5)86.880.2167.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)92.390.7183.0+1.767%
vs Similar (14)86.286.6172.8-0.450%
vs Weaker (13)87.980.0167.9+7.977%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
Real MadridOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A26/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H28/12
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A30/12
ACB
Dubai
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H02/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H04/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H08/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/01
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H16/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H18/01
ACB
87.0Avg total
42.8Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.242.987.0+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.943.488.4+1.550%-
Last 30 away (16)43.542.485.9+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.287.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.682.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (8)41.939.981.8+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.144.089.1+1.157%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A20/12
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A23/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A02/01
Euroleague
Udine
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H04/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H09/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H15/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A17/01
Lega A
88.9Avg total
44.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.442.586.9+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.641.085.6+3.659%-
Last 30 away (13)44.244.588.6-0.331%-
Last 10 (10)44.444.588.9-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.887.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)48.345.393.7+3.067%-
vs Similar (14)43.643.186.6+0.536%-
vs Weaker (13)44.541.285.7+3.254%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.522.0
58.7%
60.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.4
37.5%
35.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws25.419.7
77.6%
78.2%19.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
60.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.310.3
40.7%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.016.6
83.0%
78.2%16.6
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWLWWWL
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWWLWLW
#2
League position
#13
+8.4
Net rating
+3.7
121.1
Offensive rating
112.8
112.7
Defensive rating
109.1
57.7%
Effective FG%
54.7%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.5%
3-point %
40.7%
58.6%
Assist %
56.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence121.1 · 112.8Defence112.7 · 109.1Shooting57.7% · 54.7%3-point %37.5% · 40.7%Ball care13.7% · 14.7%Off. rebounds33.5% · 27.5%Free throws0.41 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Real Madrid wins
4
Olimpia Milano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26HValencia94-79
16/01/26HBarcelona80-61
11/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra90-85
08/01/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-86
06/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne80-69
04/01/26HBarcelona100-105
02/01/26HDubai107-93
30/12/25AMurcia91-80
28/12/25HUnicaja91-82
26/12/25AMonaco95-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26ATortona87-78
15/01/26HCrvena zvezda96-104
12/01/26ABasket Napoli77-71
09/01/26HAnadolu Efes87-74
06/01/26APanathinaikos87-74
04/01/26HUdine85-84
02/01/26AVirtus Bologna85-97
29/12/25HCremona91-74
23/12/25ADubai92-99
20/12/25ACantu94-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%91%36%
Points / game86.891.182.5
Allowed / game83.281.584.9
Point differential+3.6+9.6-2.4
Avg total170.0172.5167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%55%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWLWL55%
AwayWLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%55%45%
Points / game85.586.984.1
Allowed / game85.487.583.4
Point differential+0.1-0.5+0.7
Avg total170.9174.4167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%9%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2216673%86.881.0+5.8
2 Fenerbahce2114767%82.079.8+2.2
3 Monaco2315865%92.084.8+7.2
4 Valencia2315865%90.185.3+4.8
5 Barcelona2315865%86.784.3+2.3
6 Olympiacos2214864%89.584.0+5.6
7 Real Madrid2214864%86.883.2+3.6
8 Panathinaikos2314961%87.384.5+2.8
9 Zalgiris Kaunas23131057%88.182.0+6.2
10 Crvena zvezda23131057%86.685.3+1.2
11 Olimpia Milano22111150%85.585.4+0.1
12 Virtus Bologna22111150%82.482.5-0.1
13 Dubai23101343%85.687.9-2.3
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv2391439%89.592.5-3.0
15 Baskonia2381535%87.090.7-3.7
16 Bayern2381535%78.983.6-4.7
17 Paris2271532%89.892.5-2.8
18 Partizan2371630%78.989.0-10.0
19 Anadolu Efes2361726%79.385.2-5.9
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne2361726%78.286.9-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid30242428106
Olimpia Milano2313192277
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.