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Real Madrid vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 80-61
21-14 22-17 20-16 17-14
Position#2
Record13-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#8
Record14-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game84.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22
European cup2025
Meetings · Real Madrid v Barcelona
28 Mar 2027
MAD v BAR
upcoming
03 Dec 2026
MAD v BAR
upcoming
16 Jan 2026
MAD80
BAR61
04 Jan 2026
MAD100
BAR105
27 Feb 2025
MAD96
BAR91
29 Dec 2024
MAD73
BAR71
21 Sep 2024
MAD89
BAR83
31 May 2024
MAD104
BAR98
29 May 2024
MAD97
BAR78
18 Feb 2024
MAD96
BAR85
26 Oct 2023
MAD65
BAR64
01 Oct 2023
MAD86
BAR79
20 Jun 2023
MAD82
BAR93
26 Jan 2023
MAD91
BAR86
02 Jan 2023
MAD78
BAR87
25 Sep 2022
MAD89
BAR83
19 Jun 2022
MAD81
BAR74
17 Jun 2022
MAD81
BAR66
20 Feb 2022
MAD59
BAR64
11 Feb 2022
MAD68
BAR86
23 Jan 2022
MAD75
BAR85
13 Jun 2021
MAD75
BAR89
11 Mar 2021
MAD76
BAR81
14 Feb 2021
MAD73
BAR88
27 Dec 2020
MAD82
BAR87
13 Sep 2020
MAD72
BAR67
24 Mar 2019
MAD76
BAR82
17 Feb 2019
MAD93
BAR94
13 Dec 2018
MAD92
BAR65
18 Feb 2018
MAD90
BAR92
14 Dec 2017
MAD87
BAR75
12 Nov 2017
MAD80
BAR84
22 Mar 2017
MAD85
BAR69
12 Mar 2017
MAD76
BAR75
23 Sep 2016
MAD93
BAR99
22 Jun 2016
MAD91
BAR84
20 Jun 2016
MAD91
BAR74
21 Jan 2016
MAD86
BAR87
27 Dec 2015
MAD84
BAR91
21 Jun 2015
MAD100
BAR80
19 Jun 2015
MAD78
BAR72
12 Apr 2015
MAD91
BAR78
05 Feb 2015
MAD97
BAR73
27 Sep 2014
MAD99
BAR78
21 Jun 2014
MAD87
BAR78
19 Jun 2014
MAD93
BAR98
09 Feb 2014
MAD77
BAR76
29 Dec 2013
MAD98
BAR84
05 Oct 2013
MAD83
BAR79
19 Jun 2013
MAD79
BAR71
11 Jun 2013
MAD71
BAR72
09 Jun 2013
MAD76
BAR72
28 Apr 2013
MAD78
BAR65
07 Feb 2013
MAD108
BAR111
13 Jun 2012
MAD75
BAR81
11 Jun 2012
MAD85
BAR59
04 Jan 2012
MAD78
BAR74
09 Apr 2011
MAD77
BAR72
13 Feb 2011
MAD60
BAR68
01 Apr 2010
MAD78
BAR84
30 Mar 2010
MAD73
BAR84
27 Dec 2009
MAD57
BAR79
18 Apr 2009
MAD76
BAR79
19 Feb 2009
MAD75
BAR83
28 Jan 2009
MAD85
BAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Paris
#16
W
95-90
95
90
+5
90avg 82
H18/12
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
88-81
88
81
+7
79avg 82
A20/12
ACB
Monaco
#10
L
95-100
95
100
-5
87avg 82
A26/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 82
H28/12
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
91-80
91
80
+11
75avg 82
A30/12
ACB
Dubai
#11
W
107-93
107
93
+14
106avg 82
H02/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
100-105
100
105
-5
93avg 82
H04/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 82
A06/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
98-86
98
86
+12
98avg 82
H08/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
90-85
90
85
+5
74avg 82
A11/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
25-29
21-24
25-16
28-19
18-24
20-24
22-14
20-21
23-26
27-23
25-30
27-30
19-24
25-12
20-16
22-18
19-14
26-23
24-25
27-24
17-34
29-16
34-19
24-28
20-20
31-29
25-28
17-18
19-23
20-20
24-8
21-25
27-22
28-18
22-21
13-21
27-20
21-17
29-27
180.6Avg total
93.5Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.184.2171.4+2.962%
Season at home (10)92.283.5175.7+8.790%
Season away (11)82.584.9167.5-2.436%
Last 10 (10)93.587.1180.6+6.480%
Last 5 (5)95.087.6182.6+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)87.286.5173.8+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)90.283.2173.4+7.082%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#18
W
134-124 OT
134
124
+10
119avg 84
H19/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
90-80
90
80
+10
81avg 84
H21/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
71-72
71
72
-1
62avg 84
A23/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
71-66
71
66
+5
61avg 84
A28/12
ACB
Monaco
#10
L
74-90
74
90
-16
63avg 84
H30/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
100-80
100
80
+20
97avg 84
H02/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
105-100
105
100
+5
101avg 84
A04/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
93-83
93
83
+10
97avg 84
H06/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
88-70
88
70
+18
85avg 84
H09/01
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
108-71
108
71
+37
105avg 84
H11/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
30-27
23-22
27-22
26-17
8-23
31-15
25-25
13-17
20-18
19-18
19-19
16-25
18-8
15-13
22-20
13-22
17-25
23-22
21-21
21-22
27-11
25-22
27-25
28-24
20-20
29-31
28-25
32-19
24-25
21-19
16-20
13-20
28-15
21-15
26-20
26-22
35-12
25-16
22-21
177.0Avg total
93.4Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.784.3172.0+3.367%
Season at home (11)91.888.5180.4+3.373%
Season away (10)83.179.7162.8+3.460%
Last 10 (10)93.483.6177.0+9.880%
Last 5 (5)98.880.8179.6+18.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)95.093.0188.0+2.050%
vs Similar (13)82.881.1163.8+1.762%
vs Weaker (15)90.178.1168.3+12.087%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
Real MadridBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#16
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H18/12
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A20/12
