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Real Madrid vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 96-89
31-16 23-25 24-22 18-26
Position#8
Record16-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game82.0
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Olimpia Milano
Position#11
Record16-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game85.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 31· Movistar Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano
06 Apr 2027
MAD v MIL
upcoming
20 Jan 2026
MAD106
MIL77
25 Mar 2025
MAD96
MIL89
19 Oct 2023
MAD88
MIL71
16 Mar 2023
MAD91
MIL87
10 Mar 2022
MAD92
MIL88
08 Jan 2021
MAD76
MIL80
20 Mar 2019
MAD92
MIL89
24 Oct 2017
MAD100
MIL90
27 Jan 2017
MAD94
MIL89
01 Nov 2013
MAD93
MIL74
27 Oct 2011
MAD85
MIL78
26 Nov 2009
MAD82
MIL69
13 Nov 2008
MAD70
MIL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#4
W
80-63
80
63
+17
no box
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#6
W
96-91
96
91
+5
85avg 82
H27/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
69-54
69
54
+15
61avg 82
A02/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
66avg 82
A06/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
80-75
80
75
+5
66avg 82
H09/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 82
A13/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
71avg 82
H16/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 82
H20/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
107-105
107
105
+2
102avg 82
A23/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-16
20-15
25-16
25-16
15-18
21-21
19-25
24-29
23-25
17-18
30-24
26-24
12-9
19-9
17-22
21-14
13-24
20-16
20-23
17-22
23-28
14-15
21-16
22-16
30-17
20-16
18-21
12-13
21-20
18-20
17-13
27-25
32-10
20-24
16-19
13-17
25-21
21-27
22-30
39-27
160.6Avg total
82.5Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.182.0166.1+2.153%
Season at home (15)89.584.6174.1+4.973%
Season away (15)78.779.3158.1-0.633%
Last 10 (10)82.578.1160.6+4.480%
Last 5 (5)86.279.0165.2+7.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.982.1164.0-0.242%
vs Weaker (17)87.678.1165.6+9.5100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
74-69
74
69
+5
64avg 80
A15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
46avg 80
H16/02
Italian Cup
Monaco
#4
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 80
H27/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 80
A02/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
76-100
76
100
-24
62avg 80
H06/03
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
90-80
90
80
+10
78avg 80
H09/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
82-80
82
80
+2
77avg 80
A13/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
71avg 80
A15/03
Lega A
Paris
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
74avg 80
A18/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
89-87
89
87
+2
84avg 80
H23/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
18-17
17-19
23-17
14-15
17-23
17-21
15-20
18-19
31-23
19-19
18-19
25-20
9-18
25-25
21-23
19-24
18-29
19-23
20-24
23-29
20-24
19-15
28-12
23-24
25-21
20-19
14-16
14-19
24-23
22-17
19-14
18-22
19-26
30-28
12-16
24-19
24-21
20-22
21-25
162.4Avg total
79.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.985.8170.7-0.953%
Season at home (15)86.783.5170.2+3.160%
Season away (15)83.188.1171.2-4.947%
Last 10 (10)79.882.6162.4-2.860%
Last 5 (5)83.882.4166.2+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.490.1166.6-13.729%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.481.3163.7+1.160%
vs Weaker (7)99.982.7182.6+17.1100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
Real MadridOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
31-18
31
18
+13
A02/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H09/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A13/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H16/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H20/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/03
ACB
76.3Avg total
39.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.379.7+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.939.483.4+4.557%-
Last 30 away (16)39.237.276.5+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.976.3+2.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.684.4+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.238.977.2-0.733%-
vs Weaker (17)43.638.381.9+5.365%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H16/02
Italian Cup
Monaco
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H27/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A02/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H06/03
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H09/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A13/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A15/03
Lega A
Paris
#9
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A18/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H23/03
Lega A
83.1Avg total
39.9Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.086.0-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.844.188.9+0.757%-
Last 30 away (16)41.442.183.5-0.856%-
Last 10 (10)39.943.283.1-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.688.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.147.085.1-8.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.640.982.5+0.753%-
vs Weaker (7)50.145.195.3+5.086%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.5
52.3%
54.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.9
29.3%
36.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.418.9
80.8%
78.0%18.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
54.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.7
28.2%
36.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws23.619.5
82.6%
78.0%19.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWLWWLW
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWLLWLW
#8
League position
#11
+4.7
Net rating
-3.6
109.2
Offensive rating
108.5
104.5
Defensive rating
112.0
48.8%
Effective FG%
48.9%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
14.5%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
29.3%
3-point %
28.2%
58.8%
Assist %
48.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 108.5Defence104.5 · 112.0Shooting48.8% · 48.9%3-point %29.3% · 28.2%Ball care17.0% · 14.5%Off. rebounds34.6% · 26.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Real Madrid wins
4
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
07/11/24Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid85-76
08/02/24Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid81-76
19/10/23Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano88-71
16/03/23Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano91-87
03/11/22Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid77-83
10/03/22Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano92-88 OT
16/12/21Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid73-75
08/01/21Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano76-80
16/10/20Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid78-70
20/03/19Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano92-89
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25AUnicaja107-105
20/03/25HLyon-Villeurbanne81-70
16/03/25HBaskonia83-78
13/03/25AVirtus Bologna80-67
09/03/25HMurcia80-75
06/03/25APanathinaikos70-85
02/03/25AGran Canaria69-54
27/02/25HBarcelona96-91
16/02/25AUnicaja79-93
15/02/25AGran Canaria80-63
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HTrento89-87
18/03/25AParis79-92
15/03/25ABrescia79-73
13/03/25ACrvena zvezda82-80
09/03/25HTreviso90-80
06/03/25HFenerbahce76-100
02/03/25AVirtus Bologna80-86
27/02/25HMonaco86-80
16/02/25HTrento63-79
15/02/25ABrescia74-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW53%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%73%33%
Points / game84.189.578.7
Allowed / game82.084.679.3
Point differential+2.1+4.9-0.6
Avg total166.1174.1158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL53%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%60%47%
Points / game84.986.783.1
Allowed / game85.883.588.1
Point differential-0.9+3.1-4.9
Avg total170.7170.2171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos3022873%86.981.2+5.7
2 Fenerbahce31211068%83.381.4+1.9
3 Panathinaikos30191163%87.082.6+4.4
4 Monaco31191261%87.083.1+3.9
5 Bayern31181358%87.488.0-0.6
6 Crvena zvezda30171357%81.880.7+1.1
7 Barcelona31171455%87.984.5+3.4
8 Paris31171455%85.985.3+0.6
9 Anadolu Efes30161453%86.182.0+4.2
10 Real Madrid30161453%84.182.0+2.1
11 Olimpia Milano30161453%84.985.8-0.9
12 Partizan30151550%82.280.1+2.1
13 Zalgiris Kaunas31141745%77.678.8-1.2
14 Baskonia30131743%81.882.8-1.0
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne30111937%81.085.3-4.3
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv30102033%85.289.1-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna3072323%78.584.4-5.9
18 Alba Berlin3052517%79.591.3-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid3123241896
Olimpia Milano1625222689
← all games of the day
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