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Reggiana vs Pesaro Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 29 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 19:45
Postponed
Position#12
Record9-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#17
Record1-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game92.5
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Reggiana v Pesaro
02 Dec 2023
REG101
PES68
30 Dec 2022
REG95
PES76
06 Mar 2022
REG86
PES77
29 Mar 2021
REG91
PES79
29 Feb 2020
REG v PES
upcoming
06 Jan 2019
REG108
PES66
08 Oct 2017
REG95
PES102
20 Nov 2016
REG87
PES80
01 Nov 2015
REG83
PES66
01 Nov 2014
REG91
PES73
19 Apr 2014
REG92
PES61
04 Nov 2012
REG71
PES59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 87
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
85-104
85
104
-19
no box
H22/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
A26/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
96-88
96
88
+8
89avg 87
H29/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
69-86
69
86
-17
54avg 87
A05/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
81-87
81
87
-6
69avg 87
H11/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
103-81
103
81
+22
107avg 87
A18/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
H25/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
93-95
93
95
-2
no box
A02/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
79-86
79
86
-7
65avg 87
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
10-19
24-32
29-19
29-30
23-28
18-21
15-25
13-24
25-22
18-20
16-21
31-19
27-22
16-25
22-22
19-17
19-19
19-25
12-25
22-24
15-24
21-18
23-21
32-15
23-18
25-22
23-26
18-18
28-17
19-12
20-26
36-18
14-31
16-18
27-28
20-22
21-15
11-26
27-23
172.3Avg total
85.0Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.984.0166.9-1.043%
Season at home (10)81.981.8163.7+0.160%
Season away (11)83.885.9169.7-2.127%
Last 10 (10)85.087.3172.3-2.340%
Last 5 (5)88.284.4172.6+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.987.3163.2-11.418%
vs Similar (13)84.684.1168.7+0.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.276.7164.8+11.583%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 78
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
87-103
87
103
-16
76avg 78
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
79-91
79
91
-12
72avg 78
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
92-98
92
98
-6
76avg 78
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
82-107
82
107
-25
no box
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
89-106
89
106
-17
76avg 78
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
77-103
77
103
-26
63avg 78
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
14-14
16-21
19-19
24-25
30-31
20-26
13-21
26-27
20-14
20-27
13-23
17-21
18-27
13-17
24-22
28-28
21-26
18-20
25-24
27-25
20-23
17-16
12-18
22-18
19-16
21-17
18-26
19-25
25-28
19-36
19-18
25-25
22-27
11-29
31-25
18-16
17-29
28-33
14-25
172.4Avg total
79.9Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.292.5171.6-13.35%
Season at home (10)74.688.9163.5-14.30%
Season away (10)83.796.0179.7-12.310%
Last 10 (10)79.992.5172.4-12.610%
Last 5 (5)80.895.0175.8-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)77.591.4168.8-13.97%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
ReggianaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H22/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A26/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H29/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A05/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H11/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
55-33
55
33
+22
A18/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H25/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A02/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A09/02
Lega A
86.7Avg total
44.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.084.2+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.742.484.1-0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)42.641.684.2+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)44.941.886.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.486.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.246.386.5-6.118%-
vs Similar (13)42.840.383.1+2.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.737.782.3+7.083%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/02
Lega A
89.0Avg total
42.8Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.045.983.9-7.813%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.744.680.4-8.97%-
Last 30 away (16)40.146.987.0-6.919%-
Last 10 (10)42.846.289.0-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.489.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.045.983.9-7.813%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.4
50.6%
52.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.1
37.1%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.313.9
72.0%
73.6%13.9
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.9
46.3%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.1
31.9%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Feb 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Reggiana
LLWWLLWLLW
Pesaro
LLLWLLLLLL
#12
League position
#17
-14.4
Net rating
-16.6
115.2
Offensive rating
103.9
129.6
Defensive rating
120.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
47.0%
61.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.5%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.1%
3-point %
31.9%
50.8%
Assist %
51.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 103.9Defence129.6 · 120.5Shooting52.5% · 47.0%3-point %37.1% · 31.9%Ball care14.7% · 15.5%Off. rebounds34.2% · 30.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Reggiana   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Reggiana wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
27/10/19Pesaro v Reggiana65-90
05/05/19Pesaro v Reggiana73-100
06/01/19Reggiana v Pesaro108-66
27/01/18Pesaro v Reggiana96-104
08/10/17Reggiana v Pesaro95-102
19/03/17Pesaro v Reggiana81-91
20/11/16Reggiana v Pesaro87-80
14/02/16Pesaro v Reggiana90-80
01/11/15Reggiana v Pesaro83-66
15/02/15Pesaro v Reggiana75-74
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20APistoia79-86
02/02/20ACremona93-95
25/01/20HCantu85-73
18/01/20ATrento103-81
11/01/20HBrescia81-87
05/01/20AFortitudo Bologna69-86
29/12/19HVirtus Roma96-88
26/12/19ABrindisi72-87
22/12/19HVenezia85-104
15/12/19HTrieste87-86
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HBrindisi77-103
01/02/20AVirtus Bologna89-106
19/01/20HSassari82-107
11/01/20AFortitudo Bologna80-77
05/01/20HTrieste76-82
29/12/19AVenezia92-98
26/12/19HCantu72-87
22/12/19APistoia79-91
15/12/19AVarese87-103
08/12/19HOlimpia Milano65-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%60%27%
Points / game82.981.983.8
Allowed / game84.081.885.9
Point differential-1.0+0.1-2.1
Avg total166.9163.7169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL5%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %5%0%10%
Points / game79.274.683.7
Allowed / game92.588.996.0
Point differential-13.3-14.3-12.3
Avg total171.6163.5179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2015575%85.275.3+9.8
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Virtus Roma2171433%78.085.1-7.0
15 Pistoia2171433%74.282.6-8.4
16 Trieste2161529%75.080.5-5.5
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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