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Real Madrid vs Granada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 94-80
22-19 29-23 26-15 17-23
Position#1
Record26-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game78.3
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Granada
Spain
Position#17
Record9-22
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game86.8
SpainACBRound 32· WiZink Center
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Real Madrid v Granada
08 Feb 2026
MAD94
GRA79
25 May 2025
MAD79
GRA67
05 May 2024
MAD94
GRA80
02 Apr 2023
MAD108
GRA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Granada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
66avg 85
H31/03
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
86avg 85
H05/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 85
A07/04
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
64avg 85
A11/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
95-92
95
92
+3
86avg 85
H14/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 85
A21/04
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
87avg 85
H23/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
101-90
101
90
+11
103avg 85
H25/04
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
79-69
79
69
+10
76avg 85
H28/04
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
102-98
102
98
+4
99avg 85
A01/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
19-24
18-19
20-23
27-17
21-25
16-23
27-30
11-27
22-18
25-19
21-21
16-9
15-16
13-17
20-20
22-20
15-25
31-20
27-27
20-17
17-9
26-19
16-25
26-17
22-20
22-16
20-21
23-21
23-19
28-23
27-27
28-20
10-17
23-19
18-13
22-22
30-34
20-17
30-25
167.0Avg total
85.2Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)87.478.3165.7+9.084%
Season at home (15)89.777.9167.6+11.987%
Season away (16)85.178.8163.9+6.481%
Last 10 (10)85.281.8167.0+3.470%
Last 5 (5)90.280.2170.4+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)89.887.0176.8+2.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.581.8168.3+4.776%
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
L
78-91
78
91
-13
56avg 71
A11/02
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
83-89
83
89
-6
79avg 71
A02/03
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 71
H10/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
88-104
88
104
-16
79avg 71
A16/03
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
62-90
62
90
-28
46avg 71
H23/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 71
H31/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
62-88
62
88
-26
46avg 71
A07/04
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
81-88
81
88
-7
72avg 71
H14/04
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
91-83
91
83
+8
86avg 71
A20/04
ACB
Breogan
#16
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 71
H27/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
20-22
18-28
28-17
17-19
21-28
17-21
28-21
17-15
27-18
16-22
27-24
21-27
23-25
16-25
28-27
15-18
14-20
17-30
16-22
28-14
19-20
17-22
22-27
17-21
15-14
14-20
16-33
16-23
23-8
25-30
17-27
21-14
26-20
19-21
25-28
18-17
18-28
26-21
22-19
168.2Avg total
80.2Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.186.8167.9-5.729%
Season at home (16)82.986.8169.7-3.938%
Season away (15)79.286.9166.1-7.720%
Last 10 (10)80.288.0168.2-7.830%
Last 5 (5)80.885.4166.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.688.5165.2-11.912%
vs Similar (13)85.483.3168.7+2.154%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
Real MadridGranada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H31/03
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H05/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A07/04
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A11/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H14/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A21/04
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H23/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H25/04
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/04
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A01/05
Euroleague
79.8Avg total
40.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.181.1+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.240.683.8+2.659%-
Last 30 away (13)38.339.477.7-1.146%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.479.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.283.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)44.840.084.8+4.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.440.380.7+0.052%-
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A11/02
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A02/03
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A16/03
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H23/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A07/04
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H14/04
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A20/04
ACB
Breogan
#16
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H27/04
ACB
78.3Avg total
38.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.779.4-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.138.778.8+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)37.342.780.0-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.578.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.876.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.441.977.3-6.524%-
vs Similar (13)42.939.282.2+3.762%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.0
53.5%
53.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.1
36.8%
34.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws17.413.1
75.3%
75.6%13.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.0
52.9%
53.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.6
32.7%
34.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.513.6
73.5%
75.6%13.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWLLL
Granada
LWLLWLLWLL
#1
League position
#17
+5.1
Net rating
-10.5
113.8
Offensive rating
106.7
108.7
Defensive rating
117.2
54.3%
Effective FG%
51.3%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
60.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.8%
3-point %
32.7%
67.4%
Assist %
58.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 106.7Defence108.7 · 117.2Shooting54.3% · 51.3%3-point %36.8% · 32.7%Ball care15.9% · 18.9%Off. rebounds30.7% · 33.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Granada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Real Madrid wins
0
Granada wins
DateGameScore
05/11/23Granada v Real Madrid76-83
02/04/23Real Madrid v Granada108-75
15/01/23Granada v Real Madrid62-82
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/24ABaskonia102-98
28/04/24HObradoiro CAB79-69
25/04/24HBaskonia101-90
23/04/24HBaskonia90-74
21/04/24ABasket Zaragoza79-70
14/04/24HJoventut Badalona95-92
11/04/24AZalgiris Kaunas64-62
07/04/24ABarcelona79-85
05/04/24HBaskonia91-95
31/03/24HManresa72-83
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HBreogan84-85
20/04/24APalencia91-83
14/04/24HValencia81-88
07/04/24AMoraBanc Andorra62-88
31/03/24HJoventut Badalona86-83
23/03/24HUnicaja62-90
16/03/24ABaskonia88-104
10/03/24HBilbao87-79
02/03/24ATenerife83-89
11/02/24AMurcia78-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW84%
HomeWWLWW87%
AwayWWWLW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %84%87%81%
Points / game87.489.785.1
Allowed / game78.377.978.8
Point differential+9.0+11.9+6.4
Avg total165.7167.6163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%53%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Granada
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL29%
HomeWLWLL38%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %29%38%20%
Points / game81.182.979.2
Allowed / game86.886.886.9
Point differential-5.7-3.9-7.7
Avg total167.9169.7166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3126584%87.478.3+9.0
2 Unicaja3125681%88.277.3+10.9
3 Barcelona31211068%88.081.3+6.7
4 Murcia31201165%84.280.1+4.1
5 Tenerife31201165%84.580.9+3.6
6 Gran Canaria31201165%84.781.2+3.5
7 Valencia32201262%83.981.1+2.8
8 Manresa31181358%84.884.5+0.3
9 Baskonia31171455%87.887.8-0.0
10 Joventut Badalona32151747%81.586.1-4.5
11 Bilbao32131941%79.081.7-2.7
12 MoraBanc Andorra32122038%84.285.2-1.0
13 Basket Zaragoza31112035%82.085.5-3.5
14 Basquet Girona31112035%80.485.6-5.2
15 Breogan3192229%74.179.4-5.3
16 Granada3192229%81.186.8-5.7
17 Obradoiro CAB3292328%80.785.1-4.4
18 Palencia3262619%79.387.2-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2229261794
Granada1923152380
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