ACB
Monaco
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A26/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H28/12
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A30/12
ACB
Dubai
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H02/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H04/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H08/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/01
ACB
89.8Avg total
43.7Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.043.487.3+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.944.689.5+0.346%-
Last 30 away (17)43.242.485.6+0.853%-
Last 10 (10)43.746.189.8-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.447.089.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)41.939.981.8+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.744.689.4+0.150%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#18
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H19/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H21/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A23/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A28/12
ACB
Monaco
#10
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H30/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H02/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A04/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H06/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H09/01
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H11/01
ACB
83.0Avg total
43.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.082.0+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.243.186.4+0.153%-
Last 30 away (13)40.236.076.2+4.277%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.883.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)50.838.088.8+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)45.048.593.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (13)40.941.282.1-0.246%-
vs Weaker (15)42.437.980.3+4.580%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.522.0
58.7%
60.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.4
37.5%
35.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws25.419.7
77.6%
78.2%19.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.823.0
59.3%
60.4%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.0
39.9%
35.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.713.8
78.0%
78.2%13.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWLWW
Barcelona
WWWWWLWLWW
#2
League position
#8
+8.4
Net rating
+13.0
121.1
Offensive rating
120.7
112.7
Defensive rating
107.7
57.7%
Effective FG%
59.5%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.5%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.5%
3-point %
39.9%
58.6%
Assist %
50.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence121.1 · 120.7Defence112.7 · 107.7Shooting57.7% · 59.5%3-point %37.5% · 39.9%Ball care13.7% · 14.5%Off. rebounds33.5% · 31.2%Free throws0.41 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Barcelona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra90-85
08/01/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-86
06/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne80-69
04/01/26HBarcelona100-105
02/01/26HDubai107-93
30/12/25AMurcia91-80
28/12/25HUnicaja91-82
26/12/25AMonaco95-100
20/12/25AForca Lleida88-81
18/12/25HParis95-90
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HGranada108-71
09/01/26HPartizan88-70
06/01/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv93-83
04/01/26AReal Madrid105-100
02/01/26HBasket Zaragoza100-80
30/12/25HMonaco74-90
28/12/25ABilbao71-66
23/12/25AFenerbahce71-72
21/12/25HJoventut Badalona90-80
19/12/25HBaskonia134-124 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%90%36%
Points / game87.192.282.5
Allowed / game84.283.584.9
Point differential+2.9+8.7-2.4
Avg total171.4175.7167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelona
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%73%60%
Points / game87.791.883.1
Allowed / game84.388.579.7
Point differential+3.3+3.3+3.4
Avg total172.0180.4162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2115671%87.681.7+5.9
2 Monaco2215768%91.884.1+7.7
3 Barcelona2114767%87.784.3+3.3
4 Fenerbahce2114767%82.079.8+2.2
5 Valencia2214864%89.885.4+4.4
6 Olympiacos2113862%89.083.5+5.5
7 Real Madrid2113862%87.184.2+2.9
8 Panathinaikos2213959%87.085.0+2.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas22121055%87.882.2+5.6
10 Crvena zvezda22121055%86.084.9+1.1
11 Olimpia Milano22111150%85.585.4+0.1
12 Virtus Bologna22111150%82.482.5-0.1
13 Dubai22101245%85.487.7-2.3
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv2291341%89.492.2-2.8
15 Baskonia2281436%87.590.5-3.0
16 Bayern2281436%79.684.3-4.7
17 Paris2171433%90.092.3-2.2
18 Anadolu Efes2261627%79.985.8-5.9
19 Lyon-Villeurbanne2261627%78.286.5-8.2
20 Partizan2261627%79.590.1-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2122201780
Barcelona1417161461
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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