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Varese vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 103-87
25-24 31-30 26-20 21-13
Position#10
Record5-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game78.2
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#17
Record0-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game90.5
ItalyLega ARound 13
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Varese v Pesaro
11 Feb 2024
VAR91
PES80
11 Mar 2023
VAR110
PES99
20 Mar 2022
VAR76
PES87
14 Mar 2021
VAR81
PES68
15 Dec 2019
VAR103
PES87
28 Apr 2019
VAR81
PES75
31 Mar 2018
VAR88
PES68
12 Mar 2017
VAR93
PES78
18 Oct 2015
VAR88
PES81
01 Feb 2015
VAR70
PES80
01 Dec 2013
VAR91
PES77
28 Apr 2013
VAR85
PES70
14 Apr 2012
VAR63
PES67
17 Oct 2010
VAR87
PES78
24 Jan 2010
VAR89
PES86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
W
92-62
92
62
+30
88avg 102
A29/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
83-60
83
60
+23
75avg 102
H06/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-87
80
87
-7
66avg 102
A19/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
102-78
102
78
+24
no box
H27/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-93
69
93
-24
no box
A03/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
58avg 102
A10/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
no box
H17/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
74-81
74
81
-7
66avg 102
A23/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
99-69
99
69
+30
96avg 102
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
58avg 102
A08/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
25-12
12-20
26-17
17-15
32-16
21-15
13-14
22-21
12-19
21-17
25-30
26-19
24-17
27-23
25-19
14-26
16-20
15-28
24-19
21-18
14-25
19-23
20-25
24-14
17-14
12-20
22-27
20-23
28-20
13-18
13-20
34-19
24-20
21-15
20-15
14-14
21-23
12-17
20-20
161.9Avg total
83.3Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.578.2158.6+2.345%
Season at home (5)85.874.4160.2+11.480%
Season away (6)76.081.3157.3-5.317%
Last 10 (10)83.378.6161.9+4.750%
Last 5 (5)81.481.2162.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.784.0152.7-15.30%
vs Similar (12)83.084.2167.2-1.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.172.7154.9+9.471%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Sassari
#2
L
79-99
79
99
-20
69avg 91
A29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
57avg 91
H13/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
99-108
99
108
-9
82avg 91
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
65-90
65
90
-25
49avg 91
H27/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
75-85
75
85
-10
64avg 91
A03/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
no box
H09/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
83-92
83
92
-9
68avg 91
A17/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
58avg 91
A24/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
50avg 91
H01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 91
H08/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
15-30
22-25
23-24
19-25
16-29
13-16
31-24
27-32
24-27
20-19
28-30
20-24
15-19
19-20
11-27
27-16
12-24
18-24
18-21
8-18
23-24
30-15
21-25
20-24
20-20
22-23
21-25
12-23
26-29
16-31
20-18
13-18
14-22
18-19
18-15
16-17
14-14
16-21
19-19
169.2Avg total
77.7Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.290.5167.6-13.30%
Season at home (6)73.285.0158.2-11.80%
Season away (5)82.097.0179.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)77.791.5169.2-13.80%
Last 5 (5)76.087.8163.8-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)77.193.0170.1-16.07%
vs Similar (1)81.077.0158.0+4.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
VaresePesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
W
54-25
54
25
+29
A29/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H06/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A19/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H27/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A03/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H17/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/12
Lega A
80.2Avg total
43.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.537.679.1+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.135.477.5+6.879%-
Last 30 away (16)40.939.680.5+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.436.880.2+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.081.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.041.072.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (12)43.239.782.9+3.675%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.434.677.0+7.771%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H13/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H27/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H09/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A17/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A24/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/12
Lega A
81.5Avg total
36.0Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.846.483.2-9.613%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.844.782.5-6.920%-
Last 30 away (15)35.848.284.0-12.47%-
Last 10 (10)36.045.581.5-9.50%-
Last 5 (5)33.241.875.0-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)36.546.482.9-10.014%-
vs Similar (1)46.046.092.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.6
52.0%
52.0%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.4
34.5%
35.1%34.2
🏀 Free throws16.512.6
76.4%
73.6%12.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.9
52.5%
52.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.5
29.1%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.4%
73.6%13.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLWLLWLWW
Pesaro
LLLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#17
+3.9
Net rating
-19.9
115.8
Offensive rating
105.4
112.0
Defensive rating
125.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
48.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.7%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.5%
3-point %
29.1%
48.5%
Assist %
40.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 105.4Defence112.0 · 125.3Shooting51.9% · 48.4%3-point %34.5% · 29.1%Ball care15.4% · 14.7%Off. rebounds32.3% · 28.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Varese   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Varese wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
28/04/19Varese v Pesaro81-75
30/12/18Pesaro v Varese78-98
31/03/18Varese v Pesaro88-68
03/12/17Pesaro v Varese74-71
12/03/17Varese v Pesaro93-78
13/11/16Pesaro v Varese83-87
31/01/16Pesaro v Varese76-71
18/10/15Varese v Pesaro88-81
01/02/15Varese v Pesaro70-80
19/10/14Pesaro v Varese85-96
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/19ACantu67-74
01/12/19HVirtus Roma99-69
23/11/19AReggiana74-81
17/11/19HVenezia93-91 OT
10/11/19ABrescia74-91
03/11/19AOlimpia Milano69-93
27/10/19HBrindisi102-78
19/10/19AVirtus Bologna80-87
06/10/19HFortitudo Bologna83-60
29/09/19ATrieste92-62
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/19HOlimpia Milano65-71
01/12/19HCremona63-74
24/11/19ABrescia74-101
17/11/19AVirtus Roma83-92
09/11/19HTrento95-101 OT
03/11/19ATreviso75-85
27/10/19HReggiana65-90
20/10/19ABrindisi99-108
13/10/19HVirtus Bologna79-94
29/09/19ASassari79-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL45%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%80%17%
Points / game80.585.876.0
Allowed / game78.274.481.3
Point differential+2.3+11.4-5.3
Avg total158.6160.2157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.273.282.0
Allowed / game90.585.097.0
Point differential-13.3-11.8-15.0
Avg total167.6158.2179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1211192%83.876.0+7.8
2 Sassari129375%81.772.0+9.7
3 Olimpia Milano139469%80.873.4+7.5
4 Cremona117464%77.677.4+0.3
5 Brescia127558%82.675.2+7.3
6 Brindisi127558%83.680.8+2.8
7 Fortitudo Bologna127558%78.578.3+0.2
8 Virtus Roma137654%77.581.9-4.4
9 Treviso126650%77.276.3+0.8
10 Reggiana126650%81.581.3+0.2
11 Varese115645%80.578.2+2.3
12 Venezia125742%75.473.2+2.2
13 Trento125742%78.081.6-3.6
14 Cantu114736%71.476.2-4.8
15 Trieste123925%73.679.5-5.9
16 Pistoia123925%73.483.9-10.5
17 Pesaro110110%77.290.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese25312621103
Pesaro2430201387
